{"schema_version": 1, "id": "springfield-oh-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-10", "product": "Labor Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 496, "label": "Springfield, OH MSA", "slug": "springfield-oh-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "restaurant_industry", "slug": "restaurant-industry", "label": "Restaurant Industry"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T07:13:26.605342+00:00", "headline": "Springfield's labor pool loosens as Server pay climbs anyway.", "headline_summary": "Clark County shed jobs faster than any Ohio metro in 2026, yet Springfield Server pay rose significantly to $32,888 even as Line Cook pay slipped to $30,792 \u2014 nearly $6,600 below the national median.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Clark County unemployment", "value": "3.8%", "context": "August 2026, down from 3.9% in July"}, {"label": "Springfield job losses, H1 2026", "value": "-0.42%", "context": "Largest decline of Ohio's 11 metro areas"}, {"label": "Ohio tipped minimum wage", "value": "$5.50/hr", "context": "Rising to $5.70 in 2027 via CPI lock"}, {"label": "Line Cook pay gap, metro vs. national", "value": "$6,629", "context": "$30,792 Springfield vs. $37,421 national median"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Server pay is climbing locally while cook pay slides.", "body": "Springfield's Server median rose significantly to $32,888 even as Line Cook pay moved down to $30,792, nearly $6,600 below the national Line Cook median. The gap suggests BOH recruitment, not FOH, is where Springfield operators face the steepest comparative disadvantage against national competitors."}, {"headline": "Manufacturing layoffs may widen the hourly candidate pool.", "body": "Springfield lost jobs faster than any Ohio metro in 2026, with over 1,300 truck-manufacturing workers recently displaced by the International Motors facility sale. Restaurant operators competing for back-of-house and crew labor may see near-term relief in candidate volume, even as wages in those roles have not yet reflected it."}, {"headline": "Ohio's tipped-wage math now has a predictable runway.", "body": "The 2027 jump to $11.40 non-tipped and $5.70 tipped is locked in by constitutional CPI indexing, removing political uncertainty from multi-year labor cost modeling. Operators can budget tip-credit exposure with more confidence than peers in states facing active tipped-wage repeal debates."}, {"headline": "80/20 rule repeal changes side-work cost math for FOH staff.", "body": "DOL's October withdrawal of the 80/20 threshold means non-tip duties like cleaning and stocking can now be paid at $2.13 federal tipped wage without the prior 20%-of-shift cap. Springfield operators relying heavily on tipped staff for prep and cleaning may see modest direct wage relief, though compliance tracking burden on Ohio's $30-monthly tip threshold remains unchanged."}], "local_conditions": "Clark County's unemployment rate held near 3.8% in August even as Springfield shed jobs faster than any other Ohio metro in 2026, with manufacturing layoffs \u2014 including over 1,300 truck-manufacturing workers tied to International Motors' facility sale \u2014 compressing the broader labor pool restaurants compete against for hourly talent. Statewide, Ohio's constitutionally mandated minimum wage increase to $11.00/$5.50 (non-tipped/tipped) took effect this year, with a locked 2027 jump to $11.40/$5.70 already scheduled, giving operators rare multi-year wage-floor visibility even as local labor supply tightens.", "implications": "Manufacturing contraction in Clark County may loosen competition for entry-level and back-of-house labor as displaced production workers consider food service, but Springfield's Server pay moving up significantly against a stable national trend suggests front-of-house wage pressure is building independently of the broader labor surplus. Operators managing labor cost as a share of revenue should treat FOH and BOH as separate problems this quarter \u2014 one driven by local wage competition for tipped roles, the other potentially easing as manufacturing layoffs widen the hourly candidate pool. Consider reviewing whether current tipped-wage structures and side-work assignments reflect the DOL's withdrawal of the 80/20 rule, which now allows non-tip duties to be paid at the $2.13 federal tipped rate without threshold limits.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Whether displaced manufacturing workers from the International Motors facility sale and other 2026 layoffs show up in restaurant applicant pools over the next two months, particularly for crew and back-of-house roles where turnover runs highest."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Line Cook pay in Springfield trending down while national demand for cooks is projected to grow 12% through 2035 \u2014 a divergence that could leave local operators underpricing a role facing structural national wage pressure."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "Clark County's unemployment rate ticked up slightly from July to August; a continued rise alongside manufacturing contraction would mark a shift from a tight to a loosening local labor market, with implications for how aggressively operators need to compete on starting pay."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Federal proposals targeting a $20 minimum wage and elimination of the tip-credit system by 2030 remain early-stage, but Secretary Sonderling's confirmation gives wage-and-hour policy a stable hand worth monitoring for tip-credit rule changes that would reshape FOH compensation structures."}], "roles": [{"role": "Assistant Restaurant Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 25105.0, "metro_p50": 37440.0, "metro_p75": 39358.25, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39211.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Catering Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 36156.0, "metro_p50": 46800.0, "metro_p75": 54080.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 50076.0, "national_trend_direction": "down", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Crew", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 24960.0, "metro_p50": 29120.0, "metro_p75": 29203.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 30066.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Line Cook", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29120.0, "metro_p50": 30791.8, "metro_p75": 31813.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 37421.4, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Restaurant Manager/General Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 45829.0, "metro_p50": 55770.6, "metro_p75": 63500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 59724.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Server", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 27211.0, "metro_p50": 32888.0, "metro_p75": 34112.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 35024.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Shift Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 27127.5, "metro_p50": 30890.0, "metro_p75": 32623.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33024.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [], "citations": [{"source_name": "Ohio Department of Job and Family Services", "source_url": null, "statement": "Clark County unemployment at 3.8% in August 2026, down from 3.9% in July"}, {"source_name": "Journal-News/Dayton Daily News", "source_url": null, "statement": "Springfield lost jobs faster than any other Ohio metro in first half of 2026"}, {"source_name": "Eastern Herald", "source_url": null, "statement": "Over 1,300 Springfield truck workers lost jobs tied to International Motors facility sale"}, {"source_name": "U.S. Department of Labor", "source_url": null, "statement": "DOL withdrew the 80/20 rule for tipped wage compliance in October 2026"}, {"source_name": "Ohio Department of Commerce", "source_url": null, "statement": "Ohio's 2027 minimum wage set to rise to $11.40 non-tipped / $5.70 tipped via CPI indexing"}, {"source_name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics", "source_url": null, "statement": "BLS projects cooks to grow 12% from 2025-2035 versus 2% for waiters"}], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "springfield-oh-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-10.html", "pdf": "springfield-oh-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-10.pdf"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:30:54.636781+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/springfield-oh-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/springfield-oh-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-10.pdf"}