{"schema_version": 1, "id": "tallahassee-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 370, "label": "Tallahassee, FL MSA", "slug": "tallahassee-fl-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-09", "public_after": "2026-09-01", "frozen_at": "2026-10-09T13:43:37.133029+00:00", "headline": "Tallahassee adds jobs, but unemployment gap to U.S. persists.", "headline_summary": "Tallahassee's 4.9% unemployment rate \u2014 a full point above the national 4.1% \u2014 sits alongside 2,500 net new jobs and a confirmed $25 million Innovation Park project, a split picture of structural slack and selective investment confidence.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Metro unemployment rate", "value": "4.9%", "context": "vs 4.1% U.S., 4.5% Florida (Aug. 2026)"}, {"label": "Metro job growth", "value": "+2,500 jobs (1.3%)", "context": "200,500 total jobs, year-over-year to Aug. 2026"}, {"label": "Leon County job growth rank", "value": "10th of 27", "context": "Among FL counties over 75,000 employment, Q1 2026"}, {"label": "Florida minimum wage", "value": "$15.00/hr", "context": "Effective Sept. 30, 2026; tipped wage $11.98"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Tallahassee's labor slack looks structural, not cyclical.", "body": "A 4.9% unemployment rate against a 4.1% national rate persists even as the metro adds jobs, pointing to a labor force shaped by large, stable but slow-growing state government and university employment rather than a weakening economy. That combination may be read by site-selection decision-makers as available capacity rather than distress."}, {"headline": "Pay growth is lagging the state's bigger counties.", "body": "Leon County ranked 10th in job growth among Florida's 27 largest counties but local wage gains trailed most peer economies, a divergence worth flagging for economic development messaging that otherwise leans on job-growth figures alone. Advertised pay data showing wage declines in roles like Customer Service Representative (down, moderate) and Delivery Driver (down, moderate) reinforces that the softness is broad rather than isolated."}, {"headline": "Project Prestige signals confidence despite the macro cooling.", "body": "A confidential $25 million, 100-job facility advancing at Innovation Park arrives in the same month national hiring slowed to 29,000 jobs and wage growth hit a five-year low, suggesting Tallahassee-specific investment decisions are not simply tracking the national mood. Local economic development messaging has room to lead with this contrast rather than bury it."}, {"headline": "Minimum wage increase lands amid uneven local wage momentum.", "body": "Florida's minimum wage rises to $15/hour on September 30, a mechanical floor increase that will compress pay bands fastest in retail, food service and hospitality roles already showing stable-to-declining metro pay. Commerce leaders in consumer-facing sectors should expect this to show up in cost structure before it shows up in local spending data."}], "local_conditions": "Tallahassee added 2,500 jobs year-over-year through August, reaching 200,500 total, even as the metro's 4.9% unemployment rate sits a full point above the national 4.1% and above the state's 4.5% \u2014 a gap consistent with the metro's heavy reliance on state government and university employment, both of which add jobs slowly but steadily rather than in bursts. A confirmed $25 million, 100-job advanced facility (Project Prestige) at Innovation Park and Leon County's 1.0% employment growth in Q1 2026 point to real, if modest, momentum, even as local pay growth trails most of Florida's larger county economies.", "implications": "Steady but unspectacular job growth alongside an elevated unemployment rate suggests Tallahassee's labor market has more available workforce slack than Tampa or Orlando, which may support business expansion decisions that depend on available talent rather than wage competition. Lagging local pay growth relative to the state's larger counties, paired with Florida's minimum wage rising to $15/hour on September 30, signals a compression point at the bottom of the wage scale that commerce leaders should factor into cost projections. Current conditions suggest evaluating whether the metro's labor supply cushion \u2014 rather than wage pressure \u2014 is now the more relevant variable for site-selection and expansion conversations with prospective employers.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Expected", "body": "Florida's minimum wage moves to $15/hour (tipped to $11.98) on September 30 \u2014 the last statutory step before future increases tie to inflation. Watch whether Tallahassee's retail and food-service pay, currently stable, begins moving in the October data."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Project Prestige's progression from confidential to named status at Innovation Park would be the clearest local signal of advanced-sector investment this year. A public announcement timeline is the next concrete marker to track."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "National government payrolls shed 17,000 jobs in September and have fallen 216,000 over the past year \u2014 a trend with direct relevance for a metro where state government is a primary employment pillar. Any signs of this national pattern reaching Florida state agencies in Tallahassee would be a material shift, not background noise."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Florida's statewide ratio of 93 job seekers per 100 openings suggests the acute labor shortage of recent years is easing. Whether Tallahassee's wider unemployment gap versus the state narrows or widens over the next two reporting cycles will indicate if the metro is catching up or falling further behind."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 24727.0, "metro_p50": 30160.0, "metro_p75": 33773.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33325.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 24871.0, "metro_p50": 29120.0, "metro_p75": 29775.75, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 31200.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 28291.25, "metro_p50": 34314.6, "metro_p75": 37440.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 38000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 56160.0, "metro_p50": 79560.0, "metro_p75": 88400.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 78000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29202.0, "metro_p50": 32400.0, "metro_p75": 40225.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 34344.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33280.0, "metro_p50": 40560.0, "metro_p75": 41891.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 40560.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 57200.0, "metro_p50": 63440.0, "metro_p75": 68076.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 71404.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 28185.0, "metro_p50": 33280.0, "metro_p75": 35607.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30999.75, "metro_p50": 35360.0, "metro_p75": 37490.5, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 27217.0, "metro_p50": 31200.0, "metro_p75": 31720.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33756.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31200.0, "metro_p50": 35360.0, "metro_p75": 39759.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 41106.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 28557.0, "metro_p50": 35006.0, "metro_p75": 37440.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 43680.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 44720.0, "metro_p50": 57200.0, "metro_p75": 67300.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 70720.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 74000.0, "metro_p50": 90505.6, "metro_p75": 97101.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 102581.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 137326.0, "metro_p50": 162183.0, "metro_p75": 172449.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 153652.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 98963.0, "metro_p50": 126415.0, "metro_p75": 141956.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 139500.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 42000.0, "metro_p50": 52000.0, "metro_p75": 58321.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 72182.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 74141.0, "metro_p50": 99334.0, "metro_p75": 114176.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 94782.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 52554.75, "metro_p50": 60873.0, "metro_p75": 79936.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 44715.0, "metro_p50": 69140.8, "metro_p75": 77000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 62354.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 60000.0, "metro_p50": 72643.0, "metro_p75": 87458.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 85216.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33280.0, "metro_p50": 47746.2, "metro_p75": 51500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 56731.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 72500.0, "metro_p50": 96152.0, "metro_p75": 113407.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 92749.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 61238.0, "metro_p50": 72000.0, "metro_p75": 75000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 62378.0, "metro_p50": 80917.0, "metro_p75": 94000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 98279.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 66764.5, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 108000.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 44720.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "stable", "postings_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 61500.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 143719.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 84751.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 60000.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 77687.5, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 31305.5, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 62841.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "October 2026", "files": {"html": "tallahassee-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "pdf": "tallahassee-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf", "sources_html": "tallahassee-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-10-09T14:36:58.575200+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/tallahassee-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/tallahassee-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf"}