{"schema_version": 1, "id": "montgomery-al-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 265, "label": "Montgomery, AL MSA", "slug": "montgomery-al-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-09", "public_after": "2026-09-01", "frozen_at": "2026-10-09T13:41:16.595602+00:00", "headline": "Montgomery unemployment outpaces Alabama as sectors split.", "headline_summary": "Montgomery metro unemployment reached 4.0% in August \u2014 a full point above Alabama's 3.4% statewide rate \u2014 even as registered nurse pay rose sharply to $91,978 and warehouse management pay fell.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Montgomery MSA unemployment", "value": "4.0%", "context": "vs 3.4% Alabama statewide, Aug 2026"}, {"label": "Alabama prime-age participation", "value": "79.5%", "context": "Flat for 2nd straight month"}, {"label": "National wage growth vs inflation", "value": "3.0% vs 3.4%", "context": "Real wages declining, lowest since May 2021"}, {"label": "National payroll growth", "value": "29,000 jobs added", "context": "Sept 2026, below 45k 12-mo avg; prior months revised down 60k"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Montgomery's jobless rate is outrunning the state's trend.", "body": "At 4.0% in August against Alabama's 3.4%, the metro is diverging from the state's broader stability, a gap worth tracking rather than dismissing as noise. If the spread persists into October data, it would mark a genuine metro-specific softening rather than statewide drag."}, {"headline": "Healthcare and skilled trades are the metro's bright spots.", "body": "Registered nurse and HVAC technician advertised pay both posted significant local increases, echoing the national pattern of hands-on sector strength. This points to where labor demand remains durable even as broader hiring signals cool."}, {"headline": "Logistics and office-support pay is retreating locally.", "body": "Warehouse/fulfillment, warehouse management, and operations management roles all show moderate-to-significant local pay declines, a pattern distinct from stable national figures in those same categories. That metro-specific softness may reflect localized demand pullback in distribution and administrative functions rather than a national trend reaching Montgomery."}, {"headline": "Wage-vs-inflation math still favors workers least in middle-wage roles.", "body": "National wage growth has slipped to 3.0% against 3.4% inflation, eroding real purchasing power broadly, while several Montgomery occupations \u2014 retail cashier, food service, construction laborer \u2014 show local pay declines layered on top. For consumer-facing and retail sectors locally, that combination points to softer discretionary spending capacity among lower-wage households."}], "local_conditions": "Montgomery metro unemployment edged up to 4.0% in August 2026, running a full point above the state rate of 3.4% and signaling the metro is cooling faster than Alabama overall even as Montgomery County employment held near 98,339. Local wage momentum remains split by sector \u2014 healthcare and skilled trades (registered nurses up significantly to $91,978, HVAC technicians up to $61,299) are pulling ahead while logistics and administrative roles (warehouse management, operations management) are posting notable advertised-pay declines, consistent with the national divergence between hands-on and white-collar demand.", "implications": "Divergence between a softening headline unemployment rate and continued wage strength in healthcare and skilled trades suggests Montgomery's economy is not broadly contracting so much as reallocating \u2014 a distinction that matters for how commerce leaders read local demand signals and how government economists frame workforce participation policy. Commerce leaders weighing expansion or investment decisions should treat the metro's above-state unemployment reading as a caution flag worth tracking against the next two jobs reports rather than a single-month anomaly. Current conditions suggest monitoring whether Montgomery's gap with the statewide rate narrows or widens before drawing conclusions about the metro's standalone trajectory.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Worth watching", "body": "September Montgomery MSA unemployment data has not yet posted; whether the metro's 0.6-point gap over the state rate holds, narrows, or widens will clarify if August was a blip or a trend."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "National WARN filings remain below 2025's pace (163,273 vs. 261,814 affected workers year-to-date), and Alabama has logged only 25 notices statewide in 2026 with no new Montgomery-area filings reported this month \u2014 a sign the metro has so far avoided the manufacturing and logistics layoff concentration seen elsewhere in the state."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "National payroll growth has slowed sharply (29,000 added in September, with downward revisions to July and August), a deceleration that historically precedes softer regional job postings within one to two quarters. Montgomery's job-ad volume over the next two months will show whether the metro tracks that national slowdown."}, {"category": "Policy-relevant signal", "body": "Alabama's prime-age labor force participation has held flat at 79.5% for two straight months, suggesting the labor supply itself isn't expanding even as the employed count falls statewide. Government economists should watch whether Montgomery's participation follows this plateau or diverges, since flat participation combined with rising unemployment points to job loss rather than new entrants struggling to find work."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 22443.0, "metro_p50": 28389.8, "metro_p75": 32653.25, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33325.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 22880.0, "metro_p50": 25767.4, "metro_p75": 27586.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 31200.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29264.0, "metro_p50": 34195.0, "metro_p75": 38896.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 38000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 58108.0, "metro_p50": 78750.0, "metro_p75": 88400.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 78000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29120.0, "metro_p50": 32607.0, "metro_p75": 37743.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 34344.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32900.0, "metro_p50": 34865.0, "metro_p75": 34866.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 40560.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 54795.0, "metro_p50": 65488.0, "metro_p75": 72020.75, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 71404.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 28929.0, "metro_p50": 32497.2, "metro_p75": 37440.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30359.0, "metro_p50": 37440.0, "metro_p75": 40754.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 26488.0, "metro_p50": 28416.0, "metro_p75": 30264.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33756.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29120.0, "metro_p50": 35018.0, "metro_p75": 39191.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 41106.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29720.0, "metro_p50": 37212.0, "metro_p75": 41464.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 43680.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 52166.5, "metro_p50": 61299.0, "metro_p75": 68262.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 70720.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 77698.0, "metro_p50": 91978.0, "metro_p75": 99187.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 102581.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 100688.75, "metro_p50": 138750.2, "metro_p75": 155100.25, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 153652.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 98843.0, "metro_p50": 123760.4, "metro_p75": 140645.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 139500.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 54760.0, "metro_p50": 65122.0, "metro_p75": 71757.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 72182.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 73122.0, "metro_p50": 96836.2, "metro_p75": 114464.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 94782.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 59786.25, "metro_p50": 67961.4, "metro_p75": 77772.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 44758.0, "metro_p50": 75000.0, "metro_p75": 96000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 62354.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 55900.0, "metro_p50": 71778.6, "metro_p75": 78593.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 85216.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 41828.75, "metro_p50": 60562.0, "metro_p75": 68091.75, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 56731.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 62500.0, "metro_p50": 98826.0, "metro_p75": 121278.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 92749.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 49567.75, "metro_p50": 58928.0, "metro_p75": 82500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 74250.0, "metro_p50": 98462.0, "metro_p75": 104558.75, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 98279.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 58240.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 100489.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 42640.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 62400.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 137880.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 79908.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 78905.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 62445.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 29104.5, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 67868.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "October 2026", "files": {"html": "montgomery-al-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "pdf": "montgomery-al-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf", "sources_html": "montgomery-al-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-10-09T14:33:24.304059+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/montgomery-al-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/montgomery-al-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf"}