{"schema_version": 1, "id": "nv-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-10", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 351, "label": "NV NONMETROPOLITAN AREA", "slug": "nv-nonmetropolitan-area"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T07:58:37.970198+00:00", "headline": "Rural Nevada's unemployment map hides a county-by-county divide.", "headline_summary": "Humboldt County's 2.8% unemployment contrasts sharply with Mineral County's 7.0%, even as statewide manufacturing hiring activity builds in Fernley and Fallon and Nevada's overall rate hits a pandemic-era low of 4.7%.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Humboldt County unemployment", "value": "2.8%", "context": "vs 7.0% Mineral County, same reporting period"}, {"label": "Nevada statewide unemployment", "value": "4.7%", "context": "Lowest since before pandemic, per Sept. 2026 data"}, {"label": "Nevada labor force participation", "value": "62.3%", "context": "Down from prior month after 5,343-person labor force drop"}, {"label": "Construction Laborer advertised pay", "value": "$44,720", "context": "Up significantly, vs $40,727 national median"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "County-level unemployment spread is the real story behind the state average.", "body": "Humboldt County's 2.8% rate sits more than four points below Mineral County's 7.0%, a gap that state-level headlines of 4.7% unemployment obscure entirely. Economic development decisions calibrated to statewide figures risk missing acute labor availability constraints in specific counties."}, {"headline": "Manufacturing hiring activity is concentrating in Fernley and Fallon corridors.", "body": "Agru, Rice Lake Weighing Systems and Securitas hiring events in these towns, alongside Tesla's Carson City recruitment push, suggest advanced manufacturing is finding footholds beyond the Reno-Las Vegas axis. Advertised pay for manufacturing production roles is up moderately statewide, reinforcing that this is a durable wage signal that extends beyond a one-off hiring event."}, {"headline": "Labor force participation decline complicates the low-unemployment narrative.", "body": "Nevada's labor force shrank by 5,343 in a single month with participation falling to 62.3%, a pattern that can lower unemployment rates without reflecting economic strength. For nonmetropolitan counties already facing housing access and workforce availability challenges, this suggests part of any local unemployment improvement may reflect workforce withdrawal alongside, or in place of, new job creation."}, {"headline": "Rural wage compression tracks the state's broader real-wage erosion story.", "body": "Nevada's average weekly wage rose 2.4% year-over-year even as total compensation fell nearly 12%, a divergence that squeezes household spending power in rural communities already navigating thinner retail and service infrastructure. Commerce leaders assessing local consumer demand should weigh this compensation gap alongside headline job growth figures."}], "local_conditions": "Rural Nevada's county-level data shows unemployment ranging from a low 2.8% in Humboldt County to 7.0% in Mineral County, a spread that reflects how concentrated single-industry economies \u2014 mining, casino operations, manufacturing \u2014 expose nonmetropolitan areas to localized shocks even as the state posts a 15-year-low 4.7% rate. Manufacturing recruitment activity in Fernley and Fallon (Agru, Rice Lake Weighing Systems) alongside Tesla's Carson City hiring events points to advanced manufacturing extending its footprint beyond Las Vegas and Reno, a trend state economists tie to construction and business-services growth statewide.", "implications": "Wide unemployment variation across nonmetropolitan counties shows how uneven the local business climate is from county to county \u2014 a county posting 2.8% unemployment faces a tighter available workforce than one at 7.0%, with direct implications for expansion planning and public investment targeting. Manufacturing hiring events clustering in Fernley and Fallon, paired with statewide wage data showing Construction Laborer pay up significantly to $44,720 and Manufacturing Production Worker pay up moderately to $39,520, is consistent with industrial activity building durable momentum in these corridors. Commerce leaders and economic development officials should consider evaluating county-level labor force and wage trends separately from statewide averages before making local investment or site-selection cases.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Worth watching", "body": "September's county-level unemployment data remains the most recent available; October figures due in coming weeks will show whether Mineral County's elevated 7.0% rate persists or whether seasonal mining and tourism patterns shift the picture."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Two Elko-area casinos face potential closure by November 30, affecting 239 jobs in a county that currently posts Nevada's lowest nonmetropolitan unemployment rate. Watch whether displaced workers are absorbed locally or add measurable slack to Elko County's labor market."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "Continued manufacturing hiring events in Fernley and Fallon, following Agru and Rice Lake Weighing Systems activity, will signal whether industrial expansion in these corridors is building toward sustained payroll growth or remains episodic."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Statewide labor force participation decline to 62.3% bears watching at the county level \u2014 if nonmetropolitan counties show similar or steeper withdrawal, it would reinforce housing access and workforce availability as binding constraints on rural economic expansion."