{"schema_version": 1, "id": "rockford-il-msa/information-technology/2026-10", "product": "Labor Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 413, "label": "Rockford, IL MSA", "slug": "rockford-il-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "information_technology", "slug": "information-technology", "label": "Information Technology"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T03:29:26.884476+00:00", "headline": "Rockford IT pay splits: security surges, software stalls.", "headline_summary": "Cybersecurity Analyst advertised pay climbed to $136,576 in Rockford this month while Software Engineer pay slipped to $106,978, even as county unemployment fell to 4.5%.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Winnebago County unemployment", "value": "4.5%", "context": "Down from 5.4% a year ago (Sept 2025)"}, {"label": "Cybersecurity Analyst advertised pay", "value": "$136,576", "context": "vs $107,327 national median"}, {"label": "Systems Administrator advertised pay", "value": "$79,550", "context": "vs $102,503 national median"}, {"label": "Illinois labor force decline", "value": "-109,000", "context": "Statewide, year ending Dec 2025"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Security and infrastructure pay are pulling away from the rest of IT locally.", "body": "Cybersecurity Analyst ($136,576) and Network Engineer ($99,671) advertised pay rose significantly in Rockford this month, outpacing national trends for the same roles. Budget reallocation toward these functions looks more defensible than across-the-board increases given constrained enterprise IT spending statewide."}, {"headline": "Rockford's cost advantage on infrastructure talent continues to widen.", "body": "Systems Administrator advertised pay sits roughly $23,000 below the national median even after a significant local increase, while national data center hiring demand grew 20% in three months. Metro may represent an attractive location for hybrid infrastructure headcount if local candidate pipelines can support it."}, {"headline": "Software Engineer pay softening locally cuts against the national script.", "body": "National Software Engineer pay held stable while Rockford's advertised pay moved down moderately, a divergence worth tracking against the metro's broader manufacturing-led job losses earlier in 2026. Local demand for standalone development roles may be cooling faster than for infrastructure or security skillsets."}, {"headline": "A tightening labor pool complicates build-versus-buy math for security staffing.", "body": "Winnebago County's unemployment decline to 4.5% alongside a shrinking state labor force (down nearly 109,000 over the year ending December 2025) suggests candidate scarcity will persist even if local pay gains continue. Managed security services may offer a faster path to coverage than competing for scarce local analysts."}], "local_conditions": "Winnebago County unemployment fell to 4.5% in September, down from 5.4% a year earlier, even as the metro's underlying job count remains soft following early-2026 manufacturing contraction. Local IT pay movements diverge sharply from national patterns \u2014 Cybersecurity Analyst and Network Engineer advertised pay are rising significantly locally while Software Engineer and Help Desk advertised pay are falling, suggesting employers are concentrating scarce compensation dollars on security and infrastructure roles.", "implications": "Falling local unemployment alongside a shrinking labor force points toward a market where fewer candidates are available even as headline conditions look stable, raising the cost of external hiring for infrastructure and security roles relative to retaining incumbents. The gap between Rockford's Systems Administrator pay ($79,550) and the national figure ($102,503) signals room to compete on cost for hybrid infrastructure talent, while compressed local Software Engineer pay may reflect weaker local demand for standalone development work versus infrastructure and security skills. Consider reviewing whether current compensation allocation matches this shift \u2014 directing available budget toward security and network roles where local pay is accelerating.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Early indicator", "body": "November's BLS metro release will show October unemployment and job counts for Rockford MSA \u2014 watch whether the early-2026 nonfarm job losses (-1.7% year-over-year in February) have fully reversed or persist alongside falling unemployment."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "National tech layoffs have already exceeded 133,000 workers through October, concentrated in large tech hubs, with secondary markets like Rockford largely untouched so far. Track whether any displaced infrastructure or security talent enters the regional candidate pool through remote postings."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Illinois' statewide labor force participation has fallen to 63.6%, and Winnebago County's workforce has contracted even as unemployment drops. Expect continued difficulty filling infrastructure and support roles locally regardless of advertised pay increases."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Data center job postings, a signal of hiring demand where one ad often covers several openings, are up 20% in three months nationally and 147% above June 2024 levels, a trend that could extend to secondary Illinois markets seeking lower-cost build sites. Watch for announcements that would shift local infrastructure headcount planning toward on-premise expansion."}], "roles": [{"role": "Data Scientist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 110025.5, "metro_p50": 138627.0, "metro_p75": 143518.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 145881.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Systems Administrator", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 76310.0, "metro_p50": 79550.0, "metro_p75": 83830.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 102503.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Network Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 74431.0, "metro_p50": 99671.0, "metro_p75": 100325.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 115757.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 59542.0, "metro_p50": 106978.0, "metro_p75": 133693.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 154403.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Help Desk/IT Support Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 41920.5, "metro_p50": 44157.0, "metro_p75": 44412.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 53129.0, "national_trend_direction": "down", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Cybersecurity Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 126768.25, "metro_p50": 136576.2, "metro_p75": 136611.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 107327.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "IT Project Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 86552.25, "metro_p50": 120339.0, "metro_p75": 130019.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 118149.8, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "rockford-il-msa/information-technology/2026-10.html", "pdf": "rockford-il-msa/information-technology/2026-10.pdf"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:29:12.727609+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/rockford-il-msa/information-technology/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/rockford-il-msa/information-technology/2026-10.pdf"}