{"schema_version": 1, "id": "sioux-city-ia-ne-sd-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-09", "product": "Labor Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 354, "label": "Sioux City, IA-NE-SD MSA", "slug": "sioux-city-ia-ne-sd-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "restaurant_industry", "slug": "restaurant-industry", "label": "Restaurant Industry"}, "period": "2026-09", "public_after": "2026-09-01", "frozen_at": "2026-10-09T13:36:17.590742+00:00", "headline": "Sioux City restaurant pay falls as state hiring rebounds around it.", "headline_summary": "Advertised pay for Server, Crew and Assistant Manager roles all declined locally this month even as Iowa's hospitality sector added 3,200 jobs statewide since January, and metro leisure and hospitality employment keeps contracting while manufacturing and government hold firm.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Iowa hospitality job gains", "value": "+3,200", "context": "Since Jan 2026, gained in 6 of last 7 months"}, {"label": "Sioux City nonfarm employment", "value": "-1.2% YoY", "context": "Through Feb 2026, metro leisure/hosp. still contracting"}, {"label": "Iowa tipped minimum wage", "value": "$4.35/hr", "context": "60% of $7.25 floor, ~2x federal $2.13 cash wage"}, {"label": "Iowa unemployment rate", "value": "3.2%", "context": "Held 4th straight month; tied 8th-lowest nationally"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Local advertised pay is falling faster than the national trend.", "body": "Server, Crew, Line Cook and Assistant Manager pay all declined in Sioux City this month while national figures for the same roles held stable or dropped only moderately. This divergence is consistent with metro-level hospitality softness outpacing the statewide hiring recovery, and may create near-term room to hold postings flat rather than chase national benchmarks."}, {"headline": "Statewide hiring rebound hasn't fully reached this metro yet.", "body": "Iowa's accommodation and food service sector gained jobs in six of the last seven months, but Sioux City's leisure and hospitality employment is still contracting locally. Operators should treat state-level hiring optimism cautiously when forecasting local candidate availability."}, {"headline": "Tipped-wage floor advantage is structural, not strategic.", "body": "Iowa's $4.35 tipped minimum, double the federal cash wage, gives local full-service operators a built-in cost advantage unrelated to market competitiveness. That advantage narrows the case for reactive FOH base-pay increases unless turnover data says otherwise."}, {"headline": "GM pay stability signals where retention dollars are concentrating.", "body": "Restaurant Manager/General Manager advertised pay held stable locally near $58,827, well above most other roles' movement this month, suggesting operators are prioritizing retention at the management layer even as hourly postings soften. This tracks with national data showing 49% of operators naming retention strategy a 2026 priority."}], "local_conditions": "Sioux City's leisure and hospitality sector remains caught between statewide hiring momentum \u2014 Iowa added 1,000 accommodation and food service jobs in August and has gained 3,200 since January \u2014 and metro-level softness, with total nonfarm employment down 1.2% year-over-year through February and local leisure and hospitality continuing to contract even as manufacturing and government payrolls hold firmer ground. A frozen state minimum wage of $7.25 and a $4.35 tipped floor mean labor cost pressure locally is coming from competitive wage-setting rather than statutory mandate, unlike operators in states such as Florida now absorbing scheduled minimum wage step-ups.", "implications": "Advertised pay declines across Server, Crew, Line Cook and Assistant Manager roles locally \u2014 against a national backdrop of stable to only moderately softening pay \u2014 suggest Sioux City operators are gaining pricing power in hiring for the first time in several cycles, a reversal worth testing before assuming it holds through winter seasonal swings. Retention investment, not wage escalation, looks like the higher-leverage lever this quarter given the statewide hospitality hiring rebound is adding candidate supply faster than local demand is absorbing it; current conditions suggest reviewing whether FOH postings can be held flat through Q4 rather than following national percentile movement by default.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Expected", "body": "September MSA-level employment data is due from BLS in early October and will confirm whether the 1.2% year-over-year employment decline persists or has begun reversing alongside Iowa's broader hospitality hiring gains."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Watch whether Iowa's six-month hospitality hiring streak extends into fall or was driven by one-time seasonal drinking-place and fast-food hiring that typically softens post-Labor Day."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "No Iowa legislative movement on the $7.25 minimum wage is expected this cycle, but continued compression at the federal and neighboring-state level (tipped wages rising elsewhere) could widen the gap operators must close through voluntary pay action instead."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "Fewer national job openings in accommodation and food services (down from 916,000 to 673,000 by July) point toward reduced competition for workers; local operators should track whether time-to-fill for FOH roles is shortening as a confirming signal before pulling back sourcing spend."}], "roles": [{"role": "Assistant Restaurant Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 26743.0, "metro_p50": 35360.0, "metro_p75": 39619.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 39000.0, "national_trend_direction": "down", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Catering Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 29397.0, "metro_p50": 29557.0, "metro_p75": 36422.5, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 50960.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Crew", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 22880.0, "metro_p50": 27518.0, "metro_p75": 27518.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 29839.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Line Cook", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 28947.0, "metro_p50": 31352.0, "metro_p75": 34282.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 36826.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Restaurant Manager/General Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 48195.0, "metro_p50": 58827.0, "metro_p75": 66250.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 59618.0, "national_trend_direction": "down", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Server", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 28579.0, "metro_p50": 31453.0, "metro_p75": 33459.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 35012.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Shift Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 26205.0, "metro_p50": 32240.0, "metro_p75": 34800.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 32731.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "October 2026", "files": {"html": "sioux-city-ia-ne-sd-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-09.html", "pdf": "sioux-city-ia-ne-sd-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-09.pdf"}, "published_at": "2026-10-09T14:36:27.243879+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/sioux-city-ia-ne-sd-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-09.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/sioux-city-ia-ne-sd-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-09.pdf"}