{"schema_version": 1, "id": "state-college-pa-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 324, "label": "State College, PA MSA", "slug": "state-college-pa-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-09", "public_after": "2026-09-01", "frozen_at": "2026-10-09T13:43:41.850826+00:00", "headline": "State College's labor market holds tight as state, nation cool.", "headline_summary": "Centre County unemployment sits at 3.0% versus 4.1% statewide and 4.2% nationally, even as U.S. payroll growth slowed to just 29,000 jobs in September and real wages fell behind inflation.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Centre County unemployment", "value": "3.0%", "context": "vs 4.1% PA, 4.2% U.S."}, {"label": "National payroll growth", "value": "29,000 jobs", "context": "Sept 2026, below 45k 12-mo average"}, {"label": "PA sector job shift since Aug 2025", "value": "+36,000 / -13,900", "context": "Health/Education gains vs Gov't/Construction losses"}, {"label": "National wage vs inflation gap", "value": "3.0% vs 3.4%", "context": "Weakest real-wage position since May 2021"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "State College remains an outlier of tightness against a cooling nation.", "body": "A 3.0% county unemployment rate sits well below the 4.1% state and 4.2% national readings even as U.S. payroll growth slowed to 29,000 in September, the weakest reading in over a year. That gap is consistent with the metro's education and health-services base proving more insulated from the national slowdown than goods-producing or government-heavy regional economies."}, {"headline": "Health and education sectors are doing the heavy lifting locally and statewide.", "body": "Pennsylvania's Health and Education and Leisure/Hospitality supersectors added 36,000 jobs since August 2025 while government, construction, and information lost nearly 14,000 combined. Registered Nurse advertised pay locally rose significantly to $98,948, reinforcing that the sector carrying statewide job growth is also commanding stronger local wage momentum."}, {"headline": "Operations and administrative pay softness may flag quiet cost discipline.", "body": "Operations Manager advertised pay fell significantly to $74,524 locally (versus a stable $85,216 nationally), and Administrative Assistant pay dropped significantly to $39,679 against a national increase. Divergence this sharp from national trend is consistent with local employers tightening overhead-related spending even as front-line health and skilled-trades pay climbs."}, {"headline": "Wage-vs-inflation gap nationally should temper optimism about local consumer spending.", "body": "National average hourly earnings grew just 3.0% year-over-year against 3.4% inflation, the weakest real-wage position since 2021. Even with a tight local labor market, a metro this closely tied to a public university and regional retail base cannot fully decouple from national purchasing-power pressure on consumer-facing business activity."}], "local_conditions": "Centre County's unemployment rate held at 3.0% in the most recent reading, nearly a full point below Pennsylvania's 4.1%, even as state-level job growth slowed to its slowest pace in months and national payroll additions cooled sharply to 29,000 in September. Local labor market strength appears concentrated in education, health services, and the public university presence that anchors the metro, a pattern consistent with statewide gains in Health and Education (36,000 jobs added since August 2025) while construction, government, and trade/transportation contracted nationally and statewide.", "implications": "A metro unemployment rate near 3.0% against a cooling national hiring pace suggests State College's labor market is behaving countercyclically to broader national softening, which has implications for how commerce leaders read expansion signals versus national headlines. Advertised pay gains in registered nursing, accounting, and financial analysis locally, paired with a significant decline in Operations Manager pay, point to uneven momentum across sectors rather than a uniform local boom. Current conditions suggest local economic development and chamber leaders should frame the metro's tight labor market as a point of distinction from state and national trends in public communications, while watching whether sector-specific wage softness (administrative, operations roles) signals cost pressure in local business operations.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Expected", "body": "BLS has not yet released September metro-level unemployment data for State College MSA as of this writing; watch for the lagged release to confirm whether the 3.0% Centre County reading holds or converges toward the state's 4.1%."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Pennsylvania saw labor force dropouts jump from roughly 8,000 to over 15,000 through Q3 2025, a participation signal worth tracking locally given the metro's demographic reliance on a large student and university-adjacent workforce."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "National WARN filings remain elevated (Amazon, Meta, Oracle, Tyson Foods among named filers) even as Pennsylvania recorded only 17 notices affecting under 1,900 workers in the past 90 days; a sustained absence of local filings would reinforce the metro's relative insulation."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Financial Analyst and Accountant advertised pay rose significantly locally this month, a divergence from flatter national trends; sustained strength here could indicate the metro's professional-services base is expanding independent of the broader state slowdown."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 24431.0, "metro_p50": 30957.0, "metro_p75": 36920.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33325.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 24254.25, "metro_p50": 29735.0, "metro_p75": 31494.25, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 31200.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31974.25, "metro_p50": 37303.8, "metro_p75": 40000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 38000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 58770.0, "metro_p50": 78238.0, "metro_p75": 90000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 78000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29437.0, "metro_p50": 33164.0, "metro_p75": 37888.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 34344.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31508.0, "metro_p50": 36712.2, "metro_p75": 40560.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 40560.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 55917.0, "metro_p50": 66466.0, "metro_p75": 73382.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 71404.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32851.0, "metro_p50": 36400.0, "metro_p75": 39520.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33511.5, "metro_p50": 38925.0, "metro_p75": 42328.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 27587.25, "metro_p50": 29268.0, "metro_p75": 30410.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33756.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33109.25, "metro_p50": 40560.0, "metro_p75": 46280.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 41106.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30960.75, "metro_p50": 39679.4, "metro_p75": 45210.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 43680.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 58017.5, "metro_p50": 67600.0, "metro_p75": 73511.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 70720.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 84082.0, "metro_p50": 98948.0, "metro_p75": 109952.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 102581.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 116216.5, "metro_p50": 153408.4, "metro_p75": 170000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 153652.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 99222.0, "metro_p50": 140370.0, "metro_p75": 158853.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 139500.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 59452.25, "metro_p50": 70986.4, "metro_p75": 79291.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 72182.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 71895.0, "metro_p50": 92101.0, "metro_p75": 101631.75, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 94782.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 52972.0, "metro_p50": 81225.0, "metro_p75": 87335.75, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 45038.0, "metro_p50": 58631.0, "metro_p75": 70039.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 62354.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 71998.0, "metro_p50": 74524.0, "metro_p75": 75541.25, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 85216.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 42735.0, "metro_p50": 59288.8, "metro_p75": 63649.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 56731.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 63676.25, "metro_p50": 97345.0, "metro_p75": 121518.75, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 92749.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 52917.0, "metro_p50": 74000.0, "metro_p75": 81500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 82634.0, "metro_p50": 97175.8, "metro_p75": 109986.25, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 98279.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 76545.5, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 108740.5, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 43713.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 39520.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 121904.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 106723.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 82695.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 63342.5, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 33642.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 66660.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "October 2026", "files": {"html": "state-college-pa-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "pdf": "state-college-pa-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf", "sources_html": "state-college-pa-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-10-09T14:36:51.169567+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/state-college-pa-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/state-college-pa-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf"}