{"schema_version": 1, "id": "palm-bay-melbourne-titusville-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 365, "label": "Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL MSA", "slug": "palm-bay-melbourne-titusville-fl-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T07:58:30.362777+00:00", "headline": "Melbourne's labor market splits along a technical-frontline fault line.", "headline_summary": "Business Analyst and Software Engineer pay are climbing locally while CDL Truck Driver pay falls to $67,767 against a stable $78,872 national median, underscoring a metro economy where momentum is concentrated in its aerospace and technical corridor.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Metro employment level", "value": "290,881", "context": "August 2026, up from ~290,000 in Q2"}, {"label": "Brevard County unemployment", "value": "4.8%", "context": "April 2026, up 1.2 pts year-over-year"}, {"label": "Florida unemployment rate", "value": "4.4%", "context": "Sept. 2026, 4th straight monthly decline"}, {"label": "Local vs. national CDL driver pay", "value": "$67,767", "context": "Down locally vs. stable $78,872 nationally"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Metro's two labor markets are moving in opposite directions.", "body": "Technical and professional roles (Business Analyst +significant, Software Engineer +moderate, HVAC Technician +moderate) show rising advertised pay locally, while logistics and retail-adjacent roles (CDL Truck Driver, Warehouse Associate, Construction Laborer) are trending down. This split suggests momentum is concentrated in defense, aerospace, and skilled-trades segments, with uneven reach across the metro's commercial base."}, {"headline": "Rising employment alongside elevated unemployment is not a contradiction.", "body": "August employment of 290,881 marks a modest gain even as Brevard County unemployment sits near 4.8%, up 1.2 points year-over-year. The pattern is consistent with more residents entering or re-entering the local labor force, a distinction that matters for how commerce leaders read headline unemployment figures."}, {"headline": "Palm Bay's municipal hiring freeze signals public-sector caution.", "body": "Roughly 55 unfilled city positions have persisted for about ten months as part of a stated staffing optimization approach, even as public safety unions secured raises of 5-10%. This suggests local government is prioritizing targeted compensation commitments over headcount expansion \u2014 a pattern worth watching for what it implies about municipal service capacity."}, {"headline": "Frontline wage softness locally diverges from national stability.", "body": "Delivery Driver, Retail Sales Associate, and Customer Service Representative pay are each declining in the metro while national medians for the same roles hold flat. If sustained, this could ease cost pressure for local retail and logistics operators even as it signals softer consumer-facing labor demand relative to the rest of the country."}], "local_conditions": "Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville's labor market shows a region adding workers (employment reached 290,881 in August, up from roughly 290,000 in Q2) even as unemployment runs above the national rate, consistent with a metro where labor force growth is outpacing job creation and demand remains intact. Defense and aerospace-linked manufacturing anchors the local base \u2014 computer and electronic product manufacturing held steady at 16,900 workers through April \u2014 while advertised pay for several frontline and mid-skill roles (CDL drivers, warehouse associates, retail associates, construction laborers) is trending down locally even as national figures for the same roles hold flat, pointing to softer local demand or deeper local supply in those categories.", "implications": "Divergence between stable-to-rising advertised pay for technical roles (Software Engineer up, Business Analyst up significantly, HVAC Technician up) and declining pay for frontline and logistics roles suggests the local economy's momentum is concentrated in the defense, aerospace and technical-services corridor, with the consumer and logistics economy showing less of it. Commerce leaders evaluating expansion or relocation should weigh this bifurcation: the technical labor pool commands a wage premium and may face tighter supply, while frontline labor costs appear to be easing locally relative to national trends. Current conditions suggest reviewing sector-specific pay trajectories before drawing metro-wide conclusions about business costs or labor availability.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Expected", "body": "Official BLS metro-level data for September and October 2026 should post in the coming weeks, filling a current data gap and offering the first direct read on whether the modest August employment gain continued into fall."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Whether Palm Bay's roughly ten-month hiring freeze extends or lifts will signal whether municipal budget caution is easing, with implications for local government service capacity and public-sector payroll contribution to the metro economy."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Statewide, construction faces a structural labor constraint \u2014 just 6% of young adults express interest in the trades and 41% of the workforce is expected to retire by 2031 \u2014 a dynamic that compounds locally given Brevard County's infrastructure and aerospace-facility construction needs."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Continued divergence between rising technical-role pay and falling frontline pay locally could widen, or begin to narrow if defense and aerospace demand spreads into adjacent logistics and support roles. Commerce leaders should track whether Renesas, STR, and similar advertisers expand hiring demand (measured by job ads, which track demand and often cover several openings each) beyond core technical postings."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 25963.0, "metro_p50": 31200.0, "metro_p75": 35308.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33340.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 27199.0, "metro_p50": 31369.0, "metro_p75": 33280.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 31268.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30645.0, "metro_p50": 33899.0, "metro_p75": 38480.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 38480.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 54345.0, "metro_p50": 67766.8, "metro_p75": 86252.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 78872.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30324.0, "metro_p50": 32080.4, "metro_p75": 34580.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 34826.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31200.0, "metro_p50": 36693.0, "metro_p75": 41600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 40726.6, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 55849.0, "metro_p50": 67080.0, "metro_p75": 71760.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 71835.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31539.0, "metro_p50": 36338.0, "metro_p75": 40432.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31200.0, "metro_p50": 35360.0, "metro_p75": 37440.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29120.0, "metro_p50": 35360.0, "metro_p75": 38480.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33764.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32240.0, "metro_p50": 35360.0, "metro_p75": 37440.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 41600.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 34320.0, "metro_p50": 40807.0, "metro_p75": 45760.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 44552.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 56160.0, "metro_p50": 61091.0, "metro_p75": 67884.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 71406.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 77027.0, "metro_p50": 89122.8, "metro_p75": 97541.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 102252.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 109890.0, "metro_p50": 137222.8, "metro_p75": 150832.25, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 154403.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 102627.0, "metro_p50": 127613.0, "metro_p75": 145000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 138000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 46303.0, "metro_p50": 61529.2, "metro_p75": 71999.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 72000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 74911.0, "metro_p50": 99388.0, "metro_p75": 105664.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 94646.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 59430.0, "metro_p50": 70000.0, "metro_p75": 80548.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 74477.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 42382.5, "metro_p50": 50640.4, "metro_p75": 59739.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 62916.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 60000.0, "metro_p50": 71115.4, "metro_p75": 87000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 86294.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33280.0, "metro_p50": 47339.0, "metro_p75": 50450.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 55908.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 75000.0, "metro_p50": 87500.0, "metro_p75": 92624.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94009.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 56465.0, "metro_p50": 69940.0, "metro_p75": 75000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 79388.0, "metro_p50": 108742.0, "metro_p75": 119984.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 98302.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 55120.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 122542.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 35360.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 61500.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 80150.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 52669.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 52500.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 55213.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 32906.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 65311.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "palm-bay-melbourne-titusville-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "pdf": "palm-bay-melbourne-titusville-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf", "sources_html": "palm-bay-melbourne-titusville-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:27:57.544132+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/palm-bay-melbourne-titusville-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/palm-bay-melbourne-titusville-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf"}