{"schema_version": 1, "id": "mansfield-oh-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-09", "product": "Labor Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 274, "label": "Mansfield, OH MSA", "slug": "mansfield-oh-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "restaurant_industry", "slug": "restaurant-industry", "label": "Restaurant Industry"}, "period": "2026-09", "public_after": "2026-09-01", "frozen_at": "2026-10-09T13:34:42.276999+00:00", "headline": "Mansfield management pay climbs as back-of-house pay lags.", "headline_summary": "Mansfield's Assistant Restaurant Manager pay rose to $41,357 against a national decline to $39,000, while Line Cook pay fell to $30,510 \u2014 nearly $6,300 below the national median \u2014 even as Ohio's minimum wage steps up 3.5% in January.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Mansfield unemployment rate", "value": "3.9%", "context": "Preliminary June 2026, up from 3.2% in May"}, {"label": "Ohio 2027 minimum wage", "value": "$11.40 / $5.70", "context": "Up 3.5% from 2026's $11.00 / $5.50"}, {"label": "National restaurant job openings", "value": "673,000", "context": "Down from 916,000 at start of 2026"}, {"label": "Ohio food services employment", "value": "-3.1K YoY", "context": "Statewide decline despite national payroll gains"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Management pay is pulling away from national trend lines.", "body": "Assistant Restaurant Manager and General Manager advertised pay both moved up significantly in Mansfield while national medians for the same roles declined. That divergence points to a local retention or backfill problem in management ranks, not a broad market-wide pay surge."}, {"headline": "Line Cook pay is falling even as back-of-house stays hard to staff.", "body": "Metro Line Cook pay dropped to $30,510, nearly $6,300 below the national median of $36,826, a gap that looks increasingly out of step with Ohio's accelerating tipped and non-tipped wage floors. Operators anchoring BOH pay near minimum wage risk losing cooks to manufacturing and healthcare employers, both dominant sectors in Richland County's labor market."}, {"headline": "Ohio's 2027 wage step is a FOH compression event in waiting.", "body": "The jump to $11.40/$5.70 narrows the spread between entry-level servers and shift managers, a pattern already visible in Florida's September increase. Mansfield's flat Server pay ($29,196) suggests this compression hasn't been priced in yet."}, {"headline": "National hiring cooldown doesn't mean easier recruiting locally.", "body": "Accommodation and food services job openings fell nationally from 916,000 to 673,000 this year, but Ohio's shrinking labor force and Mansfield's own labor force contraction mean fewer candidates are chasing those open roles here. Treat national softening as a signal to shift from hiring-volume strategy to retention investment, not a cue to relax sourcing effort."}], "local_conditions": "Mansfield's unemployment rate ticked up from May's 3.2% to a preliminary 3.9% in June as seasonal softening set in, even as the metro's civilian labor force grew to 52.7 thousand and nonfarm payrolls rose by 600 jobs. Ohio's 2027 minimum wage announcement \u2014 a 3.5% step to $11.40/hour non-tipped and $5.70/hour tipped \u2014 lands alongside a statewide food services employment decline of 3.1K jobs year-over-year, signaling rising wage floors against a backdrop of sector contraction.", "implications": "Rising wage floors combined with a shrinking statewide restaurant workforce mean operators can no longer treat minimum-wage compliance as a once-a-year line-item update \u2014 it's compounding faster than most 2026 budgets anticipated. Metro advertised pay for Assistant Restaurant Manager ($41,357) and General Manager ($59,639) is running up significantly against national medians moving the opposite direction, suggesting local operators are competing hard for management bench strength even as entry-level hiring pressure eases nationally. Consider reviewing management-tier compensation bands now, before the January 2027 wage step forces a reactive, compressed adjustment cycle.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Expected", "body": "Ohio's 2027 minimum wage increase to $11.40/$5.70 takes effect January 1 \u2014 budget cycles finalized this fall should model the full-year impact now rather than treating it as a Q1 surprise."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Mansfield's unemployment rate moved from 3.2% to a preliminary 3.9% between May and June; confirm whether this reflects genuine seasonal softening or a more durable labor force shift before locking fall staffing plans."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Ohio's food services and drinking places employment fell 3.1K year-over-year statewide even as Mansfield's broader economy added jobs \u2014 watch whether restaurant-specific postings in Richland County track that statewide contraction or diverge from it."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "Manufacturing remains Richland County's largest WARN-affected sector statewide; any local manufacturing layoffs could add candidates to the BOH labor pool, a potential offset to Line Cook recruiting difficulty."}], "roles": [{"role": "Assistant Restaurant Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33280.0, "metro_p50": 41357.2, "metro_p75": 43500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 39000.0, "national_trend_direction": "down", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Catering Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 36156.0, "metro_p50": 45760.0, "metro_p75": 54080.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 50960.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Crew", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 24960.0, "metro_p50": 29120.0, "metro_p75": 31192.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 29839.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Line Cook", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 26853.0, "metro_p50": 30510.0, "metro_p75": 33280.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 36826.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Restaurant Manager/General Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 47783.0, "metro_p50": 59639.0, "metro_p75": 65000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 59618.0, "national_trend_direction": "down", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Server", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 25757.0, "metro_p50": 29196.0, "metro_p75": 32067.25, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 35012.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Shift Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 28600.0, "metro_p50": 32058.0, "metro_p75": 33515.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 32731.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "October 2026", "files": {"html": "mansfield-oh-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-09.html", "pdf": "mansfield-oh-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-09.pdf"}, "published_at": "2026-10-09T14:32:47.065504+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/mansfield-oh-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-09.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/mansfield-oh-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-09.pdf"}