{"schema_version": 1, "id": "st-cloud-mn-msa/human-resources/2026-08", "product": "Labor Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 486, "label": "St. Cloud, MN MSA", "slug": "st-cloud-mn-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "human_resources", "slug": "human-resources", "label": "Human Resources"}, "period": "2026-08", "public_after": "2026-08-01", "frozen_at": "2026-10-09T16:22:00.941724+00:00", "headline": "St. Cloud's job losses cluster in retail and hospitality, not healthcare.", "headline_summary": "St. Cloud lost 876 jobs over the year \u2014 the steepest proportional decline of any Minnesota metro \u2014 driven almost entirely by retail and hospitality, while Education and Health Services added 860 jobs and Compensation Analyst pay climbed to $124,783.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "St. Cloud annual job change", "value": "-0.8%", "context": "876 jobs lost, largest proportional MN decline"}, {"label": "Education & Health Services growth", "value": "+3.9%", "context": "860 jobs added, only supersector with gains"}, {"label": "Minnesota labor force participation", "value": "66.8%", "context": "Down from 68.1% a year ago, declining monthly"}, {"label": "Single-family building permits", "value": "20", "context": "Down from 27 in July (Central MN Builders Assoc.)"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "St. Cloud's job losses are sector-specific, not broad-based.", "body": "Retail, hospitality and information account for nearly all of the metro's annual job decline, while healthcare added 860 jobs. Workforce plans built on metro-wide averages will miss this divergence \u2014 sector-level benchmarking now matters more than headline metro figures."}, {"headline": "Compensation Analyst pay signals a data-capability arms race.", "body": "Metro median pay for the role has risen to $124,783, nearly 24% above the national figure, even as HRIS Analyst pay softened locally. Employers appear to be paying up for analytical judgment while automating more routine reporting functions."}, {"headline": "HR Coordinator pay erosion diverges sharply from the national trend.", "body": "Metro median pay for this role fell significantly while the national median rose, an unusual local-national split. This may reflect softer administrative hiring demand locally, consistent with contraction in the retail and hospitality base that typically feeds coordinator-level roles."}, {"headline": "Slowing single-family permits are an early signal for construction hiring.", "body": "Permits cooled to 20 in August from 27 in July even as construction employment held nearly flat (down 1.5% annually). A widening gap between permit activity and current headcount could presage softer construction hiring in coming months."}], "local_conditions": "St. Cloud's job base contracted 0.8% over the year to August, the steepest proportional decline among Minnesota's metros, as retail trade shed 513 jobs and leisure and hospitality dropped 352 \u2014 a pattern consistent with softening consumer-facing demand even as single-family building permits cooled to 20 from 27 in July. Education and Health Services was the lone bright spot, adding 860 jobs (3.9%), reinforcing a metro economy increasingly dependent on healthcare-sector expansion while goods- and service-consumption industries retrench.", "implications": "Contraction concentrated in retail, hospitality and information suggests employers in those sectors have more hiring leverage than they've had in years, while healthcare and adjacent professional roles remain competitive and likely to see continued pay pressure. Compensation Analyst advertised pay climbing to a $124,783 metro median \u2014 well above the $101,055 national figure \u2014 points to organizations investing heavily in the data infrastructure needed to navigate a bifurcated labor market. Consider reviewing whether retention budgets are still weighted toward sectors now showing labor slack, and shift investment toward healthcare and specialized analytical roles where competition is intensifying.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Retail and hospitality contraction (585 and 352 jobs lost annually) may release candidates into the local pool. Watch whether healthcare and professional services employers can absorb this supply or whether skills mismatches limit mobility."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Minnesota's labor force participation has declined every month in 2026, tied to aging demographics and reduced immigration inflows following enforcement activity. St. Cloud employers reliant on entry-level or hourly labor should expect this statewide tightening to compound local sector-specific softness."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "Single-family building permits fell from 27 to 20 month over month. A continued slide would be an early signal to reassess construction and skilled-trades hiring plans before headcount data catches up."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Healthcare has been the only supersector posting annual gains (3.9%). Watch whether wage growth in healthcare roles accelerates further, given statewide Education and Health Services momentum and constrained overall labor supply."}], "roles": [{"role": "Compensation Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 93333.5, "metro_p50": 124783.2, "metro_p75": 132720.25, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 101054.6, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Business Partner", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 68937.75, "metro_p50": 85060.0, "metro_p75": 97500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 83180.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Benefits Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 82000.0, "metro_p50": 116161.8, "metro_p75": 130850.25, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 120000.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "HRIS Analyst", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 82422.0, "metro_p50": 97578.0, "metro_p75": 111330.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 95665.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HR Coordinator", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 45180.75, "metro_p50": 50939.2, "metro_p75": 58094.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 50095.2, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Recruiter", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 46593.0, "metro_p50": 61630.8, "metro_p75": 67500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 67643.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Payroll Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 54080.0, "metro_p50": 58240.0, "metro_p75": 62400.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 58266.2, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}], "industry_snapshot": [], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "September 2026", "files": {"html": "st-cloud-mn-msa/human-resources/2026-08.html", "pdf": "st-cloud-mn-msa/human-resources/2026-08.pdf"}, "published_at": "2026-10-09T16:22:21.667980+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/st-cloud-mn-msa/human-resources/2026-08.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/st-cloud-mn-msa/human-resources/2026-08.pdf"}