{"schema_version": 1, "id": "salt-lake-city-ut-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 421, "label": "Salt Lake City, UT MSA", "slug": "salt-lake-city-ut-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-09", "public_after": "2026-09-01", "frozen_at": "2026-10-09T13:42:57.490883+00:00", "headline": "Salt Lake's low unemployment masks a narrowing growth base.", "headline_summary": "Salt Lake City-Murray MSA unemployment held at 3.5% in July, a full point below the 4.1% national rate, but flat labor force growth and a 1,090-job government contraction tied to a $12.7 million state shortfall suggest the metro's resilience is increasingly concentrated in professional services rather than broad-based.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Metro unemployment rate", "value": "3.5%", "context": "vs 4.1% national rate, July 2026"}, {"label": "Utah 12-month job growth", "value": "1.2%", "context": "20,600 jobs added through August 2026"}, {"label": "Northern Utah government jobs", "value": "-1,090", "context": "Tied to $12.7M state budget shortfall"}, {"label": "Salt Lake County wage growth", "value": "4.8% YoY", "context": "Strongest among large Utah counties, Q3 2025"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Low unemployment now reflects a supply ceiling, not just demand strength.", "body": "Utah's 3.5% unemployment rate sits well below the national 4.1%, yet labor force growth is flat and job openings and quit rates are declining statewide. That combination points to a metro economy that may struggle to absorb new investment or expansion without faster population or participation growth."}, {"headline": "Government contraction is a real, non-partisan fact pattern worth tracking.", "body": "Northern Utah shed 1,090 government jobs tied to a $12.7 million state budget shortfall and federal civilian workforce reductions, a measurable drag on public-sector payroll stability. This is presented as fact, not commentary on the policies behind it, but the fiscal mechanics are relevant to any economic-development forecast built on public-sector spending."}, {"headline": "Professional services is carrying the metro's growth story almost alone.", "body": "Statewide, professional and business services added 8,500 jobs over the year, more than double the next-largest gaining sector, while information-sector employment fell 2,300. A local economy this dependent on one sector's momentum is more exposed to a slowdown in that sector than headline unemployment numbers suggest."}, {"headline": "Wage-vs-inflation divergence looks sharper nationally than locally, for now.", "body": "National average hourly earnings growth fell to 3.0% against 3.4% inflation, eroding real purchasing power, while Salt Lake County posted a 4.8% year-over-year wage increase as of Q3 2025 \u2014 among the strongest of Utah's large counties. If that gap closes, local consumer spending resilience built on relatively stronger local wage growth could narrow too."}], "local_conditions": "Salt Lake City-Murray MSA unemployment held at 3.5% in July 2026 with civilian employment at 727.5 thousand, a full point below the 4.1% national rate, even as Utah's statewide job growth decelerated to 1.2% year-over-year and labor force participation flattened despite near-full employment. Growth remains concentrated in professional and business services and education/health, while government payrolls in northern Utah contracted by 1,090 positions amid a $12.7 million state budget shortfall and federal civilian workforce reductions, signaling a local economy that is resilient in aggregate but narrowing in where its growth originates.", "implications": "Flat labor force growth alongside sub-4% unemployment indicates the metro's expansion is now constrained less by demand than by available workers, a dynamic that shapes site-selection and expansion timing more than it shapes any single staffing decision. Public-sector contraction and information-sector softness (-2,300 jobs statewide) sit alongside continued strength in professional services and healthcare, suggesting commerce leaders should read this as a bifurcated recovery rather than a uniform one. Current conditions suggest monitoring whether professional-services momentum broadens into other sectors before treating the metro's headline unemployment rate as a signal of universal business-climate strength.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Labor force participation has been flat despite sub-4% unemployment; watch whether the October BLS release shows any uptick that would signal the metro's growth ceiling is loosening rather than hardening."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Government payroll reductions tied to the state's $12.7 million shortfall and federal civilian cuts bear monitoring into Q4 budget cycles, since further contraction would compound an already narrowing base of sectors driving metro job growth."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "National WARN filings concentrated in manufacturing and information-adjacent employers (Amazon, Meta, Oracle) have not yet shown a strong local echo, but Utah's own manufacturing WARN activity (1,137 workers affected in 2026) warrants a check against October filings."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "September's national payroll report (29,000 jobs added, well below the 45,000 trailing average, with downward revisions to July and August) raises the question of whether Utah's above-national job growth rate can hold if national demand continues cooling into Q4."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 27040.0, "metro_p50": 33280.0, "metro_p75": 35661.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33325.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 27297.0, "metro_p50": 30851.0, "metro_p75": 32760.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 31200.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33280.0, "metro_p50": 38604.0, "metro_p75": 41600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 38000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 58265.0, "metro_p50": 81082.0, "metro_p75": 89080.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 78000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31321.0, "metro_p50": 35134.0, "metro_p75": 39520.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 34344.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 36542.5, "metro_p50": 41600.0, "metro_p75": 45000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 40560.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 60321.0, "metro_p50": 72923.0, "metro_p75": 80298.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 71404.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32704.0, "metro_p50": 36400.0, "metro_p75": 39520.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33540.0, "metro_p50": 38579.0, "metro_p75": 41600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29223.0, "metro_p50": 33280.0, "metro_p75": 37502.25, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33756.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 34822.0, "metro_p50": 39520.0, "metro_p75": 42453.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 41106.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 35360.0, "metro_p50": 42724.0, "metro_p75": 47492.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 43680.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 57991.0, "metro_p50": 71738.6, "metro_p75": 78780.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 70720.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 80068.0, "metro_p50": 92050.0, "metro_p75": 99840.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 102581.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 110650.0, "metro_p50": 145400.0, "metro_p75": 157609.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 153652.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 95963.0, "metro_p50": 118965.0, "metro_p75": 136745.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 139500.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 59305.75, "metro_p50": 68500.0, "metro_p75": 77925.25, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 72182.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 66666.0, "metro_p50": 81778.6, "metro_p75": 92745.75, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94782.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 49709.0, "metro_p50": 63817.2, "metro_p75": 70000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 45110.0, "metro_p50": 60032.0, "metro_p75": 72621.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 62354.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 73618.0, "metro_p50": 77500.0, "metro_p75": 81400.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 85216.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 37440.0, "metro_p50": 52606.4, "metro_p75": 57945.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 56731.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 59092.0, "metro_p50": 87500.0, "metro_p75": 103065.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 92749.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 46118.0, "metro_p50": 54301.2, "metro_p75": 55000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 78411.0, "metro_p50": 98314.0, "metro_p75": 109524.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 98279.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 72171.5, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 79514.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 36961.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 60411.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 116198.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 77861.5, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 55672.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 48880.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 34320.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 67397.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "October 2026", "files": {"html": "salt-lake-city-ut-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "pdf": "salt-lake-city-ut-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf", "sources_html": "salt-lake-city-ut-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-10-09T14:35:48.419244+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/salt-lake-city-ut-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/salt-lake-city-ut-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf"}