{"schema_version": 1, "id": "sioux-falls-sd-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 329, "label": "Sioux Falls, SD MSA", "slug": "sioux-falls-sd-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T08:06:24.099692+00:00", "headline": "Sioux Falls workforce shrinks even as wages outpace inflation.", "headline_summary": "Minnehaha County unemployment rose to 2.1% in October while the statewide labor force contracted roughly 9,000 workers year-over-year, even as local wages climbed 5.1% \u2014 a tight-but-shrinking labor market that outpaces the national wage-inflation gap.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Minnehaha County unemployment", "value": "2.1%", "context": "Up from tighter readings earlier in 2026"}, {"label": "SD labor force participation", "value": "66.3%", "context": "Down from 68.2% a year earlier"}, {"label": "Minnehaha County wage growth", "value": "5.1% YoY", "context": "vs. 1.5% national median earnings growth"}, {"label": "Local job openings (July)", "value": "9,559", "context": "Up from prior month, SiouxFalls.Business"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Low unemployment is masking a shrinking workforce.", "body": "South Dakota's labor force fell about 9,000 workers year-over-year even as Minnehaha County unemployment held near 2%. Economic development planning premised on abundant available labor may need revisiting in favor of participation-rate tracking."}, {"headline": "Metro wage growth is outrunning the national pattern.", "body": "Minnehaha County's 5.1% annual wage gain compares favorably to a national backdrop where median weekly earnings rose just 1.5% against 3.5% CPI inflation. That divergence supports a case that local household purchasing power is holding up better than the national narrative suggests, relevant to retailers and service businesses assessing local demand."}, {"headline": "Government employment is cushioning private-sector softness statewide.", "body": "State government employment rose 6.4% in September even as leisure/hospitality fell 5.8% and professional services declined 2.2%. Public-sector stability is doing real work to offset private payroll contraction, a signal for budget planners and chambers tracking the breadth of local momentum."}, {"headline": "Construction and delivery pay gains point to logistics strength.", "body": "Metro construction laborer pay rose moderately to $43,160 and delivery driver pay jumped to $40,988, both outpacing national medians. Advertised pay movement in these roles is consistent with continued build-out and distribution activity in the metro even as office-oriented sectors show flatter signals."}], "local_conditions": "Minnehaha County unemployment ticked up to 2.1% in October from exceptionally tight readings earlier in the year, even as South Dakota's statewide labor force shrank by roughly 9,000 workers year-over-year through September \u2014 a supply contraction that appears to reflect demographic exits and slowing population growth more than demand weakness. Local job openings reached 9,559 in July against a state labor force participation rate that fell to 66.3% from 68.2% a year earlier, a combination consistent with employers competing for a pool of available workers that is measurably smaller than it was twelve months ago.", "implications": "Shrinking labor force participation alongside still-low unemployment signals a structural capacity constraint on the metro economy, a distinction that matters for how commerce leaders calibrate expansion timelines and how government economists model future tax base growth. Wage data showing Minnehaha County's average weekly wage up 5.1% year-over-year outpacing the national wage-versus-CPI gap suggests local employers are bidding for a scarcer workforce even as national real wages erode, a divergence worth tracking for what it implies about metro consumer spending power relative to the rest of the country. Commerce and economic development leaders should consider evaluating workforce participation trends alongside job-opening data when assessing the metro's near-term capacity for business expansion, giving weight to participation trends as a complement to the unemployment rate.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Early indicator", "body": "November's release of October MSA-level employment data will show whether the Minnehaha County uptick to 2.1% unemployment is a one-month blip or the start of a trend. Commerce leaders should watch whether participation continues falling alongside any unemployment increase, which would confirm a supply story over a demand slowdown."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Statewide job losses in August and July (negative year-over-year employment growth) have not yet shown up clearly at the metro level. Watch whether Sioux Falls begins tracking the statewide softening or continues to diverge as the state's largest employment center."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Minimum wage rises to $12.30/hour statewide on January 1, 2027, affecting cost structures for retail, food service and hospitality employers across the metro. Commerce organizations may want to begin fielding questions from member businesses on cost-pass-through planning before year-end."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Agricultural cost pressures (diesel, fertilizer, equipment) and drought conditions noted at the state level could constrain payroll growth in ag-linked sectors feeding into the Sioux Falls economy. Watch fourth-quarter farm income reports for signs this spreads into metro-adjacent manufacturing and distribution."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 26345.25, "metro_p50": 31200.0, "metro_p75": 34320.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33340.