{"schema_version": 1, "id": "ocean-city-nj-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 359, "label": "Ocean City, NJ MSA", "slug": "ocean-city-nj-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-09", "public_after": "2026-09-01", "frozen_at": "2026-10-09T13:41:37.969279+00:00", "headline": "Ocean City's off-season gap: county jobless rate outpaces metro by 1.3 points.", "headline_summary": "Cape May County unemployment sits at 5.5% against the Ocean City MSA's blended 4.2%, with CDL driver pay up to $89,160 even as delivery driver and home-health aide pay decline.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Ocean City MSA unemployment", "value": "4.2%", "context": "September 2026, BLS"}, {"label": "Cape May County unemployment", "value": "5.5%", "context": "vs 4.2% MSA, highest in NJ as of May 2026"}, {"label": "New Jersey statewide unemployment", "value": "5.2%", "context": "Highest since early 2022, up from 4.3% in August"}, {"label": "National wage vs. inflation gap", "value": "3.0% vs 3.4%", "context": "First sustained real-wage decline in two years"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Seasonal structure, not a downturn, explains the county-metro gap.", "body": "Cape May County's 5.5% unemployment against the MSA's 4.2% reflects the predictable off-season contraction in tourism and hospitality employment, a pattern this metro experiences annually rather than a new deterioration. Commerce leaders assessing investment timing should treat the gap as a seasonality marker, not a distress signal."}, {"headline": "CDL driver pay surges while delivery driver pay falls sharply.", "body": "Metro CDL truck driver pay rose significantly to $89,160, well above the $78,000 national median, while delivery driver pay fell significantly to $35,263. Divergent trajectories within the same broad logistics category may reflect freight and regional distribution demand outpacing last-mile delivery volume locally."}, {"headline": "Healthcare pay softness breaks from the national pattern.", "body": "Certified Nursing Assistant and Home Health Aide pay fell moderately in the metro to $45,240 even as national health care hiring remained a bright spot, adding 17,000 jobs in September per national data. Local softening in a sector that is strengthening nationally is consistent with a smaller, less elastic home-health labor pool rather than reduced demand."}, {"headline": "Teacher and public-sector pay signals point to local institutional stability.", "body": "Elementary/secondary teacher pay rose significantly to $63,354 locally against $56,731 nationally, tracking New Jersey's broader pattern of adding 5,300 public-sector jobs statewide in September. Public-sector wage strength offers a steadier anchor for the local economy than the more volatile tourism-linked private sector."}], "local_conditions": "Ocean City MSA unemployment held at 4.2% in September with nonfarm payrolls adding roughly 29,000 positions, a figure consistent with the metro's tourism-driven seasonal wind-down rather than new broad-based momentum. Cape May County continues to carry the state's highest county unemployment rate at 5.5%, underscoring a structural gap between the shoulder-season labor market and the summer peak that drives most of the metro's annual hiring activity.", "implications": "Divergence between the metro's 4.2% rate and the county's 5.5% suggests local economic health depends heavily on how well the area converts seasonal tourism employment into year-round positions, a question that matters more to commerce leaders evaluating expansion timing than to any single payroll decision. Softening in food service and home health advertised pay locally (both down against stable national trends) points to a shoulder-season demand pullback rather than a structural shift, so economic development planning should weight the county's off-peak baseline, not peak-season figures, when assessing investment readiness. Consider evaluating local business climate projections against Cape May County's off-season unemployment trend rather than the blended MSA figure, which can mask seasonal softness.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Expected", "body": "Cape May County's unemployment rate typically climbs through the fourth quarter as seasonal tourism positions wind down; watch whether the gap against the MSA aggregate widens beyond last year's pattern, which would suggest a sharper-than-usual seasonal contraction."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "New Jersey's statewide unemployment rose to 5.2% in September, its highest since early 2022, with losses concentrated in professional and business services. A Cape May/Ocean City metro reading above that benchmark in coming months would mark a meaningful divergence worth flagging for regional economic development planning."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "National WARN filings remain active (3,562 notices, 313,234 workers as of late September) with Bristol Myers Squibb among recent New Jersey filers. Monitor whether any regional employer announcements surface locally as colder months reduce tourism-sector absorption capacity."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "National wage growth has slipped to 3.0% annually against 3.4% inflation, the first sustained real-wage decline in two years. If that gap persists into the metro's off-season, local consumer spending that funds shoulder-season retail and hospitality may soften further."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33218.0, "metro_p50": 35193.0, "metro_p75": 38072.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33325.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32612.0, "metro_p50": 34320.0, "metro_p75": 35797.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 31200.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 35360.0, "metro_p50": 36192.0, "metro_p75": 38480.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 38000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 69081.5, "metro_p50": 89160.0, "metro_p75": 117000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 78000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33685.0, "metro_p50": 35263.0, "metro_p75": 36695.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 34344.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 37440.0, "metro_p50": 43680.0, "metro_p75": 48197.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 40560.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 65693.0, "metro_p50": 75494.2, "metro_p75": 75828.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 71404.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 35360.0, "metro_p50": 41315.4, "metro_p75": 46322.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 34840.0, "metro_p50": 38480.0, "metro_p75": 42373.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 34060.0, "metro_p50": 36400.0, "metro_p75": 41600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 33756.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 38017.0, "metro_p50": 45240.0, "metro_p75": 47840.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 41106.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 39012.5, "metro_p50": 41600.0, "metro_p75": 45692.5, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 43680.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 72800.0, "metro_p50": 72800.0, "metro_p75": 76700.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 70720.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 84950.5, "metro_p50": 99809.0, "metro_p75": 110379.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 102581.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 127433.0, "metro_p50": 166382.0, "metro_p75": 183500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 153652.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 102460.0, "metro_p50": 136070.0, "metro_p75": 158000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 139500.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 64581.0, "metro_p50": 79962.2, "metro_p75": 90000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 72182.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 77384.0, "metro_p50": 99413.0, "metro_p75": 106850.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94782.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 62400.0, "metro_p50": 78297.0, "metro_p75": 87500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 50000.0, "metro_p50": 67990.8, "metro_p75": 79765.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 62354.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 70000.0, "metro_p50": 95263.4, "metro_p75": 119514.75, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 85216.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 41641.0, "metro_p50": 63353.6, "metro_p75": 65306.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 56731.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 69680.0, "metro_p50": 100000.0, "metro_p75": 120000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 92749.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 59579.5, "metro_p50": 90000.0, "metro_p75": 95580.25, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 122371.0, "metro_p50": 122371.0, "metro_p75": 122625.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 98279.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 61591.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 43680.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 36005.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 40240.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 122371.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 52104.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 50000.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 63000.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 37440.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 69953.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "October 2026", "files": {"html": "ocean-city-nj-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "pdf": "ocean-city-nj-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf", "sources_html": "ocean-city-nj-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-10-09T14:34:09.085344+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/ocean-city-nj-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/ocean-city-nj-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf"}