{"schema_version": 1, "id": "worcester-ma-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 535, "label": "Worcester, MA MSA", "slug": "worcester-ma-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T08:09:45.892666+00:00", "headline": "Worcester jobs slip as Massachusetts gains \u2014 a county-level divergence", "headline_summary": "Worcester metro lost about 1,000 jobs in September while Massachusetts added 3,500 statewide, and county unemployment near 4.8%\u20134.9% now runs well above the national 4.1% rate.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Worcester metro monthly job change", "value": "-1,000", "context": "vs. +3,500 jobs statewide in September"}, {"label": "Worcester County unemployment", "value": "4.8%\u20134.9%", "context": "vs. 4.1% national, 4.3% Massachusetts"}, {"label": "New England real wage growth", "value": "-1.9%", "context": "Nominal wages up 2.3%, slowest of 9 census divisions"}, {"label": "Worcester County employment, YoY", "value": "-0.6%", "context": "Through March 2026; outperformed many peer counties"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Worcester's job losses contrast with state-level gains.", "body": "Massachusetts added 3,500 jobs statewide in September while Worcester metro shed about 1,000, a divergence that suggests the metro's softness is moving on its own track separate from the state trend. Commerce leaders should treat county-level data as the more reliable gauge of local conditions than statewide headlines this month."}, {"headline": "Skilled-trade pay keeps climbing despite rising unemployment.", "body": "HVAC Technician pay rose significantly and Electrician and Construction Laborer wages rose moderately even as county unemployment climbed toward 4.8%\u20134.9%. That combination is consistent with a labor market where unemployment is rising among some worker groups while demand intensity persists in specific trades tied to construction and building infrastructure."}, {"headline": "Real wages are eroding faster in New England than nationally.", "body": "New England nominal wage growth of 2.3% year-over-year, the slowest of any census division, converts to a real wage decline of roughly 1.9% once inflation is factored in. Consumer spending power across the metro's retail and service economy is likely feeling this compression, a relevant data point for commerce leaders assessing local business conditions."}, {"headline": "Worcester's employment decline looks shallower than peer counties'.", "body": "County employment fell 0.6% year-over-year through March 2026, a milder contraction than many peer counties experienced over the same period. That relative resilience is worth weighing against September's monthly job loss before concluding the metro's trajectory has shifted decisively downward."}], "local_conditions": "Worcester metro employment slipped by roughly 1,000 jobs in September even as Massachusetts added 3,500 jobs statewide, pointing to a metro that is underperforming its own state during an otherwise stable national labor market. Worcester County unemployment has drifted up to 4.8%\u20134.9% from the low 4% range earlier in the year, a divergence from the national rate holding at 4.1%, while advertised pay for roles like Operations Manager, HVAC Technician, and Electrician continues to climb even as broader wage growth lags inflation.", "implications": "Rising local unemployment alongside continued wage gains in skilled trades and operations roles suggests a metro economy bifurcating by sector, a pattern that matters for how commerce leaders read business formation and expansion signals in different corridors of the county. Economic development officials and chamber leaders evaluating where to direct attraction or retention resources should weigh that Worcester County's 0.6% year-over-year employment decline through March still outperformed many peer counties, meaning the metro's softening may be shallower than headline unemployment suggests. Consider reviewing sector-level advertised pay trends alongside unemployment data before drawing conclusions about overall business climate from a single month's job count.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Worth watching", "body": "September's 1,000-job metro decline needs a second data point before it reads as a trend. October and November BLS releases will clarify whether Worcester is diverging from the state's modest growth or simply saw a one-month dip."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "Community Healthlink's 639-worker WARN filing in the Worcester area, alongside two smaller filings totaling 363 workers, marks a notable concentration of behavioral health layoffs. Watch whether this reflects a single organization's restructuring or a broader signal about healthcare and social-service funding pressures in the county."}, {"category": "Structural pressure point", "body": "Massachusetts' labor force has contracted by about 81,000 people statewide since March 2025, even as participation ticked up in September. Whether Worcester County's labor force stabilizes or continues contracting will shape how commerce leaders think about local consumer and workforce capacity heading into 2027."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Governor Healey's Economic Assistance Coordinating Council approved $11.5 million in tax credits this month for 674 projected new jobs and $339 million in private investment statewide. Worth tracking whether any of these expansion projects land in Worcester County, which would offer a concrete counterweight to September's job losses."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30881.0, "metro_p50": 35048.0, "metro_p75": 38480.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33340.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30753.5, "metro_p50": 35099.8, "metro_p75": 36816.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 31268.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 35048.0, "metro_p50": 40562.0, "metro_p75": 43669.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 38480.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 61764.0, "metro_p50": 78377.0, "metro_p75": 87500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 78872.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33689.0, "metro_p50": 37179.0, "metro_p75": 44337.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 34826.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 36983.75, "metro_p50": 42000.0, "metro_p75": 45760.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 40726.6, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 59348.25, "metro_p50": 80080.0, "metro_p75": 87355.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 71835.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 36163.0, "metro_p50": 41600.0, "metro_p75": 44991.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 35401.0, "metro_p50": 42419.0, "metro_p75": 48880.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33193.0, "metro_p50": 35360.0, "metro_p75": 37440.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33764.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 39520.0, "metro_p50": 45323.0, "metro_p75": 48664.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 41600.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 35895.0, "metro_p50": 45206.6, "metro_p75": 49940.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 44552.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 65003.75, "metro_p50": 78000.0, "metro_p75": 93412.25, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 71406.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 93598.5, "metro_p50": 114400.0, "metro_p75": 124289.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 102252.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 119379.5, "metro_p50": 153473.8, "metro_p75": 169691.25, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 154403.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 99201.0, "metro_p50": 145000.0, "metro_p75": 159248.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 138000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 59565.0, "metro_p50": 71053.0, "metro_p75": 79596.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 72000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 75000.0, "metro_p50": 98682.2, "metro_p75": 105000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 94646.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 56537.0, "metro_p50": 79715.6, "metro_p75": 85422.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 74477.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 43369.0, "metro_p50": 58264.8, "metro_p75": 70334.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 62916.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 77868.0, "metro_p50": 99000.0, "metro_p75": 130500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 86294.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 48360.0, "metro_p50": 64500.0, "metro_p75": 71302.25, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 55908.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 64130.5, "metro_p50": 92163.2, "metro_p75": 114000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94009.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 43753.0, "metro_p50": 76246.6, "metro_p75": 79006.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 82850.5, "metro_p50": 98162.8, "metro_p75": 110350.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 98302.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 81243.5, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 107099.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 45760.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 56160.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 121628.5, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 100226.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 84517.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 63440.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 37960.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 72080.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "worcester-ma-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "pdf": "worcester-ma-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf", "sources_html": "worcester-ma-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:32:37.173960+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/worcester-ma-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/worcester-ma-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf"}