{"schema_version": 1, "id": "rochester-ny-msa/information-technology/2026-10", "product": "Labor Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 13, "label": "Rochester, NY MSA", "slug": "rochester-ny-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "information_technology", "slug": "information-technology", "label": "Information Technology"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T03:30:05.849497+00:00", "headline": "Rochester's flat job growth masks a sharp IT pay divide.", "headline_summary": "Metro payrolls grew just 0.1% over the past year, yet Cybersecurity Analyst pay climbed to $122,400 \u2014 above the $107,327 national median \u2014 while Help Desk pay fell to $52,100.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Metro unemployment rate", "value": "4.2%", "context": "August 2026, up 0.1pt year-over-year"}, {"label": "Metro nonfarm payroll growth", "value": "0.1%", "context": "Q1 2026 vs. year-ago, among weakest in region"}, {"label": "Cybersecurity Analyst advertised pay", "value": "$122,400", "context": "Exceeds $107,327 national median"}, {"label": "National tech layoffs, YTD", "value": "133,417", "context": "Already exceeds full-year 2025 total"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Cybersecurity pay in Rochester now outpaces the national rate.", "body": "Metro Cybersecurity Analyst advertised pay of $122,400 exceeds the national median of $107,327 \u2014 a rare local premium against an otherwise wage-lagging metro. This suggests local employers are bidding aggressively for scarce security talent, a signal worth testing against current offer strategy."}, {"headline": "Network engineering wages are climbing faster locally than nationally.", "body": "Metro Network Engineer pay rose to $100,985, a significant increase, while the national figure grew more moderately to $115,757. Narrowing gap with national pay may reflect infrastructure buildout tied to data center and hybrid-environment investment documented nationally this month."}, {"headline": "Help desk compensation softness tracks a national pattern.", "body": "Metro Help Desk pay fell to $52,100, down moderately, mirroring a national decline to $53,129. Consistent downward movement at both levels suggests entry-level IT support roles face structural oversupply or automation displacement reflecting a broader trend beyond this metro."}, {"headline": "Flat metro job growth raises the cost of poor retention timing.", "body": "Payrolls grew just 0.1% year-over-year through Q1, meaning replacement talent is scarcer to source quickly even where advertised pay is rising. Losing a network engineer or cybersecurity analyst in this environment likely means a longer vacancy than the metro's overall economic weakness would suggest."}], "local_conditions": "Rochester metro unemployment sits at 4.2% in August, up slightly from a year ago, while nonfarm payrolls grew just 0.1% through the first quarter of 2026 \u2014 among the weakest expansion rates in the region in years. Weak private-sector momentum, concentrated in education and health services, leaves technology hiring dependent on sector-specific demand, with average metro weekly wages still trailing the national figure by roughly 18%.", "implications": "Flat metro payroll growth combined with significant advertised pay increases in cybersecurity, network engineering, and software engineering points to a market where demand for technical talent is concentrated in specialized roles \u2014 organizations competing for these roles face real wage pressure even as the overall labor market cools. Help desk and administrative support roles show softening pay, suggesting room to shift headcount investment toward infrastructure and security functions where advertised rates are climbing fastest. Consider reviewing whether current compensation bands for cybersecurity and network engineering roles reflect the significant upward movement in metro advertised pay, updating from last year's benchmarks.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Early indicator", "body": "NY state's minimum wage freeze and sub-1% statewide payroll growth could compress public and nonprofit health system hiring, Rochester's largest employment sector \u2014 watch whether this pushes more IT talent, particularly support and infrastructure staff, into the open market."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "National data center and infrastructure hiring growth (postings up 20% in three months) has not yet shown a clear local echo, but Rochester's significant Network Engineer pay gains may be an early sign. Track whether local postings volume confirms a buildout trend worth planning headcount around."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "National tech layoffs already exceed all of 2025, with 133,417 cuts through late October. Monitor whether any regional or remote-team reductions at national employers release infrastructure or security talent into the Rochester candidate pool."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "AI-exposed roles nationally show 46% cumulative pay growth since 2021 versus 25% for non-AI roles, a gap not yet visible in Rochester's Data Scientist pay (up moderately to $118,242). Watch whether local data science and AI-adjacent postings begin reflecting that national premium."}], "roles": [{"role": "Data Scientist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 95000.0, "metro_p50": 118241.6, "metro_p75": 128789.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 145881.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Systems Administrator", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 72500.0, "metro_p50": 87373.0, "metro_p75": 99825.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 102503.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Network Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 78323.0, "metro_p50": 100985.2, "metro_p75": 118559.25, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 115757.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 105148.0, "metro_p50": 141237.0, "metro_p75": 157308.25, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 154403.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Help Desk/IT Support Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 43610.0, "metro_p50": 52099.6, "metro_p75": 61055.5, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 53129.0, "national_trend_direction": "down", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Cybersecurity Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 102000.0, "metro_p50": 122400.0, "metro_p75": 136898.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 107327.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "IT Project Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 88400.0, "metro_p50": 116363.0, "metro_p75": 118845.25, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 118149.8, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "rochester-ny-msa/information-technology/2026-10.html", "pdf": "rochester-ny-msa/information-technology/2026-10.pdf"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:29:10.454661+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/rochester-ny-msa/information-technology/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/rochester-ny-msa/information-technology/2026-10.pdf"}