{"schema_version": 1, "id": "wichita-ks-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-10", "product": "Labor Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 528, "label": "Wichita, KS MSA", "slug": "wichita-ks-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "restaurant_industry", "slug": "restaurant-industry", "label": "Restaurant Industry"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T07:20:41.684422+00:00", "headline": "Wichita restaurant management pay falls as the retention math worsens.", "headline_summary": "Restaurant Manager/GM advertised pay dropped to $51,989 against a stable $59,724 national median, while Sedgwick County unemployment climbed to 4.7% even as Kansas's statewide rate held at 3.8%.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Sedgwick County unemployment", "value": "4.7%", "context": "Up from 4.5% in July; Kansas statewide at 3.8%"}, {"label": "Restaurant Manager/GM advertised pay", "value": "$51,989", "context": "Down significantly vs. $59,724 national median"}, {"label": "Kansas minimum wage vs. Missouri", "value": "$7.25 vs $15.00", "context": "Unchanged since 2010; Missouri's is 2x higher"}, {"label": "National restaurant turnover rate", "value": "~80%", "context": "Up from 72% pre-pandemic"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Management pay is falling in Wichita while the job gets harder.", "body": "Restaurant Manager/GM advertised pay dropped significantly to $51,989, a notable gap against the $59,724 national median, even as 70% of operators nationally report difficult-to-fill openings. Declining pay for the role responsible for solving turnover is a signal worth scrutinizing."}, {"headline": "Shift Manager compensation is eroding at the worst possible moment.", "body": "Shift Manager pay fell moderately to $27,594 in the metro, a role that typically absorbs frontline scheduling and training burden during the retention crisis. Compressed pay here may push experienced shift leads toward manufacturing, where Wichita's outsized industrial base offers competing entry points."}, {"headline": "Kansas's frozen minimum wage is now a Missouri border problem.", "body": "Kansas has held at $7.25/hr since 2010 while Missouri sits at $15.00/hr, creating a recruiting disadvantage for any Wichita-area operator competing near state lines or against multi-state chains. Statutory floor and advertised market pay are decoupling, meaning compliance minimums no longer tell operators anything about competitive wages."}, {"headline": "The 80/20 rule repeal changes FOH side-work math.", "body": "DOL's October withdrawal of the 80/20 threshold lets operators pay the $2.13 tipped rate for cleaning and stocking duties without the prior 20% cap, reducing direct wage obligation during slow shifts. Server advertised pay in Wichita held stable at $31,200, suggesting the policy shift hasn't yet shown up in posted rates \u2014 worth tracking whether operators pass savings into base or hold pay flat."}], "local_conditions": "Sedgwick County unemployment has drifted upward through 2026, with August readings of 4.7% suggesting labor supply loosening modestly even as Kansas's statewide rate held steady at 3.8%, a divergence that points to Wichita-specific softening. Manufacturing's outsized footprint in the metro \u2014 18.12% of employment versus 8.8% nationally \u2014 continues to compete for the same hourly labor pool restaurants draw from, keeping entry-level wage floors elevated even as overall hiring activity cools.", "implications": "Metro restaurant pay is diverging sharply from national patterns: Restaurant Manager/GM advertised pay fell significantly to $51,989 against a stable national median of $59,724, while Shift Manager pay dropped moderately to $27,594 \u2014 a signal that management-track compensation in Wichita is losing ground just as the national BOH labor squeeze (cooks projected to grow 12% through 2035 versus 2% for servers) intensifies competition for kitchen talent. Falling management pay alongside a widening Kansas-Missouri minimum wage gap ($7.25 versus $15.00) puts Wichita operators at a structural disadvantage for multi-unit retention; current conditions suggest reviewing management compensation trajectories against the national benchmark before turnover losses compound the recruiting cost already visible in BOH roles.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Expected release", "body": "KDOL publishes the October 2026 Kansas Labor Report on November 20, the first chance to see whether Sedgwick County's summer unemployment drift (4.5% to 4.7%) continued into fall and whether it's translating into looser hourly labor supply for restaurants."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Declining Restaurant Manager and Shift Manager advertised pay against a backdrop of national BOH wage pressure (cooks growing 12% through 2035) raises the question of whether Wichita operators are under-investing in management retention relative to peer metros."}, {"category": "Policy watch", "body": "Missouri's $15.00/hr floor against Kansas's frozen $7.25/hr creates an increasingly visible wage gap; watch whether Wichita-area operators near the state line begin adjusting posted rates independent of Kansas's statutory minimum."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "Monitor whether the 80/20 rule repeal shows up in Server or Crew advertised pay over the next two months \u2014 a drop in base posted rates alongside stable total compensation would indicate operators are reallocating savings from side-work pay."}], "roles": [{"role": "Assistant Restaurant Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 26763.0, "metro_p50": 33877.0, "metro_p75": 36148.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39211.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Catering Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 39024.0, "metro_p50": 44720.0, "metro_p75": 48308.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 50076.0, "national_trend_direction": "down", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Crew", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 22459.0, "metro_p50": 25388.0, "metro_p75": 27040.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 30066.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Line Cook", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 27211.0, "metro_p50": 31200.0, "metro_p75": 33280.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 37421.4, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Restaurant Manager/General Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 41284.0, "metro_p50": 51988.8, "metro_p75": 55000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 59724.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Server", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 26000.0, "metro_p50": 31200.0, "metro_p75": 33309.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 35024.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Shift Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 24587.0, "metro_p50": 27594.0, "metro_p75": 30160.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33024.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [], "citations": [{"source_name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics / Kansas Dept. of Labor", "source_url": null, "statement": "Sedgwick County unemployment rose to 4.7% in August 2026"}, {"source_name": "Metro economic research notes", "source_url": null, "statement": "Manufacturing is 18.12% of Wichita metro employment vs 8.8% national"}, {"source_name": "State labor department data", "source_url": null, "statement": "Kansas minimum wage $7.25 vs Missouri $15.00"}, {"source_name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics", "source_url": null, "statement": "Cooks projected to grow 12% vs 2% for waiters through 2035"}, {"source_name": "U.S. Department of Labor", "source_url": null, "statement": "DOL withdrew the 80/20 tipped wage rule in October 2026"}, {"source_name": "National Restaurant Association", "source_url": null, "statement": "Restaurant annual turnover hit approximately 80%"}], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "wichita-ks-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-10.html", "pdf": "wichita-ks-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-10.pdf"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:32:27.331640+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/wichita-ks-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/wichita-ks-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-10.pdf"}