{"schema_version": 1, "id": "oxnard-thousand-oaks-ventura-ca-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 357, "label": "Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA MSA", "slug": "oxnard-thousand-oaks-ventura-ca-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T07:58:18.538127+00:00", "headline": "Ventura County unemployment eases as California's holds flat.", "headline_summary": "County unemployment fell to 4.9% in September, a second straight monthly improvement against a California rate stuck at 5.1%, while registered nurse advertised pay climbed to $128,180.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Ventura County unemployment", "value": "4.9%", "context": "Down from 5.0% in August; vs 5.1% statewide"}, {"label": "County nonfarm job change", "value": "+200 jobs", "context": "September gain after mid-year loss of 5,200"}, {"label": "RN advertised pay, metro vs national", "value": "$128,180", "context": "vs $102,252 national median, up significantly"}, {"label": "Industrial net absorption, Q1 2026", "value": "64,694 SF", "context": "First positive quarter after prior declines"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Ventura County's jobless rate is improving while the state's stalls.", "body": "County unemployment dropped to 4.9% in September from 5.0% in August, reversing three straight months of increases, even as California held flat at 5.1% for a third consecutive month. Local trajectory now diverges favorably from the state, a distinction worth highlighting in any regional economic comparison."}, {"headline": "Healthcare pay strength lines up with a documented growth forecast.", "body": "Registered nurse advertised pay rose significantly to a metro median of $128,180, well above the $102,252 national figure, alongside projections that county health occupations will grow more than 13%. The gap between local and national nursing pay is unusually wide and suggests sustained competition for clinical talent tied to real demographic and facility expansion that is likely to persist."}, {"headline": "Technical-role pay softening mirrors a broader California tech slowdown.", "body": "Software engineer ($170,000, down moderately) and data engineer ($139,621, down moderately) advertised pay both declined locally, consistent with statewide tech posting indexes among the lowest in the nation (San Francisco at 72). Oxnard's smaller technical employer base makes it sensitive to the same pullback reshaping larger California tech hubs."}, {"headline": "Industrial real estate activity offers a quieter but meaningful signal.", "body": "Ventura County logged 64,694 square feet of positive net industrial absorption in the first quarter, reversing several quarters of negative absorption, with roughly 892,000 square feet still under construction through 2026. Warehouse manager advertised pay rose significantly to $94,853, a combination consistent with logistics and distribution activity firming locally even as broader trade/transportation payrolls lagged earlier in the year."}], "local_conditions": "Ventura County's unemployment rate fell to 4.9% in September, its second consecutive monthly improvement after touching a seven-month high of 5.0% in August, with 20,900 residents unemployed across a labor force of 413,800. A net gain of 200 nonfarm jobs in September points to stabilization after earlier-year losses of 5,200 nonfarm positions, concentrated in trade/transportation/utilities (-1,800) and professional/business services (-1,500), while advertised pay for registered nurses ($128,180, up significantly) and operations managers ($107,924, up significantly) signals continued strength in healthcare and logistics management even as software engineering and data engineering pay both declined moderately.", "implications": "Divergent sector momentum \u2014 healthcare and skilled trades advertising pay gains while technical and finance-adjacent roles (software engineering, data engineering, accounting) show moderate pay declines \u2014 suggests the metro's economic base is tilting further toward healthcare, logistics, and construction relative to its historically strong tech and professional-services presence. For commerce leaders evaluating local investment timing, a county unemployment rate half a point below the state average and improving for two straight months argues for cautious optimism, tempered by the fact that statewide leisure/hospitality softness (-9,600 jobs in September) has local parallels worth monitoring in Ventura's own tourism-dependent coastal economy. Consider tracking whether the September job gain extends into a third consecutive month before treating it as a durable turn, since the longer trend has been one of softening.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "September marked the second straight monthly improvement in county unemployment after an August peak. A third consecutive decline in the October reading, due in mid-November from EDD, would support treating the summer softness as a seasonal pause."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Statewide leisure and hospitality losses (-9,600 jobs in September, -6,800 earlier in the year) have not yet shown a clear local parallel, but Ventura County's coastal tourism exposure makes this sector worth tracking into the winter season for any spillover."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "California's SB 951 will require WARN notices to disclose AI-driven layoffs, with EDD publishing quarterly displacement reports starting this cycle. Commerce leaders should watch whether any Ventura County filings appear in the first reports, which would offer the metro's first direct read on AI-linked job disruption."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "Industrial construction pipeline of roughly 892,000 square feet set for delivery through 2026 will test whether positive first-quarter absorption holds as new supply comes online. A slowdown in lease-up could signal softer-than-expected logistics demand despite recent warehouse management pay gains."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33077.0, "metro_p50": 37248.0, "metro_p75": 39520.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33340.