{"schema_version": 1, "id": "sarasota-bradenton-venice-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 472, "label": "Sarasota-Bradenton-Venice, FL MSA", "slug": "sarasota-bradenton-venice-fl-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-09", "public_after": "2026-09-01", "frozen_at": "2026-10-09T13:43:17.851647+00:00", "headline": "Sarasota job growth continues, but unemployment climbs with it.", "headline_summary": "Sarasota-Manatee unemployment rose to 4.9% in June, up from 4.2% a year earlier, even as the metro added 4,000 jobs and led Florida with 600 new Financial Activities positions.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Metro unemployment rate", "value": "4.9%", "context": "Up from 4.2% a year ago; Sarasota County at 5.0%"}, {"label": "Metro job growth", "value": "+4,000 jobs YoY", "context": "North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota MSA, total 359,000"}, {"label": "Sarasota County wage growth", "value": "4.7% YoY", "context": "vs. Florida statewide wage growth of 3.1%"}, {"label": "Construction real wage growth", "value": "2.8% annually (2022-24)", "context": "Trails 4.1% regional inflation over same period"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Unemployment rose even as the metro added jobs.", "body": "Sarasota-Manatee's jobless rate climbed 0.7 points year-over-year to 4.9% despite 4,000 net new jobs in the North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota MSA, a combination consistent with labor force growth outpacing hiring rather than outright economic contraction. Economic development messaging should distinguish between these two very different stories."}, {"headline": "Financial Activities is quietly this metro's standout sector.", "body": "The metro led all Florida metros with 600 net new Financial Activities jobs annually, a signal that stands out against national data showing financial activities shedding 129,000 jobs since a May 2025 peak. This divergence may suggest Sarasota-Manatee is capturing relocation or wealth-management activity even as the sector contracts nationally."}, {"headline": "Construction pay is losing ground to local cost pressures.", "body": "Real wage growth for skilled craftworkers has averaged 2.8% annually since 2022, trailing inflation of 4.1% over the same period, while advertised Construction Laborer pay is down moderately this month. Commerce leaders weighing infrastructure or housing investment should factor in a labor pool whose purchasing power is shrinking, not just its headcount."}, {"headline": "Minimum wage step-up lands as the labor market cools.", "body": "Florida's minimum wage rises to $15.00 on September 30, with the state's broader figure reaching $16.00 after inflation adjustment, arriving at a moment when Sarasota-Manatee unemployment is already climbing. The timing creates a natural test of whether a tightening wage floor accelerates or has limited effect on local job losses in wage-sensitive sectors like retail and food service."}], "local_conditions": "Sarasota-Manatee's labor market has loosened measurably over the past year, with CareerSource Suncoast reporting unemployment at 4.9% in June 2026, up from 4.2% a year earlier, even as nonagricultural employment grew by 4,000 jobs to 359,000. Financial Activities led all Florida metros with 600 net new jobs annually, while construction wages rose just 2.8% against regional inflation near 4.1%, signaling a metro where overall job counts are climbing but purchasing power in trades-dependent sectors continues to erode.", "implications": "Rising unemployment alongside continued job growth points to a labor force expanding faster than employers are absorbing it, a dynamic that favors commercial expansion decisions requiring skilled workers but complicates public messaging about labor tightness. Financial Activities' standout growth and healthcare's continued strength suggest the metro's momentum is concentrated rather than broad-based, which matters for how economic development corps pitch sector-specific incentives. Current conditions suggest commerce leaders evaluate expansion plans against sector-specific labor availability rather than headline unemployment figures alone.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Worth watching", "body": "September 30's minimum wage increase to $15 statewide lands directly in sectors like retail and food service where metro advertised pay is already trending down. Watch county-level employment reports for whether wage-sensitive categories absorb the increase or show hours/headcount pullback."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Sarasota County's unemployment rate (5.0%) now exceeds Manatee's (4.9%) and sits above the statewide 4.5% figure, a reversal worth tracking for whether it reflects temporary seasonal softness or a structural divergence between the two counties."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "National wage growth has slipped to 3.0% against 3.4% inflation, the weakest real-wage picture since 2021. If that national erosion persists, expect downward pressure on local wage growth figures that have so far outpaced the state (4.7% in Sarasota County versus Florida's 3.1%)."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "Florida's 93-seekers-per-100-openings ratio suggests a labor market still tilted toward employers, but moderating. Local chambers and economic development corps should monitor whether that ratio moves toward parity locally, which would change the calculus for business attraction pitches built around labor availability."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 28490.0, "metro_p50": 32760.0, "metro_p75": 36992.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33325.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 27658.0, "metro_p50": 31200.0, "metro_p75": 33280.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 31200.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31200.0, "metro_p50": 36992.0, "metro_p75": 38480.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 38000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 48785.0, "metro_p50": 68302.0, "metro_p75": 89440.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 78000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30658.0, "metro_p50": 33280.0, "metro_p75": 38480.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 34344.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33230.0, "metro_p50": 39520.0, "metro_p75": 41600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 40560.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 53073.0, "metro_p50": 62881.8, "metro_p75": 70620.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 71404.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33172.0, "metro_p50": 37440.0, "metro_p75": 39520.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 35360.0, "metro_p50": 41600.0, "metro_p75": 45000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 28528.25, "metro_p50": 31328.0, "metro_p75": 34114.75, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33756.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33370.0, "metro_p50": 38480.0, "metro_p75": 41600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 41106.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 35409.0, "metro_p50": 41600.0, "metro_p75": 44720.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 43680.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 55110.0, "metro_p50": 71186.6, "metro_p75": 75920.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 70720.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 77000.0, "metro_p50": 84559.0, "metro_p75": 91154.25, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 102581.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 82600.0, "metro_p50": 112715.0, "metro_p75": 123838.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 153652.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 99151.0, "metro_p50": 134752.4, "metro_p75": 152955.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 139500.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 57438.0, "metro_p50": 65000.0, "metro_p75": 70902.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 72182.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 77057.0, "metro_p50": 88198.0, "metro_p75": 102586.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94782.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 52000.0, "metro_p50": 61391.0, "metro_p75": 68848.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 45122.0, "metro_p50": 65047.8, "metro_p75": 70000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 62354.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 60000.0, "metro_p50": 72643.0, "metro_p75": 87458.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 85216.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 35360.0, "metro_p50": 50715.0, "metro_p75": 52220.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 56731.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 59153.0, "metro_p50": 79689.0, "metro_p75": 90000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 92749.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 61238.0, "metro_p50": 72000.0, "metro_p75": 75000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 71302.0, "metro_p50": 104656.0, "metro_p75": 120600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 98279.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 52000.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 68668.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 36404.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 48880.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 55000.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 50548.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 52000.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 56239.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 34424.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 66884.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "October 2026", "files": {"html": "sarasota-bradenton-venice-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "pdf": "sarasota-bradenton-venice-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf", "sources_html": "sarasota-bradenton-venice-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-10-09T14:36:10.234960+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/sarasota-bradenton-venice-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/sarasota-bradenton-venice-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf"}