{"schema_version": 1, "id": "sebastian-vero-beach-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 437, "label": "Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL MSA", "slug": "sebastian-vero-beach-fl-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-09", "public_after": "2026-09-01", "frozen_at": "2026-10-09T13:43:13.872161+00:00", "headline": "Sebastian unemployment climbs while healthcare and accounting pay accelerate.", "headline_summary": "Indian River County unemployment reached 5.6% in August, well above the 4.5% state and 4.1% national rates, even as local registered nurse pay rose to a $96,042 median and accountant pay climbed to $78,948.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Indian River County unemployment", "value": "5.6%", "context": "vs 4.5% FL, 4.1% U.S., up from 4.7% a year ago"}, {"label": "Labor force participation", "value": "63.4%", "context": "July 2026 metro reading"}, {"label": "Florida minimum wage increase", "value": "$15.00/hr", "context": "Effective Sept 30, 2026, up from $14.00"}, {"label": "National wage growth vs inflation", "value": "3.0% vs 3.4%", "context": "Weakest real-wage gap since May 2021"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Unemployment rose, but the story is sectoral, not systemic.", "body": "Indian River County's jump to 5.6% unemployment outpaces the state and national rate, yet advertised pay for registered nurses, accountants, and customer service roles is rising sharply locally. This points to a labor market absorbing displaced workers unevenly across sectors rather than contracting broadly."}, {"headline": "Construction and logistics pay are softening against a state growth narrative.", "body": "CDL truck driver and delivery driver pay in the metro are down significantly even as Florida's construction market shows pockets of strength in data centers and civil works. Local commerce leaders should treat statewide construction optimism as only partially applicable to this metro's current wage trajectory."}, {"headline": "Minimum wage step-up lands as local wage growth is already mixed.", "body": "Florida's move to $15.00 an hour on September 30 arrives alongside flat-to-declining advertised pay in retail, warehouse, and administrative roles locally, meaning the floor is rising even where market pay has not been. That combination is worth watching for its effect on entry-level cost structures across retail and hospitality employers in the metro."}, {"headline": "Healthcare and accounting pay gains signal where capital is flowing.", "body": "Registered nurse pay rose significantly to a $96,042 metro median and accountant pay rose to $78,948, both outpacing several national figures. Concentrated gains in these fields are consistent with continued investment in health systems and professional services relative to goods-handling and construction trades locally."}], "local_conditions": "Indian River County's unemployment rate climbed to 5.6% in August, up from 4.7% a year earlier and running well above both the state's 4.5% and the national 4.1% rate, even as Florida's minimum wage rises to $15.00 on September 30 and the tipped minimum to $11.98. Local labor market conditions appear driven less by acute job loss and more by a widening participation gap \u2014 labor force participation sits at 63.4%, below pre-2024 levels \u2014 alongside sector softness in construction and manufacturing pay that contrasts with gains in healthcare, accounting, and customer service roles.", "implications": "Divergence between a rising unemployment rate and pockets of sustained wage growth in healthcare, accounting, and nursing suggests the local economy is not contracting uniformly \u2014 it is reallocating, with service and professional sectors absorbing demand that construction and logistics are shedding. Commerce leaders evaluating expansion or site-location decisions should weigh this as a labor market in transition rather than one in decline, since the headline unemployment rate alone overstates distress relative to sector-level hiring signals. Local economic development officials and chambers should consider tracking sector-level job postings alongside the county unemployment rate when briefing prospective employers, since a single aggregate figure may misrepresent the actual availability and cost of local talent.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Expected", "body": "Florida's minimum wage reaches $15.00 (tipped $11.98) on September 30; watch whether Indian River County retail and hospitality employers absorb the increase through pricing or hours adjustments, a signal relevant to local commerce confidence."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "County unemployment has risen for several consecutive readings even as statewide unemployment improved for three straight months. If the local rate continues diverging from the state trend, that gap becomes a relevant data point for regional economic development messaging."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "National WARN filings remain concentrated among large employers (Amazon, Meta, Oracle, Tyson); no comparable notices have surfaced locally. Absence of local WARN activity is itself a data point worth confirming through CareerSource Research Coast as the quarter closes."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "National wage growth has slipped to 3.0% against 3.4% inflation, the weakest real-wage picture since 2021. If that national wage-inflation gap persists, it may pressure local consumer spending even where metro-specific advertised pay (healthcare, accounting) is still rising."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 26780.5, "metro_p50": 31200.0, "metro_p75": 33725.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33325.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 27420.25, "metro_p50": 31200.0, "metro_p75": 32760.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 31200.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33280.0, "metro_p50": 35360.0, "metro_p75": 36400.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 38000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 49400.0, "metro_p50": 73121.0, "metro_p75": 85500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 78000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 28076.0, "metro_p50": 31159.0, "metro_p75": 33457.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 34344.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32354.5, "metro_p50": 36400.0, "metro_p75": 37440.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 40560.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 47840.0, "metro_p50": 58032.0, "metro_p75": 62400.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 71404.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 36519.5, "metro_p50": 47562.4, "metro_p75": 57531.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 34638.25, "metro_p50": 40000.0, "metro_p75": 45618.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29329.0, "metro_p50": 35360.0, "metro_p75": 36140.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33756.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32240.0, "metro_p50": 35360.0, "metro_p75": 37440.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 41106.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33280.0, "metro_p50": 37501.2, "metro_p75": 42640.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 43680.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 54514.0, "metro_p50": 65021.0, "metro_p75": 72568.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 70720.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 77488.0, "metro_p50": 96041.6, "metro_p75": 107640.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 102581.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 126603.5, "metro_p50": 152461.0, "metro_p75": 155234.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 153652.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 99151.0, "metro_p50": 134752.4, "metro_p75": 152955.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 139500.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 64370.0, "metro_p50": 78948.4, "metro_p75": 89638.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 72182.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 86250.0, "metro_p50": 96074.0, "metro_p75": 98180.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94782.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 57644.0, "metro_p50": 58240.0, "metro_p75": 58240.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 46307.25, "metro_p50": 61516.2, "metro_p75": 70269.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 62354.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 60000.0, "metro_p50": 72643.0, "metro_p75": 87458.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 85216.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 35359.0, "metro_p50": 48810.0, "metro_p75": 52283.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 56731.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 62500.0, "metro_p50": 80000.0, "metro_p75": 80000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 92749.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 61238.0, "metro_p50": 72000.0, "metro_p75": 75000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 78210.5, "metro_p50": 96200.0, "metro_p75": 109119.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 98279.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 48932.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 62539.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 35276.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 56621.5, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "stable", "postings_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 41600.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 59800.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 51059.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 69421.5, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 34970.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 67538.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "October 2026", "files": {"html": "sebastian-vero-beach-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "pdf": "sebastian-vero-beach-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf", "sources_html": "sebastian-vero-beach-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-10-09T14:36:20.349255+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/sebastian-vero-beach-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/sebastian-vero-beach-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf"}