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Labor Market Pulse

OK NONMETROPOLITAN AREA Edition

Focus: FINANCE

Nonmetro Oklahoma cools faster than the state — but not evenly.

Up in all 77 counties

Nonmetro county unemployment trend

Year-over-year through June 2026

4.3%

Oklahoma statewide unemployment

Above 4.1% national rate, August 2026

33%+

Firms not planning wage increases

Up from 15% in 2023 (KC Fed survey)

-129,000 jobs since May 2025

National financial activities job losses

Concentrated in insurance carriers (-90,000)

This Month's Takeaways

01

Nonmetro unemployment now outpaces both state and national rates.

All 77 Oklahoma counties posted year-over-year unemployment increases through June 2026, with county-level softening exceeding the statewide 4.3% and national 4.1% rates. This supports a low-hire, low-fire posture for finance roles outside OKC and Tulsa — budget planning should assume slower backfill timelines, not urgency.

02

Financial Analyst pay is diverging sharply from the rest of finance.

Local Financial Analyst advertised pay rose significantly to $81,004 even as Credit Analyst ($56,047) and FP&A Manager ($95,669) pay both declined significantly. Consider this a signal that analytical and forecasting skill sets are being bid up locally while credit and planning functions face softer demand.

03

Wage-increase intentions are retreating statewide, not just locally.

Kansas City Fed survey data shows over a third of Oklahoma firms do not intend to raise wages heading into 2026, up from 15% in 2023. This is consistent with national wage deceleration (0.13% monthly earnings growth in September) and should temper assumptions built into FY2027 merit budgets.

04

Energy sector stability offers a partial counterweight to cooling.

Rig count held at 51 with WTI near $83.90 in August, providing some income stability in nonmetro counties tied to energy activity. Finance functions supporting energy-adjacent operations may see less labor softening than the broader nonmetro trend implies.

Nonmetropolitan Oklahoma counties show unemployment rates running above both state (4.3%) and national (4.1%) levels, with all 77 counties posting year-over-year increases as of June 2026 — consistent with a gradual statewide cooling rather than a localized shock. Energy sector activity (WTI averaging $83.90, 51 active rigs) and modest Finance & Insurance sector growth (1.0% statewide) are providing some offsetting demand, but over a third of Oklahoma firms now report no plans to raise wages in 2026, signaling a low-hire, low-fire posture across rural labor markets.

Softening wage-increase intentions statewide, paired with county-level unemployment running above both state and national averages, suggest Finance leaders in nonmetro Oklahoma have more hiring leverage than peers in Oklahoma City or Tulsa — but advertised pay data tells a mixed story, with Financial Analyst pay up significantly locally ($81,004) while Credit Analyst and FP&A Manager pay have both fallen significantly, pointing to uneven, role-specific demand rather than broad-based market tightness. Tighter internal approval cycles reported by Oklahoma firms mean headcount requests likely face more scrutiny this budget cycle, even where market conditions favor the employer. Consider reviewing role-specific advertised pay trends before assuming uniform wage restraint applies across the finance function.

Advertised Pay Indicators

Role P25 Median P75 Local Trend National Nat. Trend
Controller $80,176 $106,231 $111,877 ↑ Moderate increase $113,754 ↑ Moderate increase
Senior Accountant $67,480 $74,923 $76,508 → Stable $87,731 → Stable
Financial Analyst $65,302 $81,004 $87,892 ↑ Significant increase $94,782 → Stable
Billing Specialist $32,424 $37,190 $41,600 ↑ Moderate increase $49,512 ↑ Moderate increase
Tax Specialist $29,914 $39,628 $40,727 ↑ Moderate increase $65,842 ↑ Significant increase
Credit Analyst $49,732 $56,047 $59,527 ↓ Significant decline $71,758 ↑ Moderate increase
FP&A Manager $75,516 $95,669 $101,120 ↓ Significant decline $128,139 → Stable

Looking Ahead · Next 30–60 Days

Worth watching

Continued claims in Oklahoma fell to 9,678 for the week ending September 5, down 208 week-over-week — watch whether this marks a genuine stabilization or a temporary dip ahead of Q4 hiring decisions.

Emerging pressure point

National financial activities employment has shed 129,000 jobs since May 2025, concentrated in insurance carriers. Watch whether this national contraction pushes displaced finance talent into Oklahoma's nonmetro candidate pool, easing sourcing for Controller and Senior Accountant roles.

Potential inflection point

National F&A leaders report a 2026 Talent Shortage Index of 77%, reversing a 2025 surplus — if this national tightening reaches nonmetro Oklahoma, Financial Analyst and Tax Specialist pay (already trending up locally) could accelerate further.

Expected

State Question 832's failure removes near-term minimum wage escalation risk from Q4 budget models, but watch county-level wage data for Dewey and similar high-wage energy counties as a bellwether for whether nonmetro pay floors drift upward regardless of policy.

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