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32703.0, "metro_p50": 36444.0, "metro_p75": 38480.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 31268.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 34456.0, "metro_p50": 39107.0, "metro_p75": 42640.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 38480.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 57080.0, "metro_p50": 77293.0, "metro_p75": 85673.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 78872.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 34853.5, "metro_p50": 38323.4, "metro_p75": 46280.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 34826.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 36920.0, "metro_p50": 41600.0, "metro_p75": 45760.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 40726.6, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 66917.75, "metro_p50": 82028.8, "metro_p75": 89959.25, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 71835.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 36150.0, "metro_p50": 41865.0, "metro_p75": 44720.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 37866.0, "metro_p50": 45760.0, "metro_p75": 52000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33592.75, "metro_p50": 42681.0, "metro_p75": 47949.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 33764.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 39896.0, "metro_p50": 47840.0, "metro_p75": 54356.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 41600.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 40460.5, "metro_p50": 49927.0, "metro_p75": 56160.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 44552.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 62400.0, "metro_p50": 72800.0, "metro_p75": 76216.75, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 71406.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 104000.0, "metro_p50": 128180.0, "metro_p75": 137125.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 102252.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 116113.0, "metro_p50": 170000.0, "metro_p75": 188861.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 154403.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 100436.0, "metro_p50": 139620.8, "metro_p75": 161361.5, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 138000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 65234.0, "metro_p50": 74771.8, "metro_p75": 84947.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 72000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 75251.0, "metro_p50": 97792.8, "metro_p75": 107633.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94646.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 51480.0, "metro_p50": 74884.0, "metro_p75": 85750.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 74477.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 57540.75, "metro_p50": 72109.4, "metro_p75": 80000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 62916.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 80317.75, "metro_p50": 107923.6, "metro_p75": 122935.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 86294.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 40422.0, "metro_p50": 61956.0, "metro_p75": 73000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 55908.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 75000.0, "metro_p50": 107500.0, "metro_p75": 133610.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94009.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 74500.0, "metro_p50": 94853.0, "metro_p75": 102750.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 83330.0, "metro_p50": 99728.0, "metro_p75": 117268.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 98302.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 91000.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "stable", "postings_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 136204.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 42640.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 60834.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 131630.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 83200.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "stable", "postings_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 89488.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "stable", "postings_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 84338.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 38974.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 74539.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "stable", "postings_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "citations": [{"source_name": "California Employment Development Department", "source_url": null, "statement": "Ventura County unemployment rate and labor force figures for September 2026"}, {"source_name": "Pacific Business Times", "source_url": null, "statement": "County unemployment fell to 4.9% while statewide rate held at 5.1%"}, {"source_name": "California Employment Development Department", "source_url": null, "statement": "Ventura County health occupations projected to grow more than 13%"}, {"source_name": "Indeed Hiring Lab", "source_url": null, "statement": "California tech job posting indexes among lowest nationally (SF at 72)"}, {"source_name": "Kidder Commercial Real Estate", "source_url": null, "statement": "Ventura County industrial net absorption of 64,694 SF in Q1 2026"}, {"source_name": "California State Legislature", "source_url": null, "statement": "SB 951 requires WARN notices to disclose AI-driven layoffs"}], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "oxnard-thousand-oaks-ventura-ca-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "pdf": "oxnard-thousand-oaks-ventura-ca-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf", "sources_html": "oxnard-thousand-oaks-ventura-ca-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:27:53.108866+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/oxnard-thousand-oaks-ventura-ca-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/oxnard-thousand-oaks-ventura-ca-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf"}