{"schema_version": 1, "id": "orlando-kissimmee-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 349, "label": "Orlando-Kissimmee, FL MSA", "slug": "orlando-kissimmee-fl-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T07:55:47.897015+00:00", "headline": "Orlando's job market cools gently as its labor pool grows faster.", "headline_summary": "Orlando's 4.0% unemployment rate beats the national 4.2% and Florida's 4.4%, even as the metro's labor force has outpaced job growth and wages diverge sharply between healthcare/education and frontline retail and food service work.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Orlando unemployment rate", "value": "4.0%", "context": "vs 4.2% U.S., 4.4% Florida (Sept. 2026)"}, {"label": "Metro job growth, year ending Sept.", "value": "+1.0%", "context": "14,300 jobs added; labor force grew faster"}, {"label": "Registered nurse advertised pay", "value": "$87,114", "context": "up moderately vs. flat food service, retail pay"}, {"label": "Florida WARN notices, 2026 YTD", "value": "215 notices / 15,749 workers", "context": "through Oct. 23, statewide, Orlando share limited"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Orlando's labor force is growing faster than its job count.", "body": "Metro employment grew 1.0% year-over-year while the labor force expanded even faster, nudging unemployment up slightly from a year ago even as the headline rate stays below the state and national figures. This points to population and participation growth outpacing job creation, a healthier imbalance than one driven by layoffs, but one that bears watching if the gap widens."}, {"headline": "Healthcare and education wages are pulling away from frontline pay.", "body": "Registered nurse advertised pay rose moderately to $87,114 and teacher pay rose significantly to $47,663, both outpacing metro-wide wage trends, while food service and manufacturing production worker pay fell. Divergence this wide signals a two-speed local economy where population-driven sectors post real gains and consumer-facing sectors lag."}, {"headline": "Tourism-anchored growth is diversifying into higher-wage technical work.", "body": "Universal Orlando's capital investment continues generating both construction and permanent positions, while the Lake Nona medical cluster and UCF-adjacent simulation and training employers add technical roles that pay above traditional hospitality wages. Economic development officials tracking diversification beyond theme parks have concrete evidence of that shift underway."}, {"headline": "Florida's construction labor constraint has not yet shown up locally.", "body": "Statewide, immigration enforcement effects and an aging trades workforce are straining construction hiring capacity, with just 6% of young adults expressing interest in the trades. Orlando's construction laborer and electrician advertised pay remain stable, worth monitoring as a leading indicator of whether the statewide constraint reaches this metro's active development pipeline."}], "local_conditions": "Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford's unemployment rate held at 4.0% in September, below both the state's 4.4% and the national 4.2% reading, even as the metro's labor force has expanded faster than local employment over the past year, a pattern state economists link to in-migration and rising labor force participation. Leisure and hospitality, education and health, and professional and business services continue to anchor job growth, with Universal Orlando's continued capital investment, the Lake Nona medical cluster, and UCF-adjacent simulation and training employers adding both construction and higher-wage technical positions to the metro's job base.", "implications": "Orlando's below-national unemployment rate paired with faster labor force growth than job growth points to a metro absorbing new residents and workers, a distinct dynamic from the labor-supply constraints state economists flag in construction trades statewide. Wage momentum in advertised job ads, a signal of hiring demand (one ad often covers several openings), for registered nurses, HVAC technicians, and school teachers suggests pockets of real wage growth are concentrated in sectors tied to population growth and public infrastructure, with the rest of the metro's job base showing more modest gains. Commerce leaders and economic development officials evaluating expansion or relocation announcements may want to weigh this sector-specific wage strength against flatter or declining advertised pay in retail, food service, and manufacturing production roles, where metro wages are trailing national medians.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Orlando's labor force has outgrown local employment for several consecutive quarters. Watch the next two jobs reports for whether unemployment ticks up further or job growth catches up, a signal of whether in-migration is being absorbed."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Statewide construction labor constraints tied to workforce aging and immigration enforcement have not yet pushed Orlando's electrician or construction laborer advertised pay higher. A shift toward rising construction wages locally would suggest the statewide labor pool strain has reached metro development projects."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "Named-employer expansions like Concentrix's 470 new Seminole County jobs and Worth AI's $190,000-average hires signal continued diversification into professional and technical services. Track whether additional venture-backed or BPO announcements follow in Q4, reinforcing the metro's shift beyond tourism dependence."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Florida's minimum wage rose to $15.00 per hour on September 30, with $11.98 for tipped workers. Watch whether advertised pay in Orlando's retail and food service roles, currently flat to declining, shows any upward adjustment in the next reporting cycle."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 27949.0, "metro_p50": 32240.0, "metro_p75": 36212.75, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33340.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 27419.0, "metro_p50": 31200.0, "metro_p75": 32760.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 31268.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31200.0, "metro_p50": 35360.0, "metro_p75": 37440.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 38480.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 54999.0, "metro_p50": 75400.0, "metro_p75": 88313.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 78872.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29972.0, "metro_p50": 32741.0, "metro_p75": 39520.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 34826.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32448.0, "metro_p50": 36400.0, "metro_p75": 38480.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 40726.6, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 53031.0, "metro_p50": 62400.0, "metro_p75": 67600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 71835.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30529.0, "metro_p50": 32968.0, "metro_p75": 36400.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32281.0, "metro_p50": 38895.0, "metro_p75": 42500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 28787.0, "metro_p50": 31200.0, "metro_p75": 33904.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33764.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32187.5, "metro_p50": 35360.0, "metro_p75": 37440.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 41600.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 34149.0, "metro_p50": 40481.0, "metro_p75": 44720.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 44552.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 52000.0, "metro_p50": 62400.0, "metro_p75": 70639.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 71406.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 76751.75, "metro_p50": 87114.0, "metro_p75": 89001.25, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 102252.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 106813.0, "metro_p50": 132319.0, "metro_p75": 147100.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 154403.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 92484.0, "metro_p50": 130292.8, "metro_p75": 147159.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 138000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 56184.0, "metro_p50": 68569.2, "metro_p75": 77964.25, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 72000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 69904.0, "metro_p50": 83000.0, "metro_p75": 95773.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94646.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 55000.0, "metro_p50": 65202.4, "metro_p75": 72500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 74477.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 45760.0, "metro_p50": 60335.4, "metro_p75": 70269.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 62916.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 67147.0, "metro_p50": 79507.8, "metro_p75": 92948.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 86294.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33280.0, "metro_p50": 47662.8, "metro_p75": 52000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 55908.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 65275.0, "metro_p50": 87472.0, "metro_p75": 99131.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94009.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 69940.0, "metro_p50": 75000.0, "metro_p75": 78749.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 76036.0, "metro_p50": 95130.0, "metro_p75": 107058.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 98302.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 79422.5, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "stable", "postings_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 99670.5, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 36962.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 57533.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 80250.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 61549.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 57926.5, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 56160.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 34840.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 64879.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "orlando-kissimmee-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "pdf": "orlando-kissimmee-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf", "sources_html": "orlando-kissimmee-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:27:46.336492+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/orlando-kissimmee-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/orlando-kissimmee-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf"}