{"schema_version": 1, "id": "mobile-al-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 335, "label": "Mobile, AL MSA", "slug": "mobile-al-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T07:54:10.769811+00:00", "headline": "Mobile's labor market splits sharply from Baldwin County's.", "headline_summary": "Mobile County unemployment held at 4.3%-4.4% versus Baldwin County's 3.1% this fall, while statewide construction wages hit a record $1,432 weekly even as metro manufacturing pay fell sharply.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Mobile County unemployment", "value": "4.3%", "context": "vs 2.8% a year ago, Sept. 2026 prelim"}, {"label": "Baldwin County unemployment", "value": "3.1%", "context": "vs Mobile County's 4.4% in August"}, {"label": "Alabama prime-age labor force participation", "value": "79.5%", "context": "up from 78.4% a year earlier"}, {"label": "Alabama construction weekly wage", "value": "$1,432.21", "context": "state record, July 2026"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Mobile and Baldwin counties are telling different economic stories.", "body": "Mobile County's 4.4% unemployment rate sits 1.3 points above Baldwin County's 3.1%, the widest gap recorded this year. Development incentives or workforce messaging pitched at the metro level risk masking meaningful disparities commerce leaders and economic developers should track separately."}, {"headline": "Building-trades wages are outrunning manufacturing pay locally.", "body": "Construction laborer pay rose significantly and electrician and HVAC technician wages climbed moderately-to-significantly in the metro, while manufacturing production worker pay fell sharply. That divergence is consistent with sustained regional construction activity even as traditional manufacturing demand softens."}, {"headline": "Rising state unemployment reflects growth in labor supply.", "body": "Alabama's jobless rate climbed to 3.5% from 2.8% a year ago, yet prime-age labor force participation rose to 79.5% from 78.4%. That combination is consistent with more residents entering the workforce."}, {"headline": "Local wage growth is uneven enough to complicate a single cost-of-labor narrative.", "body": "Accountant and data engineer pay rose significantly in the metro while software engineer and operations manager pay fell moderately-to-significantly \u2014 a spread wider than the modest 2.4% national advertised-wage growth would suggest. Any metro-wide claim about cost pressure needs a sector-specific caveat."}], "local_conditions": "Mobile MSA unemployment eased slightly to 4.3% in September from August's 4.4%, but remains well above the 2.8% level the metro posted a year earlier, and continues to run above both the state rate of 3.5% and a two-tier split with Baldwin County's tighter 3.1%. Statewide, Alabama's prime-age labor force participation climbed to 79.5% even as unemployment rose, a pattern consistent with workers entering the labor pool, while construction and manufacturing wages reached record highs across the state.", "implications": "Mobile County's elevated unemployment paired with Baldwin County's tighter labor conditions points to a bifurcated metro economy \u2014 commercial investment and workforce planning decisions likely need county-specific calibration, since a single Gulf Shores-wide read can obscure these differences. Local advertised pay data shows construction laborer and electrician wages rising significantly even as manufacturing production worker pay fell sharply, suggesting capital is flowing toward building trades while traditional manufacturing cools. Commerce leaders evaluating expansion or relocation incentives should consider reviewing county-level unemployment and wage trends separately, as MSA-wide averages alone can mask these gaps.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Early indicator", "body": "Watch whether Mobile County's unemployment rate continues easing toward Baldwin County's level or whether the gap widens further; a persistent 1-point-plus spread would argue for differentiated workforce and investment messaging across the two counties."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Alabama recorded 61 WARN filings over 24 months affecting 6,635 workers statewide, with no major Mobile MSA filings surfaced this month; a shift in that pattern locally would be a meaningful early signal."}, {"category": "Expected", "body": "Construction and manufacturing wage records set in July (construction $1,432.21/week, manufacturing $1,389.75/week statewide) will face a test as national information and financial-activities sectors shed jobs; watch whether Gulf Shores-area construction demand holds through year-end."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "National wage growth of 1.5% trailing 3.5% CPI gains raises questions about local consumer spending power; retail and hospitality employers' job ads in the metro, a signal of hiring demand where one ad often covers several openings, are a useful gauge of whether softer real wages are showing up in local foot traffic and demand."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 22374.0, "metro_p50": 27074.0, "metro_p75": 30250.75, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33340.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 22880.0, "metro_p50": 26327.0, "metro_p75": 28731.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 31268.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29365.5, "metro_p50": 34088.6, "metro_p75": 37830.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 38480.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 52000.0, "metro_p50": 75000.0, "metro_p75": 81900.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 78872.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29284.0, "metro_p50": 34448.0, "metro_p75": 39169.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 34826.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 28080.0, "metro_p50": 37440.0, "metro_p75": 39614.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 40726.6, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 57200.0, "metro_p50": 68974.0, "metro_p75": 72800.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 71835.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29026.0, "metro_p50": 33308.4, "metro_p75": 40004.75, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30470.0, "metro_p50": 35360.0, "metro_p75": 39520.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 24930.0, "metro_p50": 26294.4, "metro_p75": 27489.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33764.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29050.0, "metro_p50": 32261.0, "metro_p75": 34991.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 41600.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29185.0, "metro_p50": 37768.8, "metro_p75": 43680.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 44552.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 56142.0, "metro_p50": 65520.0, "metro_p75": 70680.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 71406.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 70817.0, "metro_p50": 80717.0, "metro_p75": 86906.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 102252.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 88620.0, "metro_p50": 96913.6, "metro_p75": 119737.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 154403.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 83672.0, "metro_p50": 105204.4, "metro_p75": 105747.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 138000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 52949.25, "metro_p50": 62331.6, "metro_p75": 68111.25, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 72000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 66826.75, "metro_p50": 75641.0, "metro_p75": 81791.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 94646.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 50602.0, "metro_p50": 67358.0, "metro_p75": 76444.25, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 74477.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 41503.0, "metro_p50": 50396.4, "metro_p75": 59347.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 62916.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 55900.0, "metro_p50": 70071.6, "metro_p75": 75736.5, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 86294.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 24960.0, "metro_p50": 50981.8, "metro_p75": 61015.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 55908.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 62273.0, "metro_p50": 93052.8, "metro_p75": 110800.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 94009.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 43698.25, "metro_p50": 57387.4, "metro_p75": 77854.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 67595.0, "metro_p50": 82711.0, "metro_p75": 92312.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 98302.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 70239.5, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 80340.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 35164.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 61558.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 65075.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "stable", "postings_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 50046.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 64874.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 68618.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 29120.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 63228.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "mobile-al-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "pdf": "mobile-al-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf", "sources_html": "mobile-al-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:26:20.431043+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/mobile-al-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/mobile-al-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf"}