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Metro Job Market Pulse

Niles-Benton Harbor, MI MSA Edition

Niles unemployment looks stable — but fewer residents are working.

4.3%

Berrien County unemployment rate

vs 4.5% in August, 4.2% MSA-wide

-7.6%

Labor force change, year-over-year

71,500 in labor force, down from prior year

5.0%

Michigan unemployment rate

0.9 pts above national 4.1% rate

$35,867 (down, moderate)

Manufacturing production worker pay

vs national $39,520, stable

This Month's Takeaways

01

Falling unemployment, falling labor force — same story, less reassuring.

Berrien County's labor force dropped 7.6% year-over-year while unemployment held near 4.2-4.3%, meaning the stable rate reflects fewer residents in the workforce rather than robust job creation. Economic development and workforce planning conversations should weight participation trends as heavily as the unemployment headline.

02

Manufacturing softness here tracks the state, not the nation.

Metro manufacturing production worker pay fell moderately even as the national figure held stable, consistent with Michigan's statewide manufacturing contraction (-2,000 jobs in August) outpacing the modest national manufacturing job gains reported for September. A metro built on a 13,000-plus manufacturing base remains more exposed to this divergence than peer metros with lighter industrial concentration.

03

Healthcare and skilled trades are the metro's quiet bright spot.

Registered nurse, CNA, electrician, and HVAC advertised pay all rose this month, mirroring the national pattern of healthcare and hands-on trades outpacing white-collar and administrative roles. This is consistent with non-cyclical sector growth projected statewide (+19,500 jobs in 2026) offsetting cyclical losses in manufacturing and construction.

04

Administrative and financial-role pay declines may flag office-sector contraction.

Administrative assistant pay fell significantly locally while rising nationally, and accountant and financial analyst pay also declined — a local divergence from national softness-but-not-decline in these roles. Commerce leaders assessing office-based business investment locally should treat this as a signal worth tracking, not yet a confirmed trend.

Niles-Benton Harbor's unemployment rate held at 4.2% in September, near a year-long low, even as the MSA's labor force contracted 7.6% year-over-year and employed residents fell 5,500 — a pattern consistent with workers leaving the labor force rather than losing jobs outright. Manufacturing, the metro's largest sector at roughly 13,400 workers, continues to soften in line with statewide losses, while advertised pay for production workers fell moderately, suggesting demand cooling faster locally than the stable national manufacturing wage trend would imply.

Shrinking labor force participation alongside a steady unemployment rate complicates any straightforward reading of local economic health — a low jobless rate here reflects fewer people counted as seeking work, not necessarily a tight, thriving labor market, which matters for how commerce leaders pitch workforce availability to prospective employers or investors. Divergence between rising advertised pay in healthcare and skilled trades (CNAs up, HVAC and electricians up) and falling pay in manufacturing, administrative, and logistics roles points to a metro economy bifurcating along the same white-collar/blue-collar lines seen nationally. Current conditions suggest economic development messaging should distinguish between sector-specific strength and metro-wide participation trends rather than citing the headline unemployment rate alone.

Advertised Pay Indicators · WageScape Benchmark 25 Jobs

Job postings data for the Niles-Benton Harbor, MI MSA metro — median advertised pay, its recent trend, and the number of active postings behind each figure. Jobs are grouped for readability and are not the same as the 10 sector classifications on the next page. For additional job detail contact WageScape.

Median Pay Pay Trend Postings

Retail Trade

Retail Sales Associate $27,919 → Stable 689
Retail Cashier $29,696 ↓ Moderate decline 420

Transportation & Warehousing

Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate $34,564 → Stable 110
CDL Truck Driver $75,400 ↓ Moderate decline 1,346
Delivery Driver $33,446 → Stable 712
Warehouse Manager — Limited local postings —

Construction

Construction Laborer $37,960 ↓ Moderate decline 56

Construction/Skilled Trades

Electrician $69,285 ↑ Moderate increase 104
HVAC Technician $65,520 ↑ Moderate increase 1,725

Manufacturing

Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler $35,867 ↓ Moderate decline 163

Cross-Sector

Customer Service Representative $41,600 → Stable 76
Operations Manager — Limited local postings —

Leisure & Hospitality

Food Service Worker $31,249 ↓ Moderate decline 47

Healthcare

Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide $39,661 ↑ Moderate increase 334
Registered Nurse $94,604 ↑ Moderate increase 757

Admin/Office Support

Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk $36,804 ↓ Significant decline 153

Information/Technology

Software Engineer $128,717 ↑ Significant increase 25
Data Engineer $139,608 ↑ Moderate increase 11,831

Professional & Business Services

Accountant $67,500 ↓ Moderate decline 63
HR Generalist/Manager $62,363 → Stable 26
Marketing Specialist $58,389 → Stable 3,007
Business Analyst $89,025 → Stable 10

Finance & Insurance

Financial Analyst $84,431 ↓ Moderate decline 17

Government/Education

Elementary/Secondary School Teacher $55,040 ↑ Moderate increase 1,039

Cross-Sector Sales

Account Manager $81,801 ↑ Significant increase 100

Industry Snapshot · Niles-Benton Harbor, MI MSA

Advertised pay and job-posting trends across the whole metro economy, rolled up by employer industry — not just the bellwether roles above.

Sector Median Pay Change Job Postings Change
Construction ↓ −8.0% ↑ +134.1%
Manufacturing ↓ −3.4% ↑ +137.0%
Retail Trade → −1.3% ↑ +77.4%
Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities ↓ −32.1% ↑ +294.1%
Information ↑ +8.0% ↑ +980.0%
Financial Activities ↑ +34.8% ↑ +254.1%
Professional & Business Services ↑ +7.4% ↑ +182.5%
Education & Health Services ↓ −22.4% ↑ +116.6%
Leisure & Hospitality → +1.3% ↑ +119.8%
Government ↑ +86.3% ↑ +1262.1%

Looking Ahead · Next 30–60 Days

Early indicator

Watch whether Berrien County's labor force continues contracting into Q4; a third consecutive month of decline would reinforce a structural participation story rather than a one-month anomaly.

Worth watching

Michigan's minimum wage rises to $15.00 on January 1, 2027 — retail, food service, and hospitality employers locally will begin adjusting pay structures in the final months of 2026, a dynamic worth tracking for consumer-facing sector cost pressure.

Emerging pressure point

Statewide manufacturing WARN activity (33 notices, 3,720 workers in 2026) has not yet produced a major Niles-area filing, but the metro's manufacturing concentration makes it a plausible candidate if the statewide trend continues.

Potential inflection point

National job postings data turned positive year-over-year for the first time in nearly four years; whether that national inflection reaches a manufacturing-heavy, participation-declining metro like Niles-Benton Harbor is an open and consequential question for local business investment decisions.

Sources & Methodology

Pay and hiring data provided by WageScape. See every source cited in this report, with links →

Advertised pay reflects the pay ranges employers publish in active job postings in this metro, not survey or payroll data. Pay trends compare the current period with the prior period for the same metro and role. Sector figures group postings by the employer's industry classification; sectors with limited classified postings are marked as such rather than estimated. This briefing is independent of, and complements, official statistics from the BLS and state labor market information offices.

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