{"schema_version": 1, "id": "virginia-beach-norfolk-newport-news-va-nc-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 512, "label": "Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC MSA", "slug": "virginia-beach-norfolk-newport-news-va-nc-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T08:08:14.827160+00:00", "headline": "Hampton Roads jobs shrink as workers exit the labor force.", "headline_summary": "Hampton Roads employment fell 0.7% year-over-year with a seventh straight month of labor-force decline, pushing the employment-population ratio to 57.4% against 59.7% nationally, even as manufacturing pay locally runs 52% above the national median.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Metro employment, year-over-year", "value": "-0.7%", "context": "vs +0.3% national job growth rate"}, {"label": "Employment-population ratio", "value": "57.4%", "context": "vs 60.8% Virginia, 59.7% U.S."}, {"label": "State unemployment rate", "value": "3.6%", "context": "vs 4.1% national; up from 3.3% a year ago"}, {"label": "CNC Machinist vacancy duration", "value": "68 days", "context": "vs 42 days national average"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Hampton Roads is shedding workers as well as jobs.", "body": "Seven consecutive months of labor-force decline, paired with an employment-population ratio nearly three points below the national figure, indicates people are leaving the workforce instead of remaining unemployed. That dynamic flatters the headline unemployment rate while masking a smaller active economy \u2014 a distinction that matters for any investment decision premised on local labor availability."}, {"headline": "Manufacturing pay spike points to a narrow, acute shortage.", "body": "Metro manufacturing production worker pay sits at $60,268, more than 52% above the $39,520 national median, alongside CNC Machinist roles taking 68 days to fill versus 42 nationally. Specialized production capacity appears to be the binding constraint in this sector."}, {"headline": "Federal exposure remains the metro's defining vulnerability.", "body": "Hampton Roads' year-over-year job losses track a national pattern of federal workforce reductions, but the region's deeper reliance on military and federal civilian employment amplifies the effect relative to Virginia overall. Any further federal budget or base-level announcement carries disproportionate local weight compared to other Virginia metros."}, {"headline": "Professional pay gaps with national rates widen in tech roles.", "body": "Software Engineer pay locally sits at $120,000 against a $154,403 national median, and Data Engineer pay trails by a similar margin \u2014 both trending down. Softening in these roles is consistent with the statewide professional-services contraction Virginia Works has flagged, suggesting the metro's white-collar base is exposed to the broader slowdown."}], "local_conditions": "Hampton Roads employment fell 0.7% year-over-year through September, a seventh straight monthly labor-force decline that has pushed the employment-population ratio to 57.4%, well below Virginia's 60.8% and the U.S. rate of 59.7%. Federal workforce reductions and military-adjacent downsizing continue to weigh on the metro even as statewide unemployment holds at 3.6%, a divergence that reflects Hampton Roads' outsized dependence on federal and defense-linked employment relative to Virginia's broader base.", "implications": "Shrinking labor force participation alongside falling employment signals a metro economy contracting from the supply side as much as the demand side, which complicates any simple reading of low unemployment as strength \u2014 Virginia Beach's rate understates slack because workers are exiting the labor force instead of finding jobs. Commerce leaders evaluating expansion or relocation decisions should weigh this labor-force contraction against sector-specific tightness, since manufacturing wages up significantly locally (Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler at $60,268, far above the $39,520 national median) suggest pockets of demand even as the aggregate labor pool shrinks. Current conditions suggest monitoring federal employment and defense-contract announcements closely, as these remain the metro's primary swing factor for both labor supply and consumer spending capacity.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Expected", "body": "Federal employment and defense-contract activity will likely remain the single largest swing factor for Hampton Roads payrolls through year-end; any additional base realignment or contract announcement should be read against the metro's existing seven-month labor-force decline."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Statewide professional-services contraction (roughly 9,500 jobs lost through June, per Virginia Works) has not yet shown up as a distinct Hampton Roads story, but local tech pay softness (Software Engineer, Data Engineer both trending down) suggests the metro may be absorbing some of that pressure."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Manufacturing's acute hiring friction \u2014 68-day average fill times for specialized roles against a 42-day national benchmark \u2014 is a capacity constraint worth tracking for any economic-development pitch involving advanced manufacturing or defense-industrial expansion."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Norfolk's $1.8 million commitment to a fourth firefighter shift signals continued public-sector investment even amid regional contraction; watch whether other Hampton Roads municipalities follow with comparable public-safety or service staffing commitments as a counterweight to federal-sector softness."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 27028.0, "metro_p50": 31200.0, "metro_p75": 34320.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33340.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 26212.0, "metro_p50": 31162.0, "metro_p75": 32521.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 31268.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31874.0, "metro_p50": 36400.0, "metro_p75": 39105.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 38480.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 52607.5, "metro_p50": 77350.0, "metro_p75": 90503.75, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 78872.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29974.0, "metro_p50": 33368.4, "metro_p75": 39520.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 34826.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33280.0, "metro_p50": 40040.0, "metro_p75": 44720.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 40726.6, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 54080.0, "metro_p50": 64531.6, "metro_p75": 72800.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 71835.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 38239.25, "metro_p50": 60268.0, "metro_p75": 74066.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33920.0, "metro_p50": 40560.0, "metro_p75": 42640.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 28614.25, "metro_p50": 34752.0, "metro_p75": 37877.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33764.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33297.0, "metro_p50": 39666.0, "metro_p75": 42640.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 41600.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33360.0, "metro_p50": 41600.0, "metro_p75": 46800.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 44552.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 60570.0, "metro_p50": 70720.0, "metro_p75": 78000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 71406.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 86829.0, "metro_p50": 102715.6, "metro_p75": 109254.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 102252.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 98888.75, "metro_p50": 120000.0, "metro_p75": 133410.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 154403.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 83146.0, "metro_p50": 107625.0, "metro_p75": 114373.75, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 138000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 59578.5, "metro_p50": 70680.0, "metro_p75": 79100.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 72000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 73847.0, "metro_p50": 86700.0, "metro_p75": 91639.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 94646.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 50931.0, "metro_p50": 63714.0, "metro_p75": 68750.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 74477.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 43816.25, "metro_p50": 51481.0, "metro_p75": 59274.75, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 62916.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 78750.0, "metro_p50": 100000.0, "metro_p75": 100731.25, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 86294.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31200.0, "metro_p50": 52486.4, "metro_p75": 59802.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 55908.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 56328.0, "metro_p50": 80000.0, "metro_p75": 95549.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 94009.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 54050.0, "metro_p50": 72500.0, "metro_p75": 77500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 76988.5, "metro_p50": 98877.0, "metro_p75": 110000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 98302.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 64119.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 74500.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 35862.5, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "stable", "postings_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 57152.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 88700.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 52000.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 68066.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "stable", "postings_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 57200.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 33862.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 68423.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "virginia-beach-norfolk-newport-news-va-nc-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "pdf": "virginia-beach-norfolk-newport-news-va-nc-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf", "sources_html": "virginia-beach-norfolk-newport-news-va-nc-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:31:55.883771+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/virginia-beach-norfolk-newport-news-va-nc-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/virginia-beach-norfolk-newport-news-va-nc-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf"}