{"schema_version": 1, "id": "pascagoula-ms-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-09", "product": "Labor Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 322, "label": "Pascagoula, MS MSA", "slug": "pascagoula-ms-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "restaurant_industry", "slug": "restaurant-industry", "label": "Restaurant Industry"}, "period": "2026-09", "public_after": "2026-09-01", "frozen_at": "2026-10-09T13:35:23.766451+00:00", "headline": "Shipbuilding wages, not minimum wage law, set Pascagoula's pay floor.", "headline_summary": "Jackson County's 3.5% unemployment rate and $82,884 average manufacturing wage are pulling hourly labor away from restaurants even as Crew pay rose and management postings like Catering Manager fell significantly.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Jackson County unemployment", "value": "3.5%", "context": "vs 3.7% Mississippi, 4.1% national"}, {"label": "Manufacturing avg. annual wage, Jackson Co.", "value": "$82,884", "context": "vs restaurant GM median $51,919 locally"}, {"label": "Mississippi food svc. job openings rate", "value": "5.4%", "context": "vs 4.5% national (Oct 2025)"}, {"label": "National accommodation/food svc. openings", "value": "673,000", "context": "down from 916,000 start of 2026"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Crew pay climbed while management pay retreated.", "body": "Crew advertised pay rose moderately this month even as Assistant Restaurant Manager and Catering Manager postings fell significantly, a divergence that suggests operators are prioritizing hourly staffing coverage over management bench depth. This may reflect confidence that current managers will stay, or simply tighter budgets for backfilling supervisory roles."}, {"headline": "Shipbuilding wages set the real local wage floor.", "body": "Manufacturing workers in Jackson County average $82,884 annually, dwarfing restaurant management pay topping out near $52,000 for Restaurant Manager/GM roles. Any restaurant competing for entry-level labor in this metro is effectively competing against Ingalls Shipbuilding's wage scale, not national restaurant benchmarks."}, {"headline": "No state wage floor means local market power rules.", "body": "Mississippi's failure to pass a state minimum wage in 2026 (HB 108, HB 524, HB 526, SB 2277 all stalled) leaves Jackson County operators free to set tipped and base pay independently, unlike Florida operators now absorbing a $15.00 minimum. That flexibility cuts both ways \u2014 it preserves margin but offers no cover if candidate pools tighten further."}, {"headline": "Server pay softness could mask tip-credit volatility.", "body": "Server advertised pay fell moderately this month, but Mississippi's $5.12 tip credit structure means posted base pay understates true earnings risk during slow shoulder-season weeks. Operators should treat advertised server pay as a partial signal, not a full read on front-of-house total compensation stability."}], "local_conditions": "Jackson County's unemployment rate sat at 3.5% in July, well below Mississippi's 3.7% statewide reading, with manufacturing \u2014 led by Ingalls Shipbuilding \u2014 absorbing much of the available labor supply and leaving restaurant operators competing against $82,884 average manufacturing wages for the same working-age pool. Mississippi's absence of a state minimum wage keeps the federal $7.25 floor in place, but tight local labor conditions and over 11,000 active job listings in the metro are pushing advertised restaurant pay above that floor regardless of statutory requirements.", "implications": "Crew pay rose moderately this month even as Server, Shift Manager, Assistant Restaurant Manager, and Catering Manager postings softened \u2014 a split that suggests operators are protecting entry-level hourly rates to secure hourly labor while pulling back on management-track compensation amid tighter margins. With no state wage mandate forcing action, pay decisions here are being set by local competition with shipbuilding and manufacturing rather than policy, which means retention risk concentrates in roles competing directly with those industries' hourly wage scales. Consider reviewing whether crew and line-cook pay is tracking local manufacturing entry wages rather than national restaurant benchmarks, since that comparison set is the one actually driving Jackson County candidate decisions.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Mississippi's statewide job openings rate in food services ran well above the national average as of late 2025, and June 2026 Food Services and Drinking Places employment was essentially flat year-over-year at 103,200 statewide. Watch whether Jackson County's manufacturing wage pull continues drawing hourly workers away from restaurant postings into Q4."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "National job openings in accommodation and food services fell from 916,000 to 673,000 through July, suggesting slack building nationally even as Jackson County's own labor market stays historically tight. A metro this tight on labor could see slower relief than national trends imply."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "HII/Ingalls Shipbuilding hiring activity remains the single largest driver of entry-level wage competition in this metro; any announced expansion or contraction there will move restaurant candidate supply faster than any restaurant-specific policy change."}, {"category": "Expected", "body": "Shoulder-season staffing swings combined with Mississippi's $5.12 tip credit structure typically produce wage makeup liabilities for tipped staff in slower months \u2014 budget planning for Q4 should account for this exposure now rather than after payroll runs show it."}], "roles": [{"role": "Assistant Restaurant Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 21541.0, "metro_p50": 30871.8, "metro_p75": 34452.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 39000.0, "national_trend_direction": "down", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Catering Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 35360.0, "metro_p50": 39520.0, "metro_p75": 41165.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 50960.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Crew", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 20957.0, "metro_p50": 24401.0, "metro_p75": 27731.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 29839.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Line Cook", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 26000.0, "metro_p50": 28263.0, "metro_p75": 31200.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 36826.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Restaurant Manager/General Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 39567.25, "metro_p50": 51919.0, "metro_p75": 52500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 59618.0, "national_trend_direction": "down", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Server", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 24455.0, "metro_p50": 26760.0, "metro_p75": 28080.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 35012.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Shift Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 25275.0, "metro_p50": 27040.0, "metro_p75": 28269.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 32731.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "October 2026", "files": {"html": "pascagoula-ms-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-09.html", "pdf": "pascagoula-ms-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-09.pdf"}, "published_at": "2026-10-09T14:34:41.490481+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/pascagoula-ms-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-09.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/pascagoula-ms-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-09.pdf"}