{"schema_version": 1, "id": "san-luis-obispo-paso-robles-ca-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 454, "label": "San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles, CA MSA", "slug": "san-luis-obispo-paso-robles-ca-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-09", "public_after": "2026-09-01", "frozen_at": "2026-10-09T13:42:51.132413+00:00", "headline": "SLO unemployment climbs to 4.7% as public-sector jobs shrink.", "headline_summary": "San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles unemployment rose from 4.0% in April to 4.7% in September, with a 2,200-job public-sector decline offsetting gains in healthcare and hospitality.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Metro unemployment rate", "value": "4.7%", "context": "Up from 4.0% in April 2026"}, {"label": "Government job change", "value": "-2,200 jobs", "context": "Year-over-year, through Feb 2026 data"}, {"label": "State unemployment rate", "value": "5.1%", "context": "Highest of any U.S. state, Aug 2026"}, {"label": "Metro labor force", "value": "132,300", "context": "6,200 unemployed as of Sept 2026"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Public-sector losses are the metro's main soft spot.", "body": "Government employment fell 2,200 jobs year-over-year even as the county unemployment rate climbed to 4.7%, bucking the usual role of local government as a stabilizing employer. This pattern mirrors a national trend of 216,000 government jobs lost over the past year, suggesting the pressure is not purely local."}, {"headline": "Healthcare and hospitality are doing the heavy lifting.", "body": "Private education and health services added 600 jobs locally and leisure/hospitality added 200 over the past year, the only sectors showing consistent gains. Advertised pay for nursing-related roles has moved up sharply locally, consistent with continued demand even as other sectors flatten."}, {"headline": "Wage gaps versus state and national levels persist.", "body": "County wage growth continues to lag California and the U.S. overall, even as the state's own wage growth slowed to 3.1% year-over-year. For a metro with above-average housing costs, a widening real-wage gap has direct implications for local consumer spending capacity."}, {"headline": "Unemployment ticked up but remains a relative strength.", "body": "At 4.7%, the metro's rate sits well below California's 5.1% and still ranks among the state's lowest, even after a half-point rise since spring. That relative positioning matters more to site-selection and investment narratives than the month-over-month uptick alone."}], "local_conditions": "San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles MSA unemployment rose to 4.7% in September from 4.0% in April, with the labor force holding near 132,300 even as the county shed 1,900 net jobs year-over-year through the most recent sector data, driven largely by a 2,200-job public-sector contraction. Private gains in education, health services, and hospitality are offsetting but not fully replacing that public-sector pullback, consistent with the statewide pattern of local-government softness amid broader state unemployment at 5.1%, the highest of any state.", "implications": "Rising local unemployment paired with stable labor force participation signals a metro economy cooling at the margins rather than contracting broadly \u2014 a distinction that matters for commerce leaders weighing expansion timing and for economists assessing whether this is cyclical or structural. Government job losses concentrated in a county where public payrolls historically anchor stability deserve particular attention, since continued erosion there would remove a shock absorber the local economy has relied on. Local business and civic leaders should consider monitoring county and city budget cycles over the next two quarters for signs of whether the public-sector pullback stabilizes or deepens.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Whether the 2,200-job public-sector decline stabilizes or continues will shape the metro's overall payroll trajectory through year-end, given government's traditional role as a steady local employer."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "County-level WARN notices and any state budget allocations tied to regional transition support \u2014 similar to the $3 million the state committed near the Valero Benicia refinery closure \u2014 would signal whether targeted retraining or transition funding is being considered locally."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "National wage growth has slipped to 3.0%, its lowest since May 2021, against 3.4% inflation; whether the metro's already-lagging wages follow that national compression will matter for local consumer spending forecasts."}, {"category": "Expected", "body": "State unemployment data for September, due October 16, will clarify whether the metro's uptick to 4.7% is an isolated move or part of a broader statewide softening beyond the current 5.1%."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 35152.0, "metro_p50": 37513.0, "metro_p75": 39520.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33325.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 35051.0, "metro_p50": 37428.0, "metro_p75": 39416.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 31200.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 37131.0, "metro_p50": 41600.0, "metro_p75": 43680.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 38000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 54080.0, "metro_p50": 78665.0, "metro_p75": 91000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 78000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 34751.0, "metro_p50": 36657.0, "metro_p75": 41600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 34344.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 40783.5, "metro_p50": 49920.0, "metro_p75": 56160.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 40560.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 57044.0, "metro_p50": 79871.0, "metro_p75": 85674.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 71404.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 36400.0, "metro_p50": 45448.0, "metro_p75": 50960.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 39599.75, "metro_p50": 43680.0, "metro_p75": 47840.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 34780.5, "metro_p50": 39972.0, "metro_p75": 40744.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33756.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 44545.25, "metro_p50": 109642.0, "metro_p75": 137051.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 41106.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 41600.0, "metro_p50": 50199.6, "metro_p75": 54080.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 43680.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 62400.0, "metro_p50": 82281.6, "metro_p75": 85421.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 70720.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 103644.75, "metro_p50": 133120.0, "metro_p75": 144027.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 102581.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 118412.5, "metro_p50": 186285.0, "metro_p75": 186294.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 153652.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 88405.25, "metro_p50": 168776.2, "metro_p75": 181998.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 139500.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 62400.0, "metro_p50": 75920.0, "metro_p75": 83200.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 72182.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 95566.75, "metro_p50": 106704.0, "metro_p75": 111912.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94782.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 66560.0, "metro_p50": 75000.0, "metro_p75": 76108.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 49779.0, "metro_p50": 69611.0, "metro_p75": 79474.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 62354.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 80000.0, "metro_p50": 106039.0, "metro_p75": 130500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 85216.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 41600.0, "metro_p50": 67751.0, "metro_p75": 78197.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 56731.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 96885.0, "metro_p50": 112500.0, "metro_p75": 117500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 92749.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 60099.75, "metro_p50": 89500.0, "metro_p75": 100625.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 84510.0, "metro_p50": 84510.0, "metro_p75": 84510.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 98279.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 76960.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 52000.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 40560.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 68207.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 59852.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 56160.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 88608.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 96383.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 37440.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 72387.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "October 2026", "files": {"html": "san-luis-obispo-paso-robles-ca-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "pdf": "san-luis-obispo-paso-robles-ca-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf", "sources_html": "san-luis-obispo-paso-robles-ca-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-10-09T14:35:58.957568+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/san-luis-obispo-paso-robles-ca-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/san-luis-obispo-paso-robles-ca-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf"}