{"schema_version": 1, "id": "port-st-lucie-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 415, "label": "Port St. Lucie, FL MSA", "slug": "port-st-lucie-fl-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T08:00:37.797749+00:00", "headline": "Port St. Lucie jobless rate lags state recovery as trade pay softens.", "headline_summary": "Metro unemployment held at 5.2% in September, a point above the national 4.1%, while local construction and electrician advertised pay fell even as national trade wages rose.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Metro unemployment rate", "value": "5.2%", "context": "vs 4.1% national, 4.4% Florida (Sept. 2026)"}, {"label": "Local wage growth", "value": "2.9%\u20133.1%", "context": "vs ~3.5\u20133.7% CPI inflation nationally"}, {"label": "Construction share of metro jobs", "value": "6.2%", "context": "vs 4.1% national average"}, {"label": "Out-commuting rate, St. Lucie County", "value": "60%+", "context": "Workforce commutes outside county for jobs"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Local joblessness is outpacing both state and national trends.", "body": "September's 5.2% metro rate sits a full point above the 4.1% U.S. figure and above Florida's declining 4.4%, even as the state posts its fourth consecutive monthly improvement. Divergence from the state trend suggests Port St. Lucie's labor market is rebalancing on a different timeline than its neighbors."}, {"headline": "Construction pay is falling locally while the trade itself tightens.", "body": "Construction laborer and electrician advertised pay both moved down significantly in the metro even as national figures for the same roles rose. That split is consistent with a near-term pipeline slowdown layered on top of a workforce facing retirement and recruitment pressure that statewide industry voices link to immigration enforcement effects on labor supply."}, {"headline": "Real wages are eroding faster than payroll softness suggests.", "body": "Local wage growth of roughly 3% trails the 3.5%\u20133.7% inflation readings cited in national data, echoing the national pattern of nominal gains failing to keep pace with prices. Slower real income growth is a direct input into consumer spending capacity across the metro's retail and service base."}, {"headline": "Healthcare remains the steadiest demand signal in the local economy.", "body": "Registered Nurse advertised pay holds at $93,741 with stable trend, consistent with Florida's broader pattern where Health Care & Social Assistance drove 61% of August job growth statewide. Cleveland Clinic Martin Health and HCA Florida's continued expansion plans anchor one of the few sectors showing unambiguous momentum."}], "local_conditions": "Port St. Lucie's unemployment rate held at 5.2% in September, a full percentage point above the national 4.1% and well above Florida's 4.4%, even as the state logged its fourth straight monthly decline. Local wage growth of 2.9% to 3.1% is running behind the roughly 3.7% CPI gain cited in national tracking, while construction \u2014 6.2% of metro employment versus 4.1% nationally \u2014 faces a labor pool that construction industry sources statewide describe as strained by enforcement-driven workforce exits and an aging trade base, with 41% of Florida's construction workforce projected to retire by 2031.", "implications": "Metro unemployment running above both state and national rates, paired with construction and electrician advertised pay moving down locally while rising nationally, points to softening local demand in the trades even as structural labor scarcity looms on the horizon. Commerce leaders evaluating expansion or capital projects should treat current construction pricing as a short-term window, given the mismatch between falling local trade wages and the sector's long-term supply constraints. Consider monitoring St. Lucie County's out-commuting rate \u2014 already above 60% \u2014 as a proxy for whether local wage softness reflects a cooling project pipeline or workers shifting toward better-paying opportunities in neighboring metros.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Whether St. Lucie County's 5.3% unemployment rate (August) converges toward or diverges further from Florida's declining state trend over the next two prints will clarify if local softness is temporary or structural."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Construction and electrician advertised pay moving down locally against a national backdrop of rising trade wages and a workforce facing 41% retirement attrition by 2031 \u2014 a reversal of that local softness could arrive quickly if the trend catches up to the structural shortage."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Job ads for warehouse and delivery roles are up moderately in the metro, a signal of hiring demand (one ad often covers several openings) that may reflect logistics and distribution activity tied to regional growth."}, {"category": "Policy signal", "body": "Florida's $15.00 minimum wage, effective since late September, has now fully phased in; watch whether metro-level advertised pay for entry-level retail and food service roles \u2014 currently flat to down \u2014 shows any lagged adjustment in coming reports."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 27377.0, "metro_p50": 32240.0, "metro_p75": 35880.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33340.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 28451.0, "metro_p50": 31200.0, "metro_p75": 32240.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 31268.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31889.0, "metro_p50": 35100.0, "metro_p75": 37440.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 38480.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 46800.0, "metro_p50": 78000.0, "metro_p75": 97500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 78872.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30160.0, "metro_p50": 34996.0, "metro_p75": 42640.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 34826.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33280.0, "metro_p50": 35360.0, "metro_p75": 37440.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 40726.6, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 47840.0, "metro_p50": 60000.0, "metro_p75": 63610.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 71835.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31383.25, "metro_p50": 37440.0, "metro_p75": 39780.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32953.0, "metro_p50": 37440.0, "metro_p75": 41600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29534.25, "metro_p50": 33280.0, "metro_p75": 34840.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33764.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32240.0, "metro_p50": 35360.0, "metro_p75": 36400.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 41600.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 36076.0, "metro_p50": 41350.0, "metro_p75": 44720.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 44552.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 56014.0, "metro_p50": 60633.0, "metro_p75": 68640.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 71406.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 78213.25, "metro_p50": 93741.0, "metro_p75": 102987.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 102252.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 156592.0, "metro_p50": 161616.0, "metro_p75": 168805.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 154403.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 120076.0, "metro_p50": 120170.0, "metro_p75": 120170.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 138000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 59680.0, "metro_p50": 67500.0, "metro_p75": 72166.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 72000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 68040.0, "metro_p50": 90933.4, "metro_p75": 91573.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 94646.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 60931.25, "metro_p50": 71709.0, "metro_p75": 80000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 74477.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 47955.0, "metro_p50": 69294.0, "metro_p75": 70000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 62916.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 60000.0, "metro_p50": 71115.4, "metro_p75": 87000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 86294.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 34736.0, "metro_p50": 49650.0, "metro_p75": 59084.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 55908.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 62500.0, "metro_p50": 80000.0, "metro_p75": 90000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94009.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 56465.0, "metro_p50": 69940.0, "metro_p75": 75000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 77675.0, "metro_p50": 96218.6, "metro_p75": 109119.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 98302.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 53560.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 63555.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 35890.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 47255.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 58421.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 54142.5, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 52147.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 70000.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 31558.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 67159.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [{"source_name": "Florida Department of Commerce", "source_url": null, "statement": "Port St. Lucie MSA unemployment rate at 5.2% for September 2026"}, {"source_name": "U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics", "source_url": null, "statement": "St. Lucie County unemployment at 5.3% in August 2026, up 0.3pp year-over-year"}, {"source_name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics", "source_url": null, "statement": "Construction jobs at 6.2% of Port St. Lucie employment vs. 4.1% nationally"}, {"source_name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics", "source_url": null, "statement": "Florida unemployment rate fell to 4.4% in September, fourth straight monthly decline"}, {"source_name": "Florida Council of 100 / industry survey", "source_url": null, "statement": "41% of Florida's construction workforce expected to retire by 2031"}, {"source_name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics", "source_url": null, "statement": "Healthcare drove 61% of Florida's net job growth in August 2026"}], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "port-st-lucie-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "pdf": "port-st-lucie-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf", "sources_html": "port-st-lucie-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:28:26.806010+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/port-st-lucie-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/port-st-lucie-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf"}