{"schema_version": 1, "id": "ms-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-10", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 267, "label": "MS NONMETROPOLITAN AREA", "slug": "ms-nonmetropolitan-area"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T07:51:05.504942+00:00", "headline": "Nonmetro Mississippi's workforce is shrinking faster than it's cooling.", "headline_summary": "Unemployment eased to 3.3% in nonmetro Mississippi, but labor force participation fell to 54.3% from 55.8% a year ago, even as CDL driver pay climbed to $80,966.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Mississippi unemployment rate", "value": "3.3%", "context": "Sept 2026, down from 3.4% in Aug, lowest since July 2024"}, {"label": "Labor force participation", "value": "54.3%", "context": "Down from 55.8% a year earlier; 2nd-lowest in U.S."}, {"label": "CDL Truck Driver advertised pay", "value": "$80,966", "context": "Metro median, up moderately, above $78,872 national"}, {"label": "State WARN notices in 2026", "value": "1,804 workers", "context": "12 filings, manufacturing led with 8 notices"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Low unemployment masks a shrinking workforce base.", "body": "Nonmetro Mississippi's 3.3% unemployment rate looks favorable, but labor force participation sliding to 54.3% from 55.8% a year ago means fewer residents are in the labor market at all. Economic development messaging built solely on unemployment risks overstating available workforce capacity for prospective employers."}, {"headline": "Logistics and skilled trades carry this month's wage signal.", "body": "CDL truck driver pay rose moderately to a metro median of $80,966, above the national figure, while electrician pay climbed significantly to $66,440. These gains suggest freight, construction, and infrastructure-linked activity remain the areas of real wage momentum even as the broader market stays flat."}, {"headline": "Professional and technical pay is softening locally.", "body": "Software engineer, data engineer, business analyst, and operations manager advertised pay all declined moderately to significantly this month, widening the gap against national medians. That divergence is consistent with limited white-collar hiring demand statewide and may shape how commerce leaders position the area for knowledge-sector recruitment."}, {"headline": "Retail and food-service pay softness tracks consumer-facing caution.", "body": "Retail sales associate, retail cashier, delivery driver, and food service worker pay all moved down this month, a pattern consistent with the state's broader 'no-hire, no-fire' holding pattern. For commerce leaders, this points to constrained consumer-facing wage growth rather than retail sector contraction outright."}], "local_conditions": "Mississippi's nonmetropolitan labor market is holding in a flat pattern this month, with statewide unemployment easing to 3.3% in September even as labor force participation fell to 54.3%, down from 55.8% a year earlier. Advertised pay across the nonmetro basket shows warehouse/fulfillment and CDL truck driver roles moving up moderately while white-collar and retail-adjacent postings (software engineer, data engineer, operations manager, retail sales associate) trend down, consistent with a broader state picture of flat nonfarm employment and a widening gap between wage-sensitive and participation-sensitive sectors.", "implications": "Falling labor force participation alongside stable unemployment signals a shrinking available workforce rather than cooling demand, a distinction that matters more for commerce investment decisions than the headline jobless rate suggests. Advertised pay gains in logistics and skilled trades (CDL drivers up moderately, electricians up significantly) point to where local wage pressure is concentrating even as professional-services pay softens, a divergence that economic development planners and chambers should factor into any pitch about workforce depth. Current conditions suggest reviewing labor force participation trends alongside unemployment data when assessing whether the area's workforce can support new investment commitments.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Expected data release", "body": "MDES publishes October 2026 state and county data November 24, with BLS metro-area figures following December 2. These releases will clarify whether September's participation decline deepened or stabilized."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Manufacturing accounted for 8 of Mississippi's 12 WARN notices this year; watch whether nonmetro counties see similar filings as national manufacturing WARN activity (Intel, Fender) continues at elevated levels."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Mississippi Development Authority leadership turnover, following Bill Cork's departure after a $65 billion investment run (mostly data centers), could shape how aggressively the state pursues new nonmetro-area projects in the near term."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "University Research Center forecasts a 0.1% average annual employment decline statewide through 2030. Commerce and economic development leaders should watch whether nonmetro counties diverge from or track that trajectory as early 2027 data emerges."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 19238.0, "metro_p50": 22954.0, "metro_p75": 26000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 33340.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 21466.0, "metro_p50": 23112.0, "metro_p75": 24734.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 31268.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 26634.0, "metro_p50": 32240.0, "metro_p75": 35347.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 38480.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 59593.5, "metro_p50": 80966.0, "metro_p75": 90500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 78872.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 24628.0, "metro_p50": 27513.0, "metro_p75": 29472.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 34826.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 27956.0, "metro_p50": 31978.0, "metro_p75": 34958.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 40726.6, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 53139.0, "metro_p50": 66440.4, "metro_p75": 71390.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 71835.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30955.0, "metro_p50": 32358.0, "metro_p75": 33475.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 27890.0, "metro_p50": 33280.0, "metro_p75": 36081.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 23944.0, "metro_p50": 25888.0, "metro_p75": 26513.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33764.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 28016.0, "metro_p50": 31460.0, "metro_p75": 33462.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 41600.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 27775.0, "metro_p50": 36063.0, "metro_p75": 39117.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 44552.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 49258.0, "metro_p50": 54141.0, "metro_p75": 57775.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 71406.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 70994.0, "metro_p50": 85767.4, "metro_p75": 97128.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 102252.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 92993.5, "metro_p50": 121898.0, "metro_p75": 133846.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 154403.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 81370.0, "metro_p50": 94935.0, "metro_p75": 123119.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 138000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 49866.0, "metro_p50": 56429.0, "metro_p75": 67228.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 72000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 61711.0, "metro_p50": 74146.0, "metro_p75": 84385.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 94646.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 45592.0, "metro_p50": 61404.4, "metro_p75": 67500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 74477.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 43718.0, "metro_p50": 55000.0, "metro_p75": 75184.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 62916.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 68896.0, "metro_p50": 68896.0, "metro_p75": 68896.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 86294.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 26192.0, "metro_p50": 50156.0, "metro_p75": 57285.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 55908.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 40000.0, "metro_p50": 60000.0, "metro_p75": 76584.25, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 94009.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 50276.0, "metro_p50": 50276.0, "metro_p75": 50276.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 77223.0, "metro_p50": 80275.6, "metro_p75": 84719.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 98302.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 63312.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 69609.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 32649.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 58000.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 83511.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 58953.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 49292.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 52000.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 28325.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 63387.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [{"source_name": "Mississippi Department of Employment Security / Mississippi Today", "source_url": null, "statement": "Mississippi unemployment fell to 3.3% in September 2026"}, {"source_name": "Mississippi Department of Employment Security", "source_url": null, "statement": "Labor force participation fell to 54.3% from 55.8% year-over-year"}, {"source_name": "Mississippi WARN Act Tracker", "source_url": null, "statement": "12 WARN notices filed in 2026 affecting 1,804 workers, manufacturing-led"}, {"source_name": "University Research Center (Mississippi)", "source_url": null, "statement": "University Research Center forecasts 0.1% average annual employment decline 2026-2030"}, {"source_name": "Mississippi Development Authority / Governor's Office", "source_url": null, "statement": "MDA Director Bill Cork's departure after $65 billion in investments during tenure"}, {"source_name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics / MDES", "source_url": null, "statement": "October 2026 state/metro data release schedule (MDES Nov 24, BLS Dec 2)"}], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "ms-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "pdf": "ms-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf", "sources_html": "ms-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-10.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:26:38.316297+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/ms-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/ms-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf"}