{"schema_version": 1, "id": "pine-bluff-ar-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 305, "label": "Pine Bluff, AR MSA", "slug": "pine-bluff-ar-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-09", "public_after": "2026-09-01", "frozen_at": "2026-10-09T13:41:50.066094+00:00", "headline": "Pine Bluff area unemployment outpaces state and nation despite steady gains.", "headline_summary": "Jefferson County's 5.5% unemployment rate remains 1.6 points above Arkansas's 3.9% and 1.4 points above the national 4.1%, even as average weekly wages of $1,059 trail the U.S. figure of $1,569 by nearly a third.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Jefferson County unemployment", "value": "5.5%", "context": "vs 3.9% Arkansas, 4.1% U.S. (April 2026)"}, {"label": "County avg weekly wage", "value": "$1,059", "context": "vs $1,569 U.S. average (Dec 2025)"}, {"label": "Labor force inactivity", "value": "30%", "context": "11,237 working-age residents inactive"}, {"label": "National wage vs inflation", "value": "3.0% vs 3.4%", "context": "Wage growth now trailing inflation (Sept 2026)"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Jefferson County's jobless rate still runs well above state and national lines.", "body": "At 5.5%, the county trails Arkansas's 3.9% rate by 1.6 points and the national 4.1% by 1.4 points, even after four months of improvement from a January peak. The gap suggests local economic recovery is real but lagging the state's broader momentum, a distinction that matters for any investment case built on statewide averages."}, {"headline": "A third of the working-age population sits outside the labor force entirely.", "body": "11,237 Jefferson County residents are counted as inactive, not unemployed \u2014 a distinct category from the headline jobless rate. That reserve of potential labor may represent latent capacity for employers considering local expansion, separate from the tighter supply picture reported statewide."}, {"headline": "Local average weekly wages trail the national figure by roughly a third.", "body": "December 2025 data put Jefferson County's average weekly wage at $1,059 against $1,569 nationally, with manufacturing ($1,311.57) far outpacing retail trade ($604.45) within the county itself. That internal spread signals a local economy still anchored in lower-wage trade and services even as manufacturing holds comparatively steady ground."}, {"headline": "Manufacturing and healthcare anchor the county's job base amid a changed metro status.", "body": "Jefferson County lost official metropolitan statistical area designation in 2025, meaning standard BLS metro-level benchmarking no longer applies and county-level data is the best available substitute. Named employers including Jefferson Regional Medical Center, Tyson Foods, and Saracen Casino remain the visible anchors of current job postings, consistent with the county's manufacturing and trade/transportation employment concentration."}], "local_conditions": "Jefferson County's unemployment rate sat at 5.5% as of the most recent available reading, well above both the Arkansas rate of 3.9% and the national rate of 4.1%, even after improving steadily from a 7.5% January 2026 peak tied to seasonal softness. Local wage data shows an average weekly wage of $1,059 against the U.S. average of $1,569, a gap that reflects the county's reliance on manufacturing and trade employment rather than higher-wage professional sectors expanding elsewhere in the state.", "implications": "Jefferson County's wider unemployment gap against state and national figures signals a labor market still working through structural slack, not a tight-supply environment \u2014 a meaningfully different climate for expansion decisions than Benton or Washington counties, where wages and participation are climbing faster. With 11,237 working-age residents classified as inactive in the labor force (roughly 30% of that population), the available labor pool may be larger than headline unemployment suggests, a relevant data point for any commerce or development planning that depends on local workforce capacity. Current conditions suggest local economic development and commerce leaders evaluate whether underutilized labor supply, rather than labor scarcity, is the more pressing constraint on business investment decisions in this market.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Data continuity concern", "body": "Pine Bluff's loss of official MSA status complicates month-to-month comparability going forward; government economists and commerce leaders tracking this market should expect to rely on Jefferson County-level BLS data rather than metro-standard releases."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Unemployment has declined for four straight readings from a 7.5% January high to 5.5% in April \u2014 whether that trajectory continues toward statewide norms, or stalls, will be the clearest local signal of whether 2026 marks a genuine turnaround or a seasonal bounce."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "National wage growth has slipped to 3.0% against 3.4% inflation, the weakest pace since 2021 \u2014 a dynamic that, if it persists, could compress the purchasing power cushion for Jefferson County workers already earning well below the national weekly wage average."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Arkansas labor force participation ticked down 0.1 points in August after steady gains, suggesting a possible ceiling on statewide workforce expansion. Local economic development planning should watch whether Jefferson County's large inactive population moves in the opposite direction, offering an offsetting supply source."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 21901.0, "metro_p50": 26632.0, "metro_p75": 28112.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33325.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 24045.0, "metro_p50": 26013.2, "metro_p75": 26443.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 31200.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30592.0, "metro_p50": 34281.8, "metro_p75": 38059.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 38000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 60741.0, "metro_p50": 85800.0, "metro_p75": 98126.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 78000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 25906.0, "metro_p50": 29617.0, "metro_p75": 30939.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 34344.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 30036.25, "metro_p50": 35360.0, "metro_p75": 37440.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 40560.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 54500.0, "metro_p50": 66896.0, "metro_p75": 67359.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 71404.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 30099.0, "metro_p50": 35360.0, "metro_p75": 38544.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29674.5, "metro_p50": 35360.0, "metro_p75": 43695.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 25740.0, "metro_p50": 27040.0, "metro_p75": 27040.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33756.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30385.5, "metro_p50": 32722.0, "metro_p75": 40413.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 41106.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30099.0, "metro_p50": 39000.0, "metro_p75": 40299.25, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 43680.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 51519.0, "metro_p50": 59729.0, "metro_p75": 62400.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 70720.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 82550.0, "metro_p50": 97074.4, "metro_p75": 103393.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 102581.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 117834.0, "metro_p50": 151975.0, "metro_p75": 165000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 153652.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 91487.0, "metro_p50": 125778.0, "metro_p75": 136713.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 139500.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 54067.0, "metro_p50": 64695.0, "metro_p75": 72788.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 72182.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 72500.0, "metro_p50": 88958.2, "metro_p75": 97922.75, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 94782.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 48495.0, "metro_p50": 70653.0, "metro_p75": 77744.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 44520.0, "metro_p50": 60000.0, "metro_p75": 73742.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 62354.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 60450.0, "metro_p50": 64000.0, "metro_p75": 76001.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 85216.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 43744.0, "metro_p50": 54792.0, "metro_p75": 57419.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 56731.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 79756.75, "metro_p50": 98234.0, "metro_p75": 114413.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 92749.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 46082.5, "metro_p50": 54828.0, "metro_p75": 70032.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 75529.0, "metro_p50": 91374.2, "metro_p75": 101771.75, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 98279.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 61880.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 48360.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 33000.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 75000.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 171185.5, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 54751.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 61524.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 49904.5, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 29306.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 66057.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "October 2026", "files": {"html": "pine-bluff-ar-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "pdf": "pine-bluff-ar-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf", "sources_html": "pine-bluff-ar-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-10-09T14:34:50.795838+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/pine-bluff-ar-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/pine-bluff-ar-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf"}