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3.0%
Centre County unemployment
vs 4.1% PA, 4.2% U.S.
29,000 jobs
National payroll growth
Sept 2026, below 45k 12-mo average
+36,000 / -13,900
PA sector job shift since Aug 2025
Health/Education gains vs Gov't/Construction losses
3.0% vs 3.4%
National wage vs inflation gap
Weakest real-wage position since May 2021
This Month's Takeaways
A 3.0% county unemployment rate sits well below the 4.1% state and 4.2% national readings even as U.S. payroll growth slowed to 29,000 in September, the weakest reading in over a year. That gap is consistent with the metro's education and health-services base proving more insulated from the national slowdown than goods-producing or government-heavy regional economies.
Pennsylvania's Health and Education and Leisure/Hospitality supersectors added 36,000 jobs since August 2025 while government, construction, and information lost nearly 14,000 combined. Registered Nurse advertised pay locally rose significantly to $98,948, reinforcing that the sector carrying statewide job growth is also commanding stronger local wage momentum.
Operations Manager advertised pay fell significantly to $74,524 locally (versus a stable $85,216 nationally), and Administrative Assistant pay dropped significantly to $39,679 against a national increase. Divergence this sharp from national trend is consistent with local employers tightening overhead-related spending even as front-line health and skilled-trades pay climbs.
National average hourly earnings grew just 3.0% year-over-year against 3.4% inflation, the weakest real-wage position since 2021. Even with a tight local labor market, a metro this closely tied to a public university and regional retail base cannot fully decouple from national purchasing-power pressure on consumer-facing business activity.
Local Economic Conditions
Centre County's unemployment rate held at 3.0% in the most recent reading, nearly a full point below Pennsylvania's 4.1%, even as state-level job growth slowed to its slowest pace in months and national payroll additions cooled sharply to 29,000 in September. Local labor market strength appears concentrated in education, health services, and the public university presence that anchors the metro, a pattern consistent with statewide gains in Health and Education (36,000 jobs added since August 2025) while construction, government, and trade/transportation contracted nationally and statewide.
Open Threads in the Data
A metro unemployment rate near 3.0% against a cooling national hiring pace suggests State College's labor market is behaving countercyclically to broader national softening, which has implications for how commerce leaders read expansion signals versus national headlines. Advertised pay gains in registered nursing, accounting, and financial analysis locally, paired with a significant decline in Operations Manager pay, point to uneven momentum across sectors rather than a uniform local boom. Current conditions suggest local economic development and chamber leaders should frame the metro's tight labor market as a point of distinction from state and national trends in public communications, while watching whether sector-specific wage softness (administrative, operations roles) signals cost pressure in local business operations.
Advertised Pay Indicators · WageScape Benchmark 25 Jobs
Job postings data for the State College, PA MSA metro — median advertised pay, its recent trend, and the number of active postings behind each figure. Jobs are grouped for readability and are not the same as the 10 sector classifications on the next page. For additional job detail contact WageScape.
| Median Pay | Pay Trend | Postings |
|---|
Retail Trade
| Retail Sales Associate | $30,957 | ↑ Moderate increase | 4,749 |
| Retail Cashier | $29,735 | → Stable | 1,238 |
Transportation & Warehousing
| Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate | $37,304 | → Stable | 1,182 |
| CDL Truck Driver | $78,238 | ↓ Moderate decline | 9,367 |
| Delivery Driver | $33,164 | → Stable | 7,682 |
| Warehouse Manager | $74,000 | ↑ Moderate increase | 52 |
Construction
| Construction Laborer | $36,712 | → Stable | 269 |
Construction/Skilled Trades
| Electrician | $66,466 | ↑ Moderate increase | 1,294 |
| HVAC Technician | $67,600 | ↑ Moderate increase | 248 |
Manufacturing
| Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler | $36,400 | → Stable | 1,216 |
Cross-Sector
| Customer Service Representative | $38,925 | → Stable | 2,186 |
| Operations Manager | $74,524 | ↓ Significant decline | 16 |
Leisure & Hospitality
| Food Service Worker | $29,268 | → Stable | 296 |
Healthcare
| Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide | $40,560 | → Stable | 3,212 |
| Registered Nurse | $98,948 | ↑ Significant increase | 8,610 |
Admin/Office Support
| Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk | $39,679 | ↓ Significant decline | 1,768 |
Information/Technology
| Software Engineer | $153,408 | → Stable | 8,455 |
| Data Engineer | $140,370 | ↑ Moderate increase | 3,465 |
Professional & Business Services
| Accountant | $70,986 | ↑ Significant increase | 4,044 |
| HR Generalist/Manager | $81,225 | ↑ Significant increase | 536 |
| Marketing Specialist | $58,631 | ↑ Moderate increase | 789 |
| Business Analyst | $97,176 | ↑ Significant increase | 2,468 |
Finance & Insurance
| Financial Analyst | $92,101 | ↑ Significant increase | 824 |
Government/Education
| Elementary/Secondary School Teacher | $59,289 | ↑ Significant increase | 9,487 |
Cross-Sector Sales
| Account Manager | $97,345 | ↑ Significant increase | 5,622 |
Industry Snapshot · State College, PA MSA
Advertised pay and job-posting trends across the whole metro economy, rolled up by employer industry — not just the bellwether roles above.
| Sector | Median Pay Change | Job Postings Change |
|---|---|---|
| Construction | ↑ +46.4% | ↑ +233.4% |
| Manufacturing | ↑ +24.1% | ↑ +262.3% |
| Retail Trade | ↑ +25.6% | ↑ +37.0% |
| Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities | ↑ +7.0% | ↑ +49.1% |
| Information | ↑ +111.1% | ↑ +141.7% |
| Financial Activities | ↑ +44.0% | ↑ +375.2% |
| Professional & Business Services | ↑ +26.2% | ↑ +303.7% |
| Education & Health Services | ↑ +8.8% | ↑ +70.5% |
| Leisure & Hospitality | ↑ +8.5% | ↑ +69.9% |
| Government | ↑ +20.0% | ↓ −21.1% |
Looking Ahead · Next 30–60 Days
Expected
BLS has not yet released September metro-level unemployment data for State College MSA as of this writing; watch for the lagged release to confirm whether the 3.0% Centre County reading holds or converges toward the state's 4.1%.
Emerging pressure point
Pennsylvania saw labor force dropouts jump from roughly 8,000 to over 15,000 through Q3 2025, a participation signal worth tracking locally given the metro's demographic reliance on a large student and university-adjacent workforce.
Worth watching
National WARN filings remain elevated (Amazon, Meta, Oracle, Tyson Foods among named filers) even as Pennsylvania recorded only 17 notices affecting under 1,900 workers in the past 90 days; a sustained absence of local filings would reinforce the metro's relative insulation.
Potential inflection point
Financial Analyst and Accountant advertised pay rose significantly locally this month, a divergence from flatter national trends; sustained strength here could indicate the metro's professional-services base is expanding independent of the broader state slowdown.
Sources & Methodology
Pay and hiring data provided by WageScape. See every source cited in this report, with links →
Advertised pay reflects the pay ranges employers publish in active job postings in this metro, not survey or payroll data. Pay trends compare the current period with the prior period for the same metro and role. Sector figures group postings by the employer's industry classification; sectors with limited classified postings are marked as such rather than estimated. This briefing is independent of, and complements, official statistics from the BLS and state labor market information offices.
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