{"schema_version": 1, "id": "springfield-oh-msa/human-resources/2026-09", "product": "Labor Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 496, "label": "Springfield, OH MSA", "slug": "springfield-oh-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "human_resources", "slug": "human-resources", "label": "Human Resources"}, "period": "2026-09", "public_after": "2026-09-01", "frozen_at": "2026-10-09T13:12:55.110552+00:00", "headline": "Springfield's largest layoff in five years floods a shrinking labor pool", "headline_summary": "1,341 International Motors terminations hit by October 2 against a metro where employment already fell 0.4% in June \u2014 the sharpest drop in Ohio \u2014 while HR Business Partner pay climbs to $82,500, nearly matching the national median.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "International Motors layoff", "value": "1,341 workers", "context": "Largest Ohio layoff in 5 years, effective Oct 2"}, {"label": "Clark County unemployment", "value": "3.8%", "context": "Aug 2026, pre-layoff baseline; watch next release"}, {"label": "Metro manufacturing employment", "value": "-3.1% YoY", "context": "Through mid-2026, before Roshel transition"}, {"label": "Metro employment change", "value": "-0.4%", "context": "June 2026, largest decline of any Ohio metro"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "A five-year-record layoff is about to flood the local talent pool.", "body": "1,341 terminations at International Motors' Springfield Assembly Plant hit by October 2, against a metro where manufacturing employment was already down 3.1% year-over-year. Expect an immediate surge of production, maintenance, and plant-support candidates available for roles across logistics, warehousing, and adjacent manufacturing employers."}, {"headline": "Roshel's rehiring intent complicates the retention calculus.", "body": "International's workforce does not automatically transfer to Roshel, but the buyer intends to establish new operations at the same Springfield sites. Employers who poach displaced talent now may face a counter-bidding window later if Roshel begins rehiring at competitive rates to rebuild its workforce quickly."}, {"headline": "HR Business Partner pay is climbing against a softening metro.", "body": "Metro HRBP advertised pay is up significantly to $82,500, nearly matching the national median of $83,766, even as broader metro employment contracts faster than anywhere else in Ohio. That divergence suggests employers are prioritizing strategic HR capacity precisely when workforce disruption \u2014 like the Roshel transition \u2014 demands it."}, {"headline": "Statewide labor force shrinkage limits how far wages can fall.", "body": "Ohio's labor force has contracted 95,000 workers year-over-year even as Springfield adds displaced manufacturing talent to the local pool. Any pay softening in production roles may prove temporary and localized rather than reflective of broader state-level labor slack."}], "local_conditions": "Springfield's labor market is absorbing the shock of International Motors' sale to Roshel, with 1,341 WARN-filed terminations at the Springfield Assembly Plant taking effect by October 2 \u2014 Ohio's largest single layoff event in five years. Manufacturing employment was already down 3.1% year-over-year heading into this disruption, and June's 0.4% metro employment decline was the steepest of any Ohio MSA, suggesting the layoff compounds an existing contraction rather than triggering an isolated one.", "implications": "A sudden release of manufacturing, skilled trades, and plant-adjacent talent into a metro already showing hiring softness creates a buyer's market for production, logistics, and technical roles through year-end, even as Roshel signals intent to rehire at the same facilities. HR leaders outside manufacturing may find a rare window to backfill hard-to-fill operational and supervisory roles at more disciplined pay, while those inside manufacturing or its supply chain should prepare for retention risk if Roshel's hiring timeline creates a competitive bidding window for displaced talent. Consider reviewing contingency staffing plans now, before Roshel's rehiring intentions become concrete and reset local wage expectations for plant-level roles.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Expected", "body": "Watch for confirmation of Roshel's hiring timeline and target headcount at the Springfield Assembly Plant and Truck Specialty Center. Organizations competing for manufacturing or plant-support talent should track whether Roshel re-enters the market as a wage-setting competitor within the next 60 days."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Clark County unemployment sat at 3.8% in August, before the full October 2 layoff effective date. Expect this figure to rise materially in the September and October releases, giving HR leaders a clearer read on how much slack the layoff actually introduces."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "Transportation, warehousing, and professional/business services employment were already declining year-over-year in the metro before this layoff. Monitor whether displaced manufacturing workers shift into these adjacent sectors, which could ease hiring difficulty there while adding competitive pressure in production-adjacent roles."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Ohio's labor force contraction (95,000 fewer workers year-over-year) runs counter to Springfield's sudden influx of available manufacturing talent. Watch whether displaced workers stay in the local labor force or exit it entirely, which would determine whether this layoff actually loosens the metro's talent market or simply redistributes an already-shrinking one."}], "roles": [{"role": "Compensation Analyst", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 68167.75, "metro_p50": 97850.0, "metro_p75": 108186.25, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 101727.4, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Business Partner", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 61393.5, "metro_p50": 82500.0, "metro_p75": 83747.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 83766.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Benefits Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 83613.0, "metro_p50": 109762.0, "metro_p75": 119674.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 117888.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HRIS Analyst", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 74598.0, "metro_p50": 86772.8, "metro_p75": 97797.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 97554.8, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HR Coordinator", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 37495.0, "metro_p50": 45820.2, "metro_p75": 52000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 50000.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Recruiter", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 51730.0, "metro_p50": 65618.4, "metro_p75": 72558.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 68167.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Payroll Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 43585.0, "metro_p50": 49739.6, "metro_p75": 50315.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 59855.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}], "industry_snapshot": [], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "October 2026", "files": {"html": "springfield-oh-msa/human-resources/2026-09.html", "pdf": "springfield-oh-msa/human-resources/2026-09.pdf"}, "published_at": "2026-10-09T14:36:40.394367+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/springfield-oh-msa/human-resources/2026-09.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/springfield-oh-msa/human-resources/2026-09.pdf"}