{"schema_version": 1, "id": "punta-gorda-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 414, "label": "Punta Gorda, FL MSA", "slug": "punta-gorda-fl-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T07:59:44.246162+00:00", "headline": "Punta Gorda's jobless rate stays stuck above state and nation.", "headline_summary": "Charlotte County unemployment held at 5.6% in September versus Florida's 4.4% and the national 4.1%, even as healthcare and manufacturing wages posted some of the metro's only notable gains.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Charlotte County unemployment", "value": "5.6%", "context": "vs 4.4% Florida, 4.1% U.S., Sept. 2026"}, {"label": "Punta Gorda MSA job growth", "value": "+0.9% YoY", "context": "59,000 nonag jobs, +500 over the year"}, {"label": "CareerSource SW Florida jobless rate", "value": "4.7%", "context": "vs 5.6% Charlotte County, same month"}, {"label": "Charlotte County average weekly wage", "value": "$1,084", "context": "vs Florida's $1,518 statewide, Q1 2026"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Charlotte County's jobless rate is an outlier within Florida.", "body": "At 5.6% in September, the county sits well above the state's 4.4% and the CareerSource Southwest Florida region's 4.7%, a gap that has persisted for months without closing. That divergence is consistent with a labor force skewed toward retirees and seasonal residents, not a sudden demand shock."}, {"headline": "Manufacturing wages are rising even as the sector loses jobs.", "body": "Advertised pay for manufacturing production workers climbed significantly locally even as the metro's manufacturing employment count fell slightly over the year. That combination is consistent with employers competing harder for a narrower pool of production talent while headcount stays flat."}, {"headline": "Healthcare remains the metro's steadiest growth engine.", "body": "Education and Health Services continues to outpace the region's overall job growth, mirroring the statewide pattern where healthcare accounted for the majority of August's net job gains. For commerce leaders, that stability offers a dependable anchor sector amid softer readings elsewhere in the local economy."}, {"headline": "White-collar pay is diverging sharply from frontline pay.", "body": "Business Analyst and Software Engineer job ads, a signal of hiring demand, show moderate-to-strong local wage gains while Accountant and Financial Analyst pay fell, a split that tracks the national pattern of financial-activities softness. That divergence suggests the metro's professional services base is uneven, with some roles cooling and others heating up."}], "local_conditions": "Charlotte County's unemployment rate held at 5.6% in September, nearly a full point above the national 4.1% and the fourth-highest reading among Florida's metros, even as nonagricultural employment edged up 500 jobs (+0.9%) year-over-year to 59,000. Healthcare and education continue to carry the metro's modest growth while financial activities, other services, and manufacturing each shed jobs over the year, a sectoral split consistent with an aging, retirement-driven local economy absorbing fewer working-age residents than peer metros.", "implications": "Flat-to-slow payroll growth paired with an elevated jobless rate points to a local economy expanding only at the margins, which should temper expectations for near-term commercial investment or expansion timelines tied to population-driven demand. Wage figures showing gains concentrated in manufacturing production work (up significantly) and customer service (up moderately) while CDL trucking also rose suggest logistics and light industrial activity are the metro's current bright spots worth tracking for site-selection or local development planning. Commerce leaders and economic development officials should consider monitoring Charlotte County's monthly unemployment print against the statewide 4.4% rate as an early signal of whether the gap is narrowing or structural.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Charlotte County's unemployment rate has improved only 0.1 point month-over-month for two straight readings. A continued narrow pace of improvement will tell commerce leaders whether the gap is closing structurally or merely stabilizing, regardless of any sharp break toward or away from the state average."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Florida's construction workforce faces a reported 41% retirement exposure by 2031 and declining interest from young workers, a dynamic with direct relevance to Punta Gorda given its reliance on residential and storm-recovery construction activity. Local building-permit and construction-employment data over the next two months will indicate whether that structural strain is already surfacing here."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "Statewide WARN filings have risen to 215 notices affecting nearly 15,749 workers through late October, concentrated outside this metro so far. Any filing naming a Charlotte County or Port Charlotte employer would mark a meaningful shift from the area's current stability."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "National wage growth (4.1% average hourly earnings) continues to outpace CPI-adjusted figures showing real erosion in median weekly earnings. If that national real-wage squeeze persists, local consumer spending at metro retailers and service businesses is the next place to look for a visible effect."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 26813.0, "metro_p50": 32240.0, "metro_p75": 37440.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33340.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 26334.0, "metro_p50": 30182.2, "metro_p75": 31720.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 31268.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33006.75, "metro_p50": 35589.0, "metro_p75": 37440.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 38480.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 54348.0, "metro_p50": 73653.2, "metro_p75": 93988.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 78872.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29985.0, "metro_p50": 33229.0, "metro_p75": 41600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 34826.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 35360.0, "metro_p50": 38742.4, "metro_p75": 49920.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 40726.6, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 54729.0, "metro_p50": 63831.0, "metro_p75": 65705.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 71835.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31711.0, "metro_p50": 37440.0, "metro_p75": 38272.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32379.0, "metro_p50": 42640.0, "metro_p75": 45760.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 27219.0, "metro_p50": 28735.0, "metro_p75": 28735.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33764.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32240.0, "metro_p50": 37440.0, "metro_p75": 40230.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 41600.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 34840.0, "metro_p50": 41600.0, "metro_p75": 43680.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 44552.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 56082.0, "metro_p50": 61343.0, "metro_p75": 72020.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 71406.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 76446.5, "metro_p50": 87121.0, "metro_p75": 91700.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 102252.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 109907.0, "metro_p50": 146023.0, "metro_p75": 157888.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 154403.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 99161.0, "metro_p50": 133666.8, "metro_p75": 151702.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 138000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 42500.25, "metro_p50": 59682.0, "metro_p75": 62867.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 72000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 68194.0, "metro_p50": 71802.0, "metro_p75": 72360.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 94646.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 55000.0, "metro_p50": 66134.4, "metro_p75": 75000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 74477.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 47073.25, "metro_p50": 62068.0, "metro_p75": 70334.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 62916.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 60000.0, "metro_p50": 71115.4, "metro_p75": 87000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 86294.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 35360.0, "metro_p50": 48501.0, "metro_p75": 54092.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 55908.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 54592.0, "metro_p50": 67371.6, "metro_p75": 80315.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94009.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 56465.0, "metro_p50": 69940.0, "metro_p75": 75000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 77675.0, "metro_p50": 96218.6, "metro_p75": 109119.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 98302.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 60840.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 67000.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 35588.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 55276.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 42619.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 52500.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 57572.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 64586.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 35422.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 65123.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "punta-gorda-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "pdf": "punta-gorda-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf", "sources_html": "punta-gorda-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:28:45.215004+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/punta-gorda-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/punta-gorda-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf"}