{"schema_version": 1, "id": "pensacola-ferry-pass-brent-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 399, "label": "Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL MSA", "slug": "pensacola-ferry-pass-brent-fl-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T08:00:16.347673+00:00", "headline": "Pensacola adds jobs as unemployment climbs in a rebalancing labor market.", "headline_summary": "Escambia County unemployment rose to 5.1% from 3.6% a year ago even as Pensacola added 1,100 jobs \u2014 one of only nine Florida metros to grow \u2014 while local wages rose 4.3%, matching the state rate.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Escambia County unemployment", "value": "5.1%", "context": "Up from 3.6% one year earlier (July 2025)"}, {"label": "Pensacola metro job growth", "value": "+1,100 jobs", "context": "One of 9 FL metros adding jobs; state lost 36,700"}, {"label": "Metro average weekly wage growth", "value": "4.3%", "context": "Matches Florida's 4.3% statewide rate"}, {"label": "Florida statewide unemployment", "value": "4.4%", "context": "Down 4th straight month, but payrolls flat"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Job growth and rising joblessness are both true at once.", "body": "Pensacola added 1,100 jobs year-over-year while unemployment climbed from 3.6% to 5.1% \u2014 a pattern consistent with labor force growth outpacing hiring, a dynamic distinct from employers cutting positions. Distinguishing these two causes matters for how commerce leaders read the metro's trajectory."}, {"headline": "Professional and business services carry the metro's momentum.", "body": "Professional and business services (+1.2%), other services (+1.1%), and trade/transportation/utilities (+0.3%) were the only sectors showing clear growth locally, consistent with statewide data showing these categories driving most of Florida's net job additions. Narrow sectoral breadth suggests the recovery is not yet broad-based across the local economy."}, {"headline": "Pensacola wages are outperforming the state on paper but trail in context.", "body": "Average weekly wages rose 4.3% locally, matching Florida's statewide rate, but the metro ranks 107th nationally in wage level at $1,280 per week. Advertised pay data shows the gap concentrated in skilled roles \u2014 Software Engineer and Data Engineer both posting significant local wage gains \u2014 while frontline retail and food service pay stayed flat or declined."}, {"headline": "The 'Cyber Coast' narrative has early wage evidence behind it.", "body": "Data Engineer advertised pay in Pensacola ($139,091) now exceeds the national median ($138,000), and Software Engineer pay is rising significantly locally while holding flat nationally. That divergence is consistent with the metro's active positioning around tech and cyber employers, worth tracking as a potential differentiator in regional economic development pitches."}], "local_conditions": "Escambia County's unemployment rate held at 5.1% in July 2026, up 0.7 points from 3.6% a year earlier, even as the Pensacola metro added 1,100 jobs year-over-year \u2014 one of only nine Florida metros to post net gains while the state shed 36,700 jobs overall. Local wage growth of 4.3% year-over-year on average weekly wages of $1,280 matches Florida's 4.3% rate and comes alongside advertised pay gains concentrated in professional services, data engineering, and nursing, suggesting demand is holding in higher-skill segments even as the broader unemployment rate drifts upward.", "implications": "Rising unemployment paired with net job growth points to a labor force that is expanding faster than the metro is absorbing it \u2014 a rebalancing pattern that mirrors the statewide dynamic of falling joblessness against flat payrolls and can occur without a demand collapse. For commerce leaders evaluating expansion or investment timing, the combination of available labor and resilient wage growth in professional and healthcare segments signals a market with more slack than a year ago but still capable of supporting targeted growth. Government economists and chambers should consider tracking whether labor force participation is rising locally (more people looking for work) or whether layoffs are driving the increase, since the two tell very different stories about the metro's underlying health.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Early indicator", "body": "Watch whether Escambia County's unemployment rate stabilizes or continues climbing in the next two monthly releases \u2014 a plateau near 5% would support the labor-force-growth explanation, while further increases alongside flat job creation would point to softening demand."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Florida's five consecutive months of job losses from November 2025 through April 2026, followed by a fragile rebound, raises the question of whether Pensacola's net job gains can hold if statewide momentum weakens further heading into 2027 budget cycles."}, {"category": "Structural pressure point", "body": "Statewide construction data shows only 6% of young adults expressing interest in trades and 41% of the construction workforce expected to retire by 2031 \u2014 a constraint likely to affect Pensacola's building and infrastructure capacity given advertised Construction Laborer and Electrician pay that remains below national medians."}, {"category": "Policy-relevant signal", "body": "Florida's minimum wage increase to $15.00 effective September 30 will show its first full month of impact in October data \u2014 worth monitoring for effects on local retail and food service advertised pay, which has trended flat to down in Pensacola this year."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 25950.0, "metro_p50": 31091.8, "metro_p75": 32977.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33340.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 26117.0, "metro_p50": 30160.0, "metro_p75": 31741.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 31268.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31031.0, "metro_p50": 35140.6, "metro_p75": 37440.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 38480.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 50440.0, "metro_p50": 76203.0, "metro_p75": 86252.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 78872.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30548.0, "metro_p50": 37440.0, "metro_p75": 44000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 34826.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33112.0, "metro_p50": 38310.2, "metro_p75": 41600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 40726.6, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 51442.0, "metro_p50": 61220.2, "metro_p75": 68539.75, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 71835.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31434.0, "metro_p50": 33532.8, "metro_p75": 37440.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32240.0, "metro_p50": 36400.0, "metro_p75": 40557.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29199.0, "metro_p50": 30493.0, "metro_p75": 31200.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33764.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32676.0, "metro_p50": 35840.0, "metro_p75": 37535.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 41600.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33606.0, "metro_p50": 39520.0, "metro_p75": 42640.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 44552.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 52176.5, "metro_p50": 62702.0, "metro_p75": 68177.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 71406.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 71530.0, "metro_p50": 82899.0, "metro_p75": 89440.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 102252.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 96229.0, "metro_p50": 124881.2, "metro_p75": 140000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 154403.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 100800.0, "metro_p50": 139090.8, "metro_p75": 147000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 138000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 56158.0, "metro_p50": 62640.0, "metro_p75": 67309.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 72000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 67988.0, "metro_p50": 78998.0, "metro_p75": 91590.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94646.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 54448.0, "metro_p50": 74610.0, "metro_p75": 77698.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 74477.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 38780.75, "metro_p50": 54849.0, "metro_p75": 56741.5, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 62916.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 60000.0, "metro_p50": 71115.4, "metro_p75": 87000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 86294.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31200.0, "metro_p50": 39520.0, "metro_p75": 47195.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 55908.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 62500.0, "metro_p50": 90691.6, "metro_p75": 103644.25, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 94009.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 56465.0, "metro_p50": 69940.0, "metro_p75": 75000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 76625.0, "metro_p50": 101457.0, "metro_p75": 118316.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 98302.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 53475.5, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 67187.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 36414.5, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 57512.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 70720.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 51500.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 54250.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 65872.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 31380.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 66922.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "pensacola-ferry-pass-brent-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "pdf": "pensacola-ferry-pass-brent-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf", "sources_html": "pensacola-ferry-pass-brent-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:28:08.624392+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/pensacola-ferry-pass-brent-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/pensacola-ferry-pass-brent-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf"}