{"schema_version": 1, "id": "pensacola-ferry-pass-brent-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 399, "label": "Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL MSA", "slug": "pensacola-ferry-pass-brent-fl-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-09", "public_after": "2026-09-01", "frozen_at": "2026-10-09T13:42:45.605445+00:00", "headline": "Pensacola's labor force shrinks as jobless rate holds above national average.", "headline_summary": "Escambia County unemployment held at 5.1% in August \u2014 a point above the 4.1% national rate \u2014 while the local labor force contracted 0.7% over the year even as professional and business services outpaced Florida's statewide growth.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Escambia County unemployment", "value": "5.1%", "context": "vs 4.1% national, 4.6% Florida (August 2026)"}, {"label": "Metro labor force change", "value": "-0.7%", "context": "Down 1,808 workers YoY to 241,625"}, {"label": "Metro net job growth", "value": "~700 jobs", "context": "Essentially flat for the year"}, {"label": "Florida minimum wage", "value": "$15.00/hr", "context": "Rises from $14 effective Sept 30, 2026"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Flat job growth masks sector-level divergence worth tracking.", "body": "Net job growth near zero for the year obscures real movement underneath: professional/business services (+1.2%) and other services (+1.1%) outpaced Florida's statewide growth rates. Treating the metro as uniformly stagnant would miss where the actual momentum is concentrated."}, {"headline": "A shrinking labor force is the more consequential story than the jobless rate.", "body": "Escambia's labor force fell 0.7% over the year to 241,625 \u2014 people leaving the workforce, not just failing to find jobs, which compounds slowly and affects the metro's capacity to support new investment regardless of how low unemployment eventually reads."}, {"headline": "Local wage strength in skilled roles runs counter to the soft headline numbers.", "body": "Registered Nurse pay rose significantly to a $82,589 metro median and Software Engineer pay rose significantly to $122,445, both outpacing stable or softer movement in lower-wage, high-volume roles like retail and manufacturing production. Wage divergence by skill tier mirrors the national white-collar/blue-collar split and suggests uneven purchasing power gains across metro households."}, {"headline": "Florida's minimum wage step-up lands amid an already-soft local labor market.", "body": "The state's move to $15/hour effective September 30 arrives as Escambia's unemployment sits a full point above the national rate, meaning the wage floor rises just as local labor demand looks comparatively weak. Worth watching whether this shows up in advertised pay for entry-level roles over the next reporting cycle."}], "local_conditions": "Escambia County's unemployment rate held at 5.1% in August, a full point above the national 4.1% and nearly half a point above Florida's 4.6%, while the metro's labor force shrank by 1,808 workers over the year to 241,625 \u2014 a contraction, not an expansion, in the pool of available workers. Net job growth across Escambia-Santa Rosa has been essentially flat for a year, even as professional and business services, other services, and trade/transportation/utilities grew faster locally than statewide, suggesting the metro's modest momentum is concentrated in a narrow band of sectors rather than broad-based.", "implications": "Flat headline job growth paired with a shrinking labor force points to a metro economy treading water rather than contracting outright \u2014 a distinction that matters for anyone gauging whether now is a window to expand locally versus wait for clearer signals. Faster-than-state growth in professional/business services and trade/transportation/utilities offers a credible, narrow case for targeted local investment even as the broader employment picture stays soft. Commerce leaders and economic development officials should consider tracking these two sectors specifically as leading indicators of broader momentum, rather than relying on the flat topline unemployment number alone.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Expected", "body": "Florida's minimum wage rise to $15/hour (and $11.98 for tipped workers) takes effect September 30. Watch whether Pensacola's advertised pay for entry-level retail, food service, and hospitality roles adjusts upward in October reporting, or whether employers had already priced in the increase."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "Labor force participation decline (-1,808 workers year-over-year) bears watching for whether it stabilizes or continues; a persistent outflow would constrain the metro's capacity to support new business investment even if posted job counts hold steady."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "National WARN filings include Amazon, Meta, Verizon, Oracle, and Tyson Foods, none with confirmed Pensacola-area facilities tied to these notices as of this writing; local economic development offices should monitor whether national layoff activity in logistics, telecom, or food processing touches regional suppliers or satellite operations."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Professional/business services and trade/transportation/utilities are outgrowing the state rate locally; a second consecutive month of outperformance in these sectors would strengthen the case that Pensacola's modest momentum is becoming structural rather than seasonal."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 25950.0, "metro_p50": 30160.0, "metro_p75": 32638.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33325.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 26109.5, "metro_p50": 29120.0, "metro_p75": 31200.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 31200.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30990.0, "metro_p50": 34320.0, "metro_p75": 37398.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 38000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 51003.0, "metro_p50": 77138.4, "metro_p75": 86390.25, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 78000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30363.0, "metro_p50": 37342.2, "metro_p75": 41600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 34344.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32625.0, "metro_p50": 37440.0, "metro_p75": 40560.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 40560.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 50598.0, "metro_p50": 60441.4, "metro_p75": 68439.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 71404.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31176.0, "metro_p50": 33280.0, "metro_p75": 37327.75, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32119.75, "metro_p50": 36400.0, "metro_p75": 40142.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29422.0, "metro_p50": 30614.0, "metro_p75": 32237.75, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33756.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32722.0, "metro_p50": 35799.0, "metro_p75": 37607.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 41106.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33203.0, "metro_p50": 38903.0, "metro_p75": 41600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 43680.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 52421.0, "metro_p50": 62400.0, "metro_p75": 63440.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 70720.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 71385.0, "metro_p50": 82589.2, "metro_p75": 89086.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 102581.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 96189.5, "metro_p50": 122445.2, "metro_p75": 140000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 153652.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 100800.0, "metro_p50": 139090.8, "metro_p75": 147000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 139500.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 55894.0, "metro_p50": 62449.2, "metro_p75": 67216.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 72182.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 67909.0, "metro_p50": 78998.0, "metro_p75": 91590.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94782.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 58474.0, "metro_p50": 71826.6, "metro_p75": 74610.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 50000.0, "metro_p50": 56516.8, "metro_p75": 61100.75, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 62354.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 60000.0, "metro_p50": 72643.0, "metro_p75": 87458.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 85216.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30862.25, "metro_p50": 39520.0, "metro_p75": 47117.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 56731.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 62500.0, "metro_p50": 88640.0, "metro_p75": 100000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 92749.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 61238.0, "metro_p50": 72000.0, "metro_p75": 75000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 82056.5, "metro_p50": 101948.0, "metro_p75": 118316.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 98279.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 52000.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 66304.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 36451.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 50587.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 70720.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 51500.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 54250.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 64136.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 31200.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 67537.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "October 2026", "files": {"html": "pensacola-ferry-pass-brent-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "pdf": "pensacola-ferry-pass-brent-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf", "sources_html": "pensacola-ferry-pass-brent-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-10-09T14:34:43.210575+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/pensacola-ferry-pass-brent-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/pensacola-ferry-pass-brent-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf"}