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 27375.75, "metro_p50": 33025.0, "metro_p75": 36050.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33340.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 25752.25, "metro_p50": 30160.0, "metro_p75": 33280.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 31268.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33248.0, "metro_p50": 40560.0, "metro_p75": 43042.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 38480.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 66913.0, "metro_p50": 85000.0, "metro_p75": 93439.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 78872.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29950.0, "metro_p50": 33585.0, "metro_p75": 36400.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 34826.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 35229.0, "metro_p50": 44720.0, "metro_p75": 48880.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 40726.6, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 56125.0, "metro_p50": 72933.0, "metro_p75": 80296.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 71835.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 34332.0, "metro_p50": 39520.0, "metro_p75": 43243.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33848.0, "metro_p50": 38925.0, "metro_p75": 41769.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 28612.0, "metro_p50": 31720.0, "metro_p75": 35360.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33764.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 38480.0, "metro_p50": 47840.0, "metro_p75": 49793.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 41600.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32064.0, "metro_p50": 43183.2, "metro_p75": 48348.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 44552.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 60321.5, "metro_p50": 81120.0, "metro_p75": 81120.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 71406.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 84824.25, "metro_p50": 104259.6, "metro_p75": 113500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 102252.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 120693.0, "metro_p50": 155000.0, "metro_p75": 173196.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 154403.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 99179.0, "metro_p50": 143683.0, "metro_p75": 159248.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 138000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 58917.75, "metro_p50": 69462.0, "metro_p75": 77686.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 72000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 72500.0, "metro_p50": 96516.0, "metro_p75": 102842.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94646.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 53044.25, "metro_p50": 79744.2, "metro_p75": 83912.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 74477.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 43366.0, "metro_p50": 58039.4, "metro_p75": 70614.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 62916.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 65570.0, "metro_p50": 83298.4, "metro_p75": 102462.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 86294.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 50061.25, "metro_p50": 62351.4, "metro_p75": 67451.25, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 55908.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 63563.5, "metro_p50": 97912.0, "metro_p75": 122085.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 94009.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 53142.0, "metro_p50": 75000.0, "metro_p75": 83334.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 82840.0, "metro_p50": 98159.6, "metro_p75": 110528.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 98302.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 85500.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 110749.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 50232.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 62743.5, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 130543.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 102380.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 90650.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 70074.5, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 38480.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 71843.5, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [{"source_name": "Nevada DETR", "source_url": null, "statement": "County unemployment range: Humboldt 2.8%, Mineral 7.0%"}, {"source_name": "Nevada DETR EmployNV", "source_url": null, "statement": "Manufacturing hiring events in Fernley and Fallon (Agru, Rice Lake)"}, {"source_name": "KSNV", "source_url": null, "statement": "Nevada statewide unemployment at 4.7%, lowest since before pandemic"}, {"source_name": "Nevada DETR", "source_url": null, "statement": "Labor force decreased 5,343 in one month, participation fell to 62.3%"}, {"source_name": "KSNV / Nevada DETR", "source_url": null, "statement": "Nevada average weekly wage up 2.4% while total compensation down ~12%"}, {"source_name": "Nevada DETR WARN tracker", "source_url": null, "statement": "Two Elko casinos may close Nov. 30, affecting 239 jobs"}], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "nv-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "pdf": "nv-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf", "sources_html": "nv-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-10.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:27:19.327232+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/nv-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/nv-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf"}