{"schema_version": 1, "id": "state-college-pa-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 324, "label": "State College, PA MSA", "slug": "state-college-pa-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T08:06:08.470517+00:00", "headline": "State College holds 2.8% jobless rate as healthcare pay pulls ahead.", "headline_summary": "Centre County's 2.8% August unemployment rate sits nearly a full point below Pennsylvania's 3.6%, while local Registered Nurse advertised pay climbed to $98,845 even as retail and manufacturing wages held flat.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Centre County unemployment", "value": "2.8%", "context": "vs 3.6% PA, 4.2% U.S. (Aug/Sep 2026)"}, {"label": "Local labor force", "value": "78,300", "context": "76,100 employed, Aug 2026"}, {"label": "RN advertised pay, metro", "value": "$98,845", "context": "Up moderately; nat'l median $102,252"}, {"label": "PA unemployment streak vs. US", "value": "29 months", "context": "Consecutive months PA below national rate"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Centre County's unemployment edge over the state is widening.", "body": "August's 2.8% rate compares to Pennsylvania's 3.6% and the nation's 4.2%, a gap that reflects the county's reliance on recession-resistant institutional employment over cyclical industry. That insulation cuts both ways: local economic momentum tracks university and public-sector decisions more than national business cycles."}, {"headline": "Healthcare pay gains outrun the metro's broader wage picture.", "body": "Registered Nurse advertised pay rose moderately to $98,845 while most hourly categories, including retail associate and manufacturing roles, sat flat. Consistent with statewide data showing education and health services driving the largest year-over-year job gains, the signal points to sector-specific tightness distinct from metro-wide wage acceleration."}, {"headline": "Professional-services pay increases suggest a shifting local mix.", "body": "Account Manager advertised pay climbed to $99,694, outpacing its national counterpart, while Business Analyst and Operations Manager postings also moved up moderately. For a metro historically defined by education and healthcare, rising advertised pay in business-services categories may suggest diversification in the local employer base worth tracking in economic development planning."}, {"headline": "National wage-inflation gap has not clearly reached this metro yet.", "body": "Nationally, median earnings grew 1.5% against 3.5% CPI inflation, but most Centre County advertised pay figures read stable, suggesting local wage-setting may lag or diverge from the national erosion pattern. Government economists should watch whether that gap widens locally as 2027 cost-of-living data arrives."}], "local_conditions": "Centre County's unemployment rate held near 2.8% in August, well below both the 4.2% national and 3.6% statewide figures, as Penn State, Mount Nittany Medical Center, and state government continue to anchor a labor market with little slack to absorb new entrants. Metro job ads (a signal of hiring demand; one ad often covers several openings) in healthcare roles (Registered Nurse pay up to $98,845) and institutional professional categories (Account Manager up significantly to $99,694) point to targeted wage pressure even as broad categories like retail and manufacturing production hold flat, consistent with the statewide pattern of concentrated gains in education and health services.", "implications": "Tight labor supply in a metro this small means marginal shifts in Penn State enrollment, construction timing, or healthcare demand can move the whole county's labor statistics more than in a larger, more diversified economy. For commerce leaders weighing local expansion, near-record-low unemployment signals confidence but also a narrower bench of available workers than state or national averages suggest; for government economists, a labor force holding near 78,300 with employment at 76,100 indicates participation has not meaningfully slackened despite national debate over immigration-driven labor force growth. Current conditions suggest monitoring whether wage gains in healthcare and professional categories broaden to the metro's hourly service base, or remain concentrated in a handful of occupations.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Expected", "body": "Pennsylvania's minimum wage debate remains unresolved, with House-passed increases to $15 by 2029 stalled in the Senate; any movement would affect the metro's lowest-wage categories, including food service ($29,156 median) and retail cashier roles, more than most peer metros given the area's service-sector density around Penn State."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "Statewide WARN filings in healthcare (22 notices, 3,813 workers) and manufacturing (23 notices, 2,934 workers) over the past quarter bear watching for any spillover into Centre County, where Mount Nittany Medical Center and Glenn O Hawbaker anchor those same sectors locally."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "State College Borough's October police officer recruitment and ongoing campus-adjacent construction (student housing along College Avenue) offer a near-term read on whether public-sector and construction employment keep pace with the county's otherwise tight labor supply."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Federal employment is near 1966 lows nationally amid deferred resignations and early retirements; with State Government listed among Centre County's top employers, any continuation of that trend could register locally in coming unemployment and labor force participation reports."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 23955.0, "metro_p50": 30163.8, "metro_p75": 34646.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33340.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 24960.0, "metro_p50": 30160.0, "metro_p75": 31542.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 31268.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32195.0, "metro_p50": 37794.2, "metro_p75": 40560.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 38480.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 59292.25, "metro_p50": 79252.4, "metro_p75": 89970.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 78872.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30850.0, "metro_p50": 33165.0, "metro_p75": 37983.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 34826.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 34439.0, "metro_p50": 38476.6, "metro_p75": 41600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 40726.6, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 55917.0, "metro_p50": 65520.0, "metro_p75": 72471.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 71835.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33004.0, "metro_p50": 36435.8, "metro_p75": 39520.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33280.0, "metro_p50": 38925.0, "metro_p75": 42419.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 27417.0, "metro_p50": 29156.2, "metro_p75": 30314.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33764.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33255.0, "metro_p50": 40560.0, "metro_p75": 45760.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 41600.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31802.0, "metro_p50": 40568.0, "metro_p75": 47204.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 44552.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 57909.0, "metro_p50": 67600.0, "metro_p75": 73081.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 71406.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 84000.0, "metro_p50": 98844.8, "metro_p75": 109950.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 102252.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 117177.0, "metro_p50": 153395.8, "metro_p75": 170000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 154403.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 99186.0, "metro_p50": 140000.0, "metro_p75": 157215.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 138000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 58701.0, "metro_p50": 69321.0, "metro_p75": 76635.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 72000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 71895.0, "metro_p50": 90926.0, "metro_p75": 101623.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 94646.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 52889.0, "metro_p50": 79977.2, "metro_p75": 86509.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 74477.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 43514.5, "metro_p50": 58631.0, "metro_p75": 69698.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 62916.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 70204.0, "metro_p50": 85277.0, "metro_p75": 98803.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 86294.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 41836.0, "metro_p50": 58274.4, "metro_p75": 63453.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 55908.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 64771.75, "metro_p50": 99694.0, "metro_p75": 123658.75, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 94009.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 52917.0, "metro_p50": 72500.0, "metro_p75": 80000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 81957.75, "metro_p50": 96885.8, "metro_p75": 108238.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 98302.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 75547.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 109000.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 43453.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 40589.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 121626.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 100043.5, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 85000.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 63440.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 34320.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "stable", "postings_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 66955.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "state-college-pa-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "pdf": "state-college-pa-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf", "sources_html": "state-college-pa-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:31:04.889227+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/state-college-pa-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/state-college-pa-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf"}