{"schema_version": 1, "id": "san-diego-carlsbad-san-marcos-ca-msa/information-technology/2026-10", "product": "Labor Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 446, "label": "San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos, CA MSA", "slug": "san-diego-carlsbad-san-marcos-ca-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "information_technology", "slug": "information-technology", "label": "Information Technology"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T03:32:56.374057+00:00", "headline": "San Diego tech headcount shrinks while scarce skills get pricier.", "headline_summary": "San Diego unemployment fell to 4.7% even as Computer Systems Design employment dropped 4.7% statewide, while local Network Engineer pay ($126,240) and Cybersecurity Analyst pay ($114,700) both outpaced national medians.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Metro unemployment rate", "value": "4.7%", "context": "Down from 4.9% in August; 4.9% a year ago"}, {"label": "CA Computer Systems Design employment", "value": "-4.7% YoY", "context": "Through September 2026, statewide"}, {"label": "Metro nonfarm payroll growth", "value": "+4,400", "context": "Month-over-month, Sept. 2026"}, {"label": "CA computer professional exemption threshold", "value": "$122,573.13", "context": "+3.3% effective Jan. 2026"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Network Engineer pay is outrunning the national trend.", "body": "Metro median advertised pay of $126,240 is up against a national median of $115,757, a wider local premium than most IT roles carry this month. Scarcity in infrastructure buildout talent, consistent with national data center hiring growth, appears to be pulling local pay higher faster than peer metros."}, {"headline": "Cybersecurity pay climbs as the candidate pool narrows.", "body": "Metro median of $114,700 moves up against a national median of $107,327, tracking the broader California concentration of specialized security and AI/ML talent. Organizations slow to lock in retention packages risk losing scarce talent to Bay Area or national competitors paying premiums for the same skill set."}, {"headline": "Data Scientist pay is softening locally while holding nationally.", "body": "Metro median of $136,759 trends down even as the national median of $145,881 holds stable \u2014 an unusual local divergence. This may reflect San Diego employers substituting broader data roles for premium-priced AI/ML specialists concentrated in the Bay Area, shifting local demand toward adjacent, lower-cost skill sets."}, {"headline": "Support and administration roles show local market resilience.", "body": "Systems Administrator pay in San Diego ($106,412) sits above the national median ($102,503) and Help Desk pay ($60,000 metro vs. $53,129 national) shows a similar premium. Current conditions suggest San Diego's cost-of-living and competitive services sector are keeping foundational IT roles priced above national floors even as upper-tier roles see more volatility."}], "local_conditions": "San Diego's unemployment rate fell to 4.7% in September, down from 4.9% in August, even as nonfarm payrolls grew by just 4,400 \u2014 evidence of a labor market tightening on reduced supply, with hiring activity holding steady rather than accelerating. Federal job losses (-4,100 over the year) and a 4.7% year-over-year decline in California Computer Systems Design employment are compressing the local tech labor pool at the same time AI-adjacent and infrastructure roles are seeing advertised wage gains, producing a market where headcount is scarce and uneven in price.", "implications": "Falling regional unemployment alongside continued Computer Systems Design contraction signals that San Diego's IT labor market is shrinking in headcount while holding firm on price \u2014 the workers who remain, particularly in network engineering and cybersecurity, are commanding more pay. This bifurcation complicates build-versus-buy math: routine infrastructure and support functions may be candidates for offshore or secondary-metro migration, while security and cloud-native roles require retention spend to avoid losing scarce local talent to competitors. Consider reviewing which infrastructure and support roles could migrate to lower-cost delivery models now, freeing budget to defend compensation on roles where San Diego's labor pool has visibly thinned.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Early indicator", "body": "Computer Systems Design employment fell 4.7% year-over-year statewide; watch whether San Diego-specific WARN filings in IT services firms accelerate into November, which would signal further local contraction in build-side technology staffing."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "California's computer professional exemption threshold rises to $122,573.13 annually in January 2026 \u2014 budget review for San Diego IT staff near this threshold is worth prioritizing before year-end payroll cycles close."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Federal employment losses (-4,100 over the year locally) may release IT and technical talent into the regional candidate pool; monitor whether former federal contractor technologists begin appearing in San Diego network engineering and cybersecurity applicant flow."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "National AI/ML wage premiums ($25,000 floor per Robert Half) combined with California's 26.1% share of AI/ML talent put pressure on San Diego employers competing for the same pool as Bay Area firms; expect continued upward pressure on specialized infrastructure and security compensation through year-end."}], "roles": [{"role": "Data Scientist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 105359.0, "metro_p50": 136759.0, "metro_p75": 163362.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 145881.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Systems Administrator", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 85054.0, "metro_p50": 106412.0, "metro_p75": 120000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 102503.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Network Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 96413.0, "metro_p50": 126239.6, "metro_p75": 139318.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 115757.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 116300.0, "metro_p50": 155659.0, "metro_p75": 176093.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 154403.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Help Desk/IT Support Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 50960.0, "metro_p50": 60000.0, "metro_p75": 65383.75, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 53129.0, "national_trend_direction": "down", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Cybersecurity Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 95453.5, "metro_p50": 114700.0, "metro_p75": 127888.75, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 107327.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "IT Project Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 103650.5, "metro_p50": 129462.4, "metro_p75": 137981.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 118149.8, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "san-diego-carlsbad-san-marcos-ca-msa/information-technology/2026-10.html", "pdf": "san-diego-carlsbad-san-marcos-ca-msa/information-technology/2026-10.pdf"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:29:36.908180+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/san-diego-carlsbad-san-marcos-ca-msa/information-technology/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/san-diego-carlsbad-san-marcos-ca-msa/information-technology/2026-10.pdf"}