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4.3%
Berrien County unemployment rate
vs 4.5% in August, 4.2% MSA-wide
-7.6%
Labor force change, year-over-year
71,500 in labor force, down from prior year
5.0%
Michigan unemployment rate
0.9 pts above national 4.1% rate
$35,867 (down, moderate)
Manufacturing production worker pay
vs national $39,520, stable
This Month's Takeaways
Berrien County's labor force dropped 7.6% year-over-year while unemployment held near 4.2-4.3%, meaning the stable rate reflects fewer residents in the workforce rather than robust job creation. Economic development and workforce planning conversations should weight participation trends as heavily as the unemployment headline.
Metro manufacturing production worker pay fell moderately even as the national figure held stable, consistent with Michigan's statewide manufacturing contraction (-2,000 jobs in August) outpacing the modest national manufacturing job gains reported for September. A metro built on a 13,000-plus manufacturing base remains more exposed to this divergence than peer metros with lighter industrial concentration.
Registered nurse, CNA, electrician, and HVAC advertised pay all rose this month, mirroring the national pattern of healthcare and hands-on trades outpacing white-collar and administrative roles. This is consistent with non-cyclical sector growth projected statewide (+19,500 jobs in 2026) offsetting cyclical losses in manufacturing and construction.
Administrative assistant pay fell significantly locally while rising nationally, and accountant and financial analyst pay also declined — a local divergence from national softness-but-not-decline in these roles. Commerce leaders assessing office-based business investment locally should treat this as a signal worth tracking, not yet a confirmed trend.
Local Economic Conditions
Niles-Benton Harbor's unemployment rate held at 4.2% in September, near a year-long low, even as the MSA's labor force contracted 7.6% year-over-year and employed residents fell 5,500 — a pattern consistent with workers leaving the labor force rather than losing jobs outright. Manufacturing, the metro's largest sector at roughly 13,400 workers, continues to soften in line with statewide losses, while advertised pay for production workers fell moderately, suggesting demand cooling faster locally than the stable national manufacturing wage trend would imply.
Open Threads in the Data
Shrinking labor force participation alongside a steady unemployment rate complicates any straightforward reading of local economic health — a low jobless rate here reflects fewer people counted as seeking work, not necessarily a tight, thriving labor market, which matters for how commerce leaders pitch workforce availability to prospective employers or investors. Divergence between rising advertised pay in healthcare and skilled trades (CNAs up, HVAC and electricians up) and falling pay in manufacturing, administrative, and logistics roles points to a metro economy bifurcating along the same white-collar/blue-collar lines seen nationally. Current conditions suggest economic development messaging should distinguish between sector-specific strength and metro-wide participation trends rather than citing the headline unemployment rate alone.
Advertised Pay Indicators · WageScape Benchmark 25 Jobs
Job postings data for the Niles-Benton Harbor, MI MSA metro — median advertised pay, its recent trend, and the number of active postings behind each figure. Jobs are grouped for readability and are not the same as the 10 sector classifications on the next page. For additional job detail contact WageScape.
| Median Pay | Pay Trend | Postings |
|---|
Retail Trade
| Retail Sales Associate | $27,919 | → Stable | 689 |
| Retail Cashier | $29,696 | ↓ Moderate decline | 420 |
Transportation & Warehousing
| Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate | $34,564 | → Stable | 110 |
| CDL Truck Driver | $75,400 | ↓ Moderate decline | 1,346 |
| Delivery Driver | $33,446 | → Stable | 712 |
| Warehouse Manager | — | Limited local postings | — |
Construction
| Construction Laborer | $37,960 | ↓ Moderate decline | 56 |
Construction/Skilled Trades
| Electrician | $69,285 | ↑ Moderate increase | 104 |
| HVAC Technician | $65,520 | ↑ Moderate increase | 1,725 |
Manufacturing
| Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler | $35,867 | ↓ Moderate decline | 163 |
Cross-Sector
| Customer Service Representative | $41,600 | → Stable | 76 |
| Operations Manager | — | Limited local postings | — |
Leisure & Hospitality
| Food Service Worker | $31,249 | ↓ Moderate decline | 47 |
Healthcare
| Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide | $39,661 | ↑ Moderate increase | 334 |
| Registered Nurse | $94,604 | ↑ Moderate increase | 757 |
Admin/Office Support
| Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk | $36,804 | ↓ Significant decline | 153 |
Information/Technology
| Software Engineer | $128,717 | ↑ Significant increase | 25 |
| Data Engineer | $139,608 | ↑ Moderate increase | 11,831 |
Professional & Business Services
| Accountant | $67,500 | ↓ Moderate decline | 63 |
| HR Generalist/Manager | $62,363 | → Stable | 26 |
| Marketing Specialist | $58,389 | → Stable | 3,007 |
| Business Analyst | $89,025 | → Stable | 10 |
Finance & Insurance
| Financial Analyst | $84,431 | ↓ Moderate decline | 17 |
Government/Education
| Elementary/Secondary School Teacher | $55,040 | ↑ Moderate increase | 1,039 |
Cross-Sector Sales
| Account Manager | $81,801 | ↑ Significant increase | 100 |
Industry Snapshot · Niles-Benton Harbor, MI MSA
Advertised pay and job-posting trends across the whole metro economy, rolled up by employer industry — not just the bellwether roles above.
| Sector | Median Pay Change | Job Postings Change |
|---|---|---|
| Construction | ↓ −8.0% | ↑ +134.1% |
| Manufacturing | ↓ −3.4% | ↑ +137.0% |
| Retail Trade | → −1.3% | ↑ +77.4% |
| Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities | ↓ −32.1% | ↑ +294.1% |
| Information | ↑ +8.0% | ↑ +980.0% |
| Financial Activities | ↑ +34.8% | ↑ +254.1% |
| Professional & Business Services | ↑ +7.4% | ↑ +182.5% |
| Education & Health Services | ↓ −22.4% | ↑ +116.6% |
| Leisure & Hospitality | → +1.3% | ↑ +119.8% |
| Government | ↑ +86.3% | ↑ +1262.1% |
Looking Ahead · Next 30–60 Days
Early indicator
Watch whether Berrien County's labor force continues contracting into Q4; a third consecutive month of decline would reinforce a structural participation story rather than a one-month anomaly.
Worth watching
Michigan's minimum wage rises to $15.00 on January 1, 2027 — retail, food service, and hospitality employers locally will begin adjusting pay structures in the final months of 2026, a dynamic worth tracking for consumer-facing sector cost pressure.
Emerging pressure point
Statewide manufacturing WARN activity (33 notices, 3,720 workers in 2026) has not yet produced a major Niles-area filing, but the metro's manufacturing concentration makes it a plausible candidate if the statewide trend continues.
Potential inflection point
National job postings data turned positive year-over-year for the first time in nearly four years; whether that national inflection reaches a manufacturing-heavy, participation-declining metro like Niles-Benton Harbor is an open and consequential question for local business investment decisions.
Sources & Methodology
Pay and hiring data provided by WageScape. See every source cited in this report, with links →
Advertised pay reflects the pay ranges employers publish in active job postings in this metro, not survey or payroll data. Pay trends compare the current period with the prior period for the same metro and role. Sector figures group postings by the employer's industry classification; sectors with limited classified postings are marked as such rather than estimated. This briefing is independent of, and complements, official statistics from the BLS and state labor market information offices.
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