{"schema_version": 1, "id": "mo-nonmetropolitan-area/human-resources/2026-08", "product": "Labor Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 311, "label": "MO NONMETROPOLITAN AREA", "slug": "mo-nonmetropolitan-area"}, "focus_area": {"key": "human_resources", "slug": "human-resources", "label": "Human Resources"}, "period": "2026-08", "public_after": "2026-08-01", "frozen_at": "2026-10-09T16:21:22.879070+00:00", "headline": "One region, four unemployment stories \u2014 nonmetro Missouri splits apart.", "headline_summary": "Daviess County unemployment fell to 3.0% while Grundy climbed to 4.6% in the same month, as statewide job growth cooled to just 2,100 net positions.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "County unemployment range", "value": "3.0%\u20134.6%", "context": "Daviess low, Grundy high \u2014 same region, Aug 2026"}, {"label": "Missouri nonfarm job growth", "value": "+2,100", "context": "Down from +6,800 in July 2026"}, {"label": "Missouri manufacturing employment", "value": "-1,000 jobs", "context": "Aug 2026, vs +2,200 in construction"}, {"label": "State vs national unemployment", "value": "3.5% vs 4.1%", "context": "Missouri holds 0.6-point edge over U.S. rate"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Unemployment split is widening, not narrowing, across the region.", "body": "Daviess (3.0%) and Chariton (3.8%) tightened while Sullivan (4.5%) and Grundy (4.6%) loosened in the same month. Treating this as one labor market risks both overpaying in tight counties and underpaying in looser ones."}, {"headline": "Manufacturing's monthly loss may be construction's near-term gain.", "body": "Missouri manufacturing shed 1,000 jobs in August while construction added 2,200 \u2014 a pattern consistent with cross-sector worker movement rather than net job destruction. Recruiters targeting trades roles may find displaced manufacturing workers a faster-to-fill, lower-cost sourcing pool."}, {"headline": "Recruiter pay is falling locally even as national demand pushes it up.", "body": "Metro Recruiter advertised pay dropped significantly to a $61,930 median while the national figure climbed to $67,643 \u2014 a gap that suggests local recruiting roles are being deprioritized or filled through less competitive channels even as talent acquisition pressure elsewhere intensifies. Worth checking whether this reflects genuine demand softness or under-investment in a role your organization will need for Q4 hiring."}, {"headline": "HRIS Analyst pay is the one clear signal of local wage momentum.", "body": "Metro HRIS Analyst pay rose to $96,502, exceeding the national median of $95,665 \u2014 a rare instance of a nonmetro market outpacing national demand. Likely reflects continued system modernization investment even as broader HR headcount growth stays flat."}], "local_conditions": "North-Central Missouri's nonmetropolitan counties posted divergent unemployment signals in August \u2014 Daviess fell to 3.0% and Chariton dropped to 3.8%, while Sullivan rose to 4.5% and Grundy climbed to 4.6%, pointing to county-by-county labor supply fragmentation rather than a uniform regional trend. Statewide job growth slowed to just 2,100 net positions after a 6,800 gain in July, with construction adding 2,200 jobs against a 1,000-job manufacturing decline \u2014 a mix that suggests local employers are competing for a shrinking, unevenly distributed pool of skilled trades and production workers.", "implications": "County-level divergence means regional benchmarking assumptions can mislead \u2014 an employer anchored to Daviess County's tight 3.0% rate may be blindsided by softer competition in Grundy or Sullivan, and vice versa for retention risk. Manufacturing softness paired with construction gains signals a live redeployment window: workers exiting manufacturing may be reachable for trades roles before competitors reach them. Consider reviewing county-specific candidate availability before finalizing Q4 hiring plans rather than relying on regional or statewide averages.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Grundy and Sullivan counties both moved in the wrong direction in August (4.3%\u21924.6% and 4.2%\u21924.5%, respectively). Track whether this reflects seasonal agricultural or school-cycle effects or an emerging trend before adjusting local wage strategy."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Missouri's 29 WARN notices in 2026 are concentrated in transportation/logistics, manufacturing, and healthcare \u2014 sectors with a presence across nonmetro counties. Watch whether any regional facility announcements surface locally, which could shift candidate supply quickly in a thin labor market."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "Statewide job growth cooled sharply from 6,800 to 2,100 net positions month-over-month. If this deceleration persists into September data, expect nonmetro counties \u2014 typically slower to recover but also slower to overheat \u2014 to show the effect with a lag."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Minimum wage cost pressure is already reported as reducing youth and entry-level hiring in Missouri job-placement programs. Nonmetro employers with seasonal or entry-level dependency should reassess entry-tier wage structures ahead of any 2027 minimum wage adjustment planning."}], "roles": [{"role": "Compensation Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 63053.5, "metro_p50": 91446.0, "metro_p75": 96108.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 101054.6, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Business Partner", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 53300.0, "metro_p50": 67163.0, "metro_p75": 78062.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 83180.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Benefits Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 47500.0, "metro_p50": 70000.0, "metro_p75": 111817.5, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 120000.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "HRIS Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 66936.0, "metro_p50": 96501.6, "metro_p75": 102583.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 95665.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HR Coordinator", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 38225.5, "metro_p50": 46835.0, "metro_p75": 49318.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 50095.2, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Recruiter", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 40040.0, "metro_p50": 61929.8, "metro_p75": 87350.5, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 67643.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Payroll Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 42863.5, "metro_p50": 52364.4, "metro_p75": 60477.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 58266.2, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}], "industry_snapshot": [], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "September 2026", "files": {"html": "mo-nonmetropolitan-area/human-resources/2026-08.html", "pdf": "mo-nonmetropolitan-area/human-resources/2026-08.pdf"}, "published_at": "2026-10-09T16:22:02.696632+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/mo-nonmetropolitan-area/human-resources/2026-08.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/mo-nonmetropolitan-area/human-resources/2026-08.pdf"}