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 27369.0, "metro_p50": 30970.4, "metro_p75": 32240.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 31268.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33565.0, "metro_p50": 38480.0, "metro_p75": 41600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 38480.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 55120.0, "metro_p50": 74387.0, "metro_p75": 85646.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 78872.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32541.0, "metro_p50": 40987.6, "metro_p75": 46800.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 34826.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 35993.0, "metro_p50": 43160.0, "metro_p75": 45770.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 40726.6, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 55989.0, "metro_p50": 68606.4, "metro_p75": 76393.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 71835.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33939.75, "metro_p50": 38917.0, "metro_p75": 41900.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32244.5, "metro_p50": 36771.0, "metro_p75": 38480.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29320.0, "metro_p50": 32032.0, "metro_p75": 35360.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33764.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 36677.0, "metro_p50": 38667.0, "metro_p75": 45760.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 41600.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 35495.5, "metro_p50": 43603.2, "metro_p75": 46000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 44552.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 57200.0, "metro_p50": 66040.0, "metro_p75": 73537.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 71406.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 71465.5, "metro_p50": 83903.0, "metro_p75": 86953.75, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 102252.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 91286.0, "metro_p50": 123375.0, "metro_p75": 143676.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 154403.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 76453.0, "metro_p50": 94977.0, "metro_p75": 109847.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 138000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 51767.0, "metro_p50": 57795.2, "metro_p75": 64618.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 72000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 70930.0, "metro_p50": 77055.8, "metro_p75": 82510.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 94646.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 60960.0, "metro_p50": 67500.0, "metro_p75": 67500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 74477.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 41691.0, "metro_p50": 45712.4, "metro_p75": 64340.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 62916.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 50648.0, "metro_p50": 50648.0, "metro_p75": 72662.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 86294.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30912.0, "metro_p50": 48168.0, "metro_p75": 56751.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 55908.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 58920.75, "metro_p50": 81922.8, "metro_p75": 95000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94009.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 76250.0, "metro_p50": 93250.0, "metro_p75": 97500.0, "metro_trend_direction": null, "metro_trend_magnitude": null, "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 70678.75, "metro_p50": 80814.2, "metro_p75": 96570.5, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 98302.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 58794.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 67000.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 34577.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 56409.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 87375.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 67007.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 74880.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 52072.5, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 33494.5, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 64459.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [{"source_name": "KELOLAND News", "source_url": null, "statement": "Minnehaha County October unemployment at 2.1%"}, {"source_name": "Governor's Council of Economic Advisors / Mitchell Republic", "source_url": null, "statement": "South Dakota labor force participation fell to 66.3%"}, {"source_name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics", "source_url": null, "statement": "Minnehaha County average weekly wage up 5.1% year-over-year"}, {"source_name": "SiouxFalls.Business", "source_url": null, "statement": "Local job openings rose to 9,559 in July"}, {"source_name": "LayoffIQ / South Dakota DLR", "source_url": null, "statement": "South Dakota state government employment rose 6.4% in September"}, {"source_name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics", "source_url": null, "statement": "National median weekly earnings rose 1.5% vs 3.5% CPI gain"}], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "sioux-falls-sd-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "pdf": "sioux-falls-sd-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf", "sources_html": "sioux-falls-sd-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:30:39.153192+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/sioux-falls-sd-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/sioux-falls-sd-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf"}