{"schema_version": 1, "id": "yuba-city-ca-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 458, "label": "Yuba City, CA MSA", "slug": "yuba-city-ca-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T08:12:03.086359+00:00", "headline": "Yuba City's jobless rate holds near 7% as trades pay climbs.", "headline_summary": "Yuba City unemployment sat at 7.1% in August against California's 5.1% and the nation's 4.1%, even as local CDL driver pay hit $85,000 and electrician pay reached $76,966, both outpacing national medians.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Metro unemployment rate", "value": "7.1%", "context": "vs. 5.1% CA, 4.1% US (August 2026)"}, {"label": "CDL driver advertised pay", "value": "$85,000", "context": "vs. $78,872 national median, up significantly"}, {"label": "Metro labor force size", "value": "~82,000", "context": "Flat Jan.-June 2026 per EDD"}, {"label": "California unemployed total decline", "value": "-106,500", "context": "10 straight monthly drops through Sept. 2026"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Headline unemployment gap with the state is widening.", "body": "Yuba City's 7.1% rate compares with California's 5.1% and the national 4.1%, a wider spread than typical inland-coastal splits elsewhere in the state. This is consistent with a metro economy still working through structural adjustment in agriculture and seasonal manufacturing."}, {"headline": "Skilled trades pay is accelerating while office roles soften.", "body": "Electricians (up significantly to $76,966) and construction laborers (up moderately to $44,720) show sustained advertised pay growth locally, while administrative assistant pay fell moderately to $45,760 and accountant pay declined to $73,664. Divergence points to where local economic activity is concentrated: physical infrastructure and trades work."}, {"headline": "CDL driver pay surge may reflect regional freight and ag-logistics demand.", "body": "Metro CDL truck driver pay reached $85,000, up significantly and well above the $78,872 national median \u2014 one of the sharpest local-to-national gaps in the basket. Given the metro's agricultural base, this likely reflects freight and distribution activity tied to harvest and regional logistics corridors."}, {"headline": "Public and healthcare institutions remain the metro's stabilizing force.", "body": "Sutter Health, Yuba County Hospital and the Yuba City Post Office continue to anchor local employment alongside a registered nurse wage climbing to $133,052 (up moderately). That institutional ballast, consistent with statewide education/health gains of 14,200 jobs in August, offers a counterweight to softer office-sector pay trends."}], "local_conditions": "Yuba City's unemployment rate held at 7.1% in August, roughly 170 basis points above the state rate of 5.1% and 300 basis points above the national rate of 4.1%, reflecting the metro's structural concentration in agriculture and seasonal manufacturing work. Advertised pay for CDL drivers ($85,000, up significantly), electricians ($76,966, up significantly) and registered nurses ($133,052, up moderately) point to tight local supply in transportation, skilled trades and healthcare even as the broader labor force remains flat near 82,000.", "implications": "Persistent double-digit-point daylight between the metro and state unemployment rates suggests Yuba City's labor slack is concentrated in specific sectors, meaning commerce leaders evaluating local expansion should look past the headline rate toward sector-specific advertised pay signals before drawing conclusions about labor availability. Public-sector stability \u2014 anchored by Sutter Health, the Yuba City Post Office and Yuba County Hospital \u2014 combined with upward wage pressure in construction trades and healthcare is consistent with a local economy where institutional employers and infrastructure-adjacent work are absorbing most of the momentum. Current conditions suggest economic development and chamber leaders track sector-level advertised pay trends alongside the unemployment rate when briefing on local business climate, giving the sector-level view equal weight to the headline figure.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Worth watching", "body": "October's Sutter County Job Fair & Career Expo and roughly 97 'urgently hiring' listings across healthcare, transportation and skilled trades signal continued sector-specific labor tightness. Watch whether advertised pay in these categories keeps climbing into November, which would reinforce the trades-and-healthcare divergence from office roles."}, {"category": "Policy-relevant signal", "body": "California's SB 845 (youth apprenticeship expansion) and SB 951 (AI-driven layoff disclosure in WARN filings) begin shaping workforce pipeline and transparency statewide. Local economic development leaders should track whether Sutter or Yuba County agencies draw on the Employment Training Panel's $4 million October allocation for mid-skill training."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "State labor force participation and the 10th consecutive monthly decline in unemployed Californians (down 106,500 since spring) suggest a tightening labor pool statewide. Whether that trend reaches Yuba City's flat ~82,000 labor force over the next two months will be a signal of whether the metro is catching the statewide recovery or remaining structurally separate from it."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Seasonal agricultural and forklift/warehouse postings (e.g., $19/hour in nearby Olivehurst) typically taper after harvest season closes. A sharper-than-usual pullback in these job ads, a signal of hiring demand (one ad often covers several openings), would be an early read on whether the metro's unemployment rate ticks up again this winter."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33092.0, "metro_p50": 36452.0, "metro_p75": 37800.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33340.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32211.25, "metro_p50": 36400.0, "metro_p75": 39416.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 31268.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 38948.0, "metro_p50": 41600.0, "metro_p75": 42554.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 38480.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 63207.0, "metro_p50": 85000.0, "metro_p75": 91260.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 78872.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 34779.0, "metro_p50": 37815.6, "metro_p75": 42336.25, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 34826.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 37440.0, "metro_p50": 44720.0, "metro_p75": 48880.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 40726.6, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 66631.0, "metro_p50": 76966.0, "metro_p75": 85776.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 71835.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 35360.0, "metro_p50": 40560.0, "metro_p75": 41600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 42570.0, "metro_p50": 43680.0, "metro_p75": 44720.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 41922.0, "metro_p50": 44212.8, "metro_p75": 47226.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33764.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 41992.0, "metro_p50": 49920.0, "metro_p75": 56742.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 41600.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 38923.25, "metro_p50": 45760.0, "metro_p75": 49583.5, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 44552.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 70720.0, "metro_p50": 78000.0, "metro_p75": 81120.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 71406.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 112455.25, "metro_p50": 133051.8, "metro_p75": 143424.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 102252.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 127926.0, "metro_p50": 174172.0, "metro_p75": 193926.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 154403.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 106585.0, "metro_p50": 145000.0, "metro_p75": 162500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 138000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 64480.0, "metro_p50": 73663.6, "metro_p75": 82500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 72000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 85594.5, "metro_p50": 128905.6, "metro_p75": 142285.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 94646.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 64480.0, "metro_p50": 81785.0, "metro_p75": 90000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 74477.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 50000.0, "metro_p50": 70050.0, "metro_p75": 79850.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 62916.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 81730.0, "metro_p50": 109470.8, "metro_p75": 129375.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 86294.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 65000.0, "metro_p50": 84863.0, "metro_p75": 98922.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 55908.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 75152.0, "metro_p50": 165852.0, "metro_p75": 235000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 94009.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 74500.0, "metro_p50": 94853.0, "metro_p75": 102750.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 84847.75, "metro_p50": 101462.8, "metro_p75": 115397.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 98302.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 65253.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 99500.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 40190.5, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 63728.5, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 51948.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 53040.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 96255.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 93600.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 37875.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 72958.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "yuba-city-ca-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "pdf": "yuba-city-ca-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf", "sources_html": "yuba-city-ca-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:32:50.479292+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/yuba-city-ca-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/yuba-city-ca-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf"}