{"schema_version": 1, "id": "shreveport-bossier-city-la-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-09", "product": "Labor Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 478, "label": "Shreveport-Bossier City, LA MSA", "slug": "shreveport-bossier-city-la-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "restaurant_industry", "slug": "restaurant-industry", "label": "Restaurant Industry"}, "period": "2026-09", "public_after": "2026-09-01", "frozen_at": "2026-10-09T13:36:13.882052+00:00", "headline": "Shreveport restaurant jobs shrink while wages inch up.", "headline_summary": "Louisiana food-services employment fell 3.14% month-over-month through June 2026 even as Caddo Parish average weekly wages grew 3.7%, a split that favors retention strategy over aggressive hiring pay.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "LA food-services employment, MoM", "value": "-3.14%", "context": "June 2026; also down 0.86% YoY"}, {"label": "Caddo Parish employment, YoY", "value": "-0.7%", "context": "109.1K jobs, March 2026 vs March 2025"}, {"label": "Caddo Parish avg weekly wage growth", "value": "+3.7%", "context": "$1,170/week, Q1 2026"}, {"label": "National accommodation/food svc openings", "value": "673,000", "context": "Down from 916,000 in Jan 2026"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Local food-services employment is shrinking, not just slowing.", "body": "Louisiana food services & drinking places employment dropped 3.14% month-over-month through June 2026, a sharper pullback than the modest declines seen in broader Louisiana or national payrolls. This points toward operator-driven staffing discipline or closures rather than a simple seasonal dip, and warrants a closer look at local establishment counts before assuming demand-side causes."}, {"headline": "Crew pay is rising locally while other roles hold flat.", "body": "Metro Crew advertised pay moved up moderately even as Line Cook, Server and Shift Manager figures stayed stable, an unusual divergence given entry-level FOH/BOH roles typically move together. Operators should check whether this reflects a specific hiring push, a QSR expansion locally, or a one-off skew in postings before adjusting broader entry-wage bands."}, {"headline": "Frozen state minimum wage buys time, not permanence.", "body": "Louisiana's $7.25/$2.13 floor held through another legislative session, but a $10.25 floor by January 2027 remains a live possibility if momentum shifts next session. Operators modeling 2027 labor cost as a share of revenue should stress-test a tipped-wage increase scenario now rather than treat the current freeze as durable."}, {"headline": "Full-service staffing gap won't close on its own.", "body": "National QSR employment has surpassed pre-pandemic levels by 79,000 jobs while full-service remains below, and 70% of operators nationally report difficult-to-fill openings. Shreveport full-service operators competing for the same BOH/FOH pool as expanding QSR concepts should expect retention, not recruitment volume, to be the more reliable lever."}], "local_conditions": "Shreveport-Bossier City metro employment growth remains soft \u2014 Caddo Parish payrolls contracted 0.7% year-over-year through March 2026 even as average weekly wages rose 3.7%, a pattern consistent with an employer market rather than a competitive hiring environment. Statewide, Food Services & Drinking Places employment fell 3.14% month-over-month and 0.86% year-over-year through June 2026, while Louisiana's frozen $7.25 minimum wage and dead 2026 minimum-wage bill leave no near-term statutory cost pressure on base pay.", "implications": "Soft parish-level employment alongside a declining food-services headcount suggests restaurant operators in this metro currently hold more leverage in hiring than the national narrative of a tight labor market implies, particularly for back-of-house roles with no tip-credit offset. Full-service operators should treat turnover as a competitive, not macro-driven, problem \u2014 QSR nationally added jobs above pre-pandemic levels while full-service lagged, meaning retention investment must substitute for passive labor-market tailwinds. Consider reviewing whether current BOH wage structures reflect this employer-favorable environment or whether they still assume a 2023-era hiring frenzy that has since cooled.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Expected", "body": "September 2026 BLS metro unemployment data releases in early October; watch whether the December 2025 reading of 4.3% has held or drifted given Caddo Parish's year-over-year employment contraction."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Louisiana's minimum-wage debate is dormant but not dead \u2014 a $10.25 floor remains possible for January 2027. Operators should track legislative signals over the next two sessions before finalizing 2027 labor budgets."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Schlumberger's continued buildout at the former GM facility and Bossier City's Cyber Research Park growth (2,102 jobs in 2025, trending toward 2,885 by 2027) could tighten the broader metro labor pool and pull entry-level workers away from restaurant roles as adjacent wages rise."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "National job openings in accommodation and food services fell from 916,000 to 673,000 between January and July 2026. If this cooling extends locally, operators may find candidate availability improving even as parish-level employment data suggests a contracting local restaurant workforce."}], "roles": [{"role": "Assistant Restaurant Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 21673.0, "metro_p50": 31267.0, "metro_p75": 35037.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 39000.0, "national_trend_direction": "down", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Catering Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 35360.0, "metro_p50": 47731.0, "metro_p75": 55546.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 50960.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Crew", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 18907.0, "metro_p50": 23839.0, "metro_p75": 24960.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 29839.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Line Cook", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 24350.0, "metro_p50": 27938.0, "metro_p75": 29848.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 36826.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Restaurant Manager/General Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 41387.5, "metro_p50": 53524.0, "metro_p75": 57521.25, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 59618.0, "national_trend_direction": "down", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Server", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 24447.0, "metro_p50": 26714.0, "metro_p75": 28058.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 35012.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Shift Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 24288.0, "metro_p50": 27324.0, "metro_p75": 29446.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 32731.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "October 2026", "files": {"html": "shreveport-bossier-city-la-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-09.html", "pdf": "shreveport-bossier-city-la-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-09.pdf"}, "published_at": "2026-10-09T14:36:25.430625+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/shreveport-bossier-city-la-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-09.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/shreveport-bossier-city-la-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-09.pdf"}