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Labor Market Pulse

Wichita Falls, TX Metro Edition

Focus: FINANCE

Wichita Falls jobs shrink while finance pay keeps climbing.

-700 jobs (-1.2%)

Metro employment change

One of only two contracting Texas metros, Aug 2026

4.5%

Metro unemployment rate

Up from 4.7% in June; vs 4.0% Texas, 4.1% U.S.

3.9% y/y

Texas private wage growth

vs 3.0% national avg hourly earnings growth, Sept

74%

National F&A hiring intent

Plan to increase permanent headcount H2 2026

This Month's Takeaways

01

Metro contraction masks a local finance talent shortage.

Wichita Falls lost 700 jobs year-over-year even as advertised pay for Billing Specialist (up significant) and Tax Specialist (up moderate) continued climbing. Falling headcount metro-wide does not mean falling competition for finance and accounting skill sets.

02

FP&A Manager pay is softening locally against a flat national market.

Metro FP&A Manager advertised pay moved down moderately to $122,125 while the national median held flat at $128,139. Consider whether this reflects a thinning local candidate pool commanding fewer competing offers, or softer local demand for strategic finance roles amid metro contraction — each points to a different budgeting response.

03

National wage deceleration buys budget room, but not locally.

September's 0.13% monthly earnings gain (3.0% y/y) came in below forecast and eases national salary pressure, yet Texas private hourly earnings rose 3.9% y/y in July, nearly a full point above the national pace. Statewide wage acceleration suggests Wichita Falls employers may not see the same relief reflected in national headlines.

04

Billing Specialist pay signals a structural, not cyclical, shift.

Metro advertised pay rose to $50,544, a significant increase outpacing the national median of $49,512. A contracting metro labor force combined with above-national pay growth in this role suggests genuine scarcity in transactional finance support, not simply catch-up with inflation.

Wichita Falls MSA employment contracted for a second consecutive reporting period in August 2026, down 700 positions year-over-year to 58,800 total nonfarm jobs, even as the metro unemployment rate climbed to 4.5% from 4.7% in June — one of only two contracting Texas metros against a statewide backdrop of 1.1% job growth. Divergence from Texas and national job creation trends appears tied to the metro's concentrated industrial base (Pratt & Whitney, Howmet Aerospace, Mann+Hummel) and limited exposure to the data-center and AI-driven expansion lifting Dallas Fed growth forecasts elsewhere in the state.

Local contraction against state expansion complicates headcount cost planning — Finance leaders benchmarking against statewide 2.0% growth assumptions risk overstating labor availability and underpricing retention risk for scarce finance and accounting talent locally. National finance sector headwinds (129,000 jobs shed since May 2025, concentrated in insurance) paired with F&A's 74% hiring-intent rate suggest the squeeze is uneven — commodity finance roles face softer demand while specialized accounting and analyst talent remains scarce even in a shrinking metro. Consider stress-testing 2027 headcount budgets against both scenarios: continued metro-level softening and a disconnected national F&A talent shortage that could still pull qualified local candidates toward remote or relocated roles.

Advertised Pay Indicators

Role P25 Median P75 Local Trend National Nat. Trend
Controller $68,363 $112,733 $125,830 → Stable $113,754 ↑ Moderate increase
Senior Accountant $78,460 $87,825 $92,500 → Stable $87,731 → Stable
Financial Analyst $72,922 $93,298 $101,911 ↑ Moderate increase $94,782 → Stable
Billing Specialist $34,559 $50,544 $62,400 ↑ Significant increase $49,512 ↑ Moderate increase
Tax Specialist $43,847 $64,168 $75,000 ↑ Moderate increase $65,842 ↑ Significant increase
Credit Analyst $57,384 $70,684 $80,000 ↑ Moderate increase $71,758 ↑ Moderate increase
FP&A Manager — — — — No data $128,139 → Stable

Some roles reflect state-level data where local metro sample size was insufficient.

Looking Ahead · Next 30–60 Days

Potential inflection point

Watch whether the metro's -1.2% year-over-year employment trend stabilizes or deepens in the October TWC release — two consecutive quarters of contraction would mark a sustained divergence from the state's accelerating 2.0% growth forecast.

Worth watching

Sheppard Air Force Base and aerospace suppliers (Pratt & Whitney, Howmet Aerospace) remain the metro's structural anchor; any federal contract or defense spending shift would disproportionately affect local finance and accounting demand given the metro's small employment base.

Emerging pressure point

National financial activities sector has shed 129,000 jobs since May 2025, concentrated in insurance. Monitor whether any regional insurance or financial services consolidation reaches Wichita Falls given its proximity to larger Dallas-Fort Worth financial employers.

Early indicator

Texas WARN filings are down 45% year-over-year statewide, a signal of relative stability, but local employment contraction without corresponding WARN activity may suggest attrition and hiring freezes rather than layoffs — a dynamic that quietly tightens the finance talent pool without visible warning signs.

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