{"schema_version": 1, "id": "redding-ca-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 431, "label": "Redding, CA MSA", "slug": "redding-ca-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-09", "public_after": "2026-09-01", "frozen_at": "2026-10-09T13:42:14.218597+00:00", "headline": "Redding's jobless rate climbs as trades outpace office-sector pay.", "headline_summary": "Redding MSA unemployment rose to 5.3% in August against a national 4.1%, while electrician pay jumped to $86,912 even as account manager pay fell to $69,900 \u2014 a split pointing to construction-and-trades strength alongside office-sector softness.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Redding MSA unemployment rate", "value": "5.3%", "context": "vs 4.1% national, 5.1% California, August 2026"}, {"label": "Redding labor force", "value": "81,600", "context": "77,300 employed; little change since June 2026"}, {"label": "Electrician advertised pay", "value": "$86,912", "context": "up significantly vs $71,404 national median"}, {"label": "Account Manager advertised pay", "value": "$69,900", "context": "down significantly vs $92,749 national median"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Redding's unemployment gap to the nation is widening, not closing.", "body": "The metro's 5.3% August rate sits 1.2 points above the national 4.1% and has drifted up from 5.0% in June, even as California's own statewide rate held near 5.1%. Persistent gap suggests local labor force absorption remains a structural, not seasonal, challenge."}, {"headline": "Skilled trades pay is pulling away from office and sales roles.", "body": "Electrician pay rose significantly to $86,912 locally and HVAC technician pay climbed to $65,807, while administrative assistant pay fell moderately and account manager pay dropped significantly to $69,900. Divergence is consistent with a local economy where hands-on construction and infrastructure work is outpacing office-based commerce activity."}, {"headline": "Healthcare remains the metro's most dependable growth engine.", "body": "Registered nurse pay rose moderately to $126,080 and CNA/home health aide postings stayed active through the Shasta Fall Job Fair pipeline, tracking the statewide pattern where health and social assistance added jobs while finance and information shed them. For a rural-adjacent metro with an aging population base, this looks like durable demand rather than a cyclical bump."}, {"headline": "Logistics and delivery wage gains may reflect goods-movement, not retail strength.", "body": "Delivery driver pay rose moderately to $43,680 and warehouse/fulfillment pay ticked up, even as core retail sales associate and cashier pay stayed flat. Pattern suggests growth is concentrated in distribution and fulfillment infrastructure rather than storefront retail expansion."}], "local_conditions": "Redding MSA unemployment held at 5.3% in August 2026 against a labor force of 81,600, a tighter reading than California's statewide 5.1% once population size is weighted but still elevated against the national 4.1%, with healthcare/education services and professional/business services anchoring local job postings. Advertised pay gains concentrated in skilled trades and logistics-adjacent roles \u2014 electricians, warehouse managers, delivery drivers \u2014 appears consistent with construction and goods-movement momentum even as administrative and account-management pay softened, a divergence that mirrors the white-collar/blue-collar split showing up in national data.", "implications": "Local economic momentum reads as steady rather than accelerating: a labor force essentially flat since spring and an unemployment rate still above the national average suggest the metro is absorbing workers without the tightness that would signal overheating. Wage movement by sector \u2014 strong gains in healthcare (RN pay up moderately to $126,080), construction, and warehouse management against declines in administrative and account-management pay \u2014 points to where local business investment is concentrating versus pulling back. Commerce leaders weighing expansion or investment timing may want to treat sector-level wage divergence as a leading indicator of where local demand is real versus contracting; consider reviewing which of these sector signals aligns with planned capital or hiring investment before committing to timing.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Redding's unemployment rate has moved between 5.0% and 5.5% over the past six months with no clear downward trend; a reading above 5.5% in the October release would mark a new high for 2026 and merit attention from local economic development planners."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "National WARN filings remain elevated (3,562 notices affecting over 313,000 workers as of late September) with no Redding-specific filings yet reported; commerce leaders should watch whether Sacramento-area or Bay Area layoffs begin pushing displaced workers into the North State labor pool."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "California's minimum wage increase to $17.40 takes effect January 1, 2027, which will compress the gap between entry-level retail/food-service pay and skilled-trade wages; local employers and chambers may want to model this ahead of the effective date rather than after."}, {"category": "Expected", "body": "The Valero Benicia Refinery closure and its $3 million state transition fund is a Bay Area story, not a Redding one directly, but it signals how California is handling regional economic shocks \u2014 a template worth watching if any Shasta County employer announces a comparable closure."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32994.0, "metro_p50": 36816.0, "metro_p75": 38968.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33325.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33825.0, "metro_p50": 36997.8, "metro_p75": 38376.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 31200.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 38330.0, "metro_p50": 41080.0, "metro_p75": 41080.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 38000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 61360.0, "metro_p50": 80775.2, "metro_p75": 91000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 78000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 36205.5, "metro_p50": 43680.0, "metro_p75": 47840.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 34344.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 39520.0, "metro_p50": 43680.0, "metro_p75": 44720.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 40560.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 69149.0, "metro_p50": 86912.0, "metro_p75": 86912.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 71404.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 39224.0, "metro_p50": 39520.0, "metro_p75": 41600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 38302.0, "metro_p50": 44200.0, "metro_p75": 50242.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30871.25, "metro_p50": 44548.4, "metro_p75": 46800.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33756.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 36296.0, "metro_p50": 47384.8, "metro_p75": 50089.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 41106.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 39171.0, "metro_p50": 48588.8, "metro_p75": 49920.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 43680.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 60320.0, "metro_p50": 65807.0, "metro_p75": 67849.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 70720.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 106934.0, "metro_p50": 126080.0, "metro_p75": 135767.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 102581.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 126000.0, "metro_p50": 170603.4, "metro_p75": 191142.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 153652.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 105880.0, "metro_p50": 145419.0, "metro_p75": 162070.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 139500.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 61398.0, "metro_p50": 78350.4, "metro_p75": 92608.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 72182.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 61296.0, "metro_p50": 100501.4, "metro_p75": 102500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 94782.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 67701.0, "metro_p50": 82500.0, "metro_p75": 82500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 49779.0, "metro_p50": 69611.0, "metro_p75": 79474.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 62354.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 80000.0, "metro_p50": 106039.0, "metro_p75": 130500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 85216.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 40000.0, "metro_p50": 59396.4, "metro_p75": 67773.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 56731.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 56250.0, "metro_p50": 69900.0, "metro_p75": 82500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 92749.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 60099.75, "metro_p50": 89500.0, "metro_p75": 100625.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 75564.0, "metro_p50": 132524.4, "metro_p75": 138411.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 98279.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 52000.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 74193.5, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 40019.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 48360.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 45188.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 52104.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 72207.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 104000.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 36774.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 71168.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "October 2026", "files": {"html": "redding-ca-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "pdf": "redding-ca-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf", "sources_html": "redding-ca-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-10-09T14:35:21.268004+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/redding-ca-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/redding-ca-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf"}