{"schema_version": 1, "id": "little-rock-north-little-rock-conway-ar-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 258, "label": "Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR MSA", "slug": "little-rock-north-little-rock-conway-ar-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T07:50:49.764188+00:00", "headline": "Little Rock labor market tightens while wages trail inflation", "headline_summary": "Pulaski County unemployment held at 4.0% and statewide participation hit 59.1%, even as Arkansas's average weekly wage slipped 0.7% year-over-year against continued inflation pressure.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Pulaski County unemployment", "value": "4.0%", "context": "Aug. 2026, vs. 4.2% nationally in Sept."}, {"label": "Arkansas labor force participation", "value": "59.1%", "context": "Up 0.2 pts year-over-year, record labor force"}, {"label": "Arkansas average weekly wage", "value": "$1,067", "context": "Down 0.7% YoY despite 5.8% total wage growth"}, {"label": "Pulaski County average weekly wage", "value": "$1,229", "context": "Up 3.4% year-over-year, Q3 2025"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Arkansas is outperforming the nation on labor force engagement.", "body": "Participation rose to 59.1%, up 0.2 points year-over-year, while civilian labor force and employment both reached state records in September. That combination signals workers re-entering the market, a healthier trajectory than headline unemployment alone would suggest."}, {"headline": "Public-sector hiring is carrying a disproportionate share of state job growth.", "body": "Government added more than 10,500 jobs statewide in the latest reporting period, the single largest contributor to the 12,500 nonfarm payroll increase. Commerce leaders should treat this as a stabilizing force for consumer spending in Little Rock, where state government has an outsized metro footprint, even as private-sector gains remain comparatively modest."}, {"headline": "Skilled trades pay is diverging sharply from retail and logistics pay locally.", "body": "Electrician advertised pay rose significantly to $68,158 and Construction Laborer pay rose moderately to $35,394, while Delivery Driver pay fell significantly to $31,780 and Warehouse/Fulfillment pay moved down moderately to $34,195. That split is consistent with sustained construction and infrastructure investment locally against softer consumer-facing logistics demand."}, {"headline": "Real wages are not keeping pace with inflation, a drag on local consumer spending.", "body": "Arkansas's average weekly wage of $1,067 in August was down 0.7% year-over-year even as nominal wage and salary disbursements grew 5.8% for the fiscal year, and nationally median earnings rose 1.5% against 3.5% CPI growth. Commerce leaders evaluating consumer-facing investment should weigh softening purchasing power against the metro's otherwise favorable employment numbers."}], "local_conditions": "Pulaski County's unemployment rate held at 4.0% in August against a civilian labor force of 207,304, while statewide unemployment improved to 3.9% in September for an eighth straight monthly decline, placing Arkansas and its largest metro ahead of the national 4.2% reading. Metro employment climbed 1.24% year-over-year with average weekly wages in Pulaski County up 3.4% to $1,229 in the most recent quarter, momentum consistent with statewide gains led by government (+10,500 jobs) and private education and health services (+3,600) spread broadly across sectors rather than concentrated in any single metro employer.", "implications": "Record labor force participation statewide (59.1%, up 0.2 points year-over-year) alongside sub-4% metro unemployment points to an economy operating near full capacity, a condition commerce leaders should read as validation of expansion plans that must account for tightening labor availability. Wage gains in skilled trades and technical roles locally \u2014 Electrician advertised pay up significantly to $68,158, Accountant up significantly to $67,494 \u2014 suggest capital-intensive and professional-services investment is finding willing, if not abundant, local talent. Local economic development bodies should consider monitoring whether labor force participation gains can keep pace with sector-specific wage acceleration, since continued tightness in trades and finance roles could become a binding constraint on project timelines.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Arkansas wage withholding grew 5.7% year-over-year per the state's October revenue report, with gross and net collections both beating forecast. Sustained outperformance here would offer the clearest early signal that metro income growth is translating into fiscal capacity for local government and infrastructure commitments."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Leisure and hospitality lost 1,900 jobs statewide on seasonal declines, and Food Service Worker advertised pay in the metro is down moderately. Watch whether this reflects normal seasonal adjustment or a deeper softening in consumer-facing demand heading into the holiday season."}, {"category": "Data gap", "body": "Arkansas statute keeps WARN Act layoff notices from public disclosure, leaving commerce leaders without visibility into any metro-level layoff activity that national trackers would otherwise surface. Local chambers and economic development corps may need to rely on direct employer relationships to fill this gap."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "National information-sector job losses (-10,000 in September) and softening professional/business services have not yet shown up as a distinct drag in Arkansas data, where Software Engineer and Business Analyst advertised pay both ticked up moderately. Confirmation of continued local resilience in professional and tech roles over the next two months would reinforce the metro's relative insulation from white-collar softening nationally."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 23364.0, "metro_p50": 29405.0, "metro_p75": 35981.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33340.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 23545.0, "metro_p50": 27247.6, "metro_p75": 29441.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 31268.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30494.25, "metro_p50": 34195.0, "metro_p75": 37440.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 38480.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 56528.75, "metro_p50": 78000.0, "metro_p75": 88400.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 78872.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 28301.0, "metro_p50": 31780.0, "metro_p75": 37440.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 34826.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31019.5, "metro_p50": 35394.4, "metro_p75": 38533.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 40726.6, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 54500.0, "metro_p50": 68158.0, "metro_p75": 74709.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 71835.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29576.0, "metro_p50": 34831.0, "metro_p75": 41251.5, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30540.0, "metro_p50": 35571.0, "metro_p75": 38002.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 25533.5, "metro_p50": 27336.0, "metro_p75": 32105.25, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33764.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31081.0, "metro_p50": 35360.0, "metro_p75": 37440.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 41600.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31200.0, "metro_p50": 38879.2, "metro_p75": 42579.25, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 44552.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 50091.0, "metro_p50": 63492.0, "metro_p75": 73737.75, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 71406.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 77788.0, "metro_p50": 95000.0, "metro_p75": 106028.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 102252.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 117647.0, "metro_p50": 154095.4, "metro_p75": 169604.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 154403.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 97027.0, "metro_p50": 127131.6, "metro_p75": 139500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 138000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 56300.0, "metro_p50": 67494.0, "metro_p75": 75000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 72000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 73208.0, "metro_p50": 90000.0, "metro_p75": 106468.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 94646.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 55000.0, "metro_p50": 74125.0, "metro_p75": 77744.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 74477.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 44511.25, "metro_p50": 55690.0, "metro_p75": 74753.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 62916.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 60059.0, "metro_p50": 76001.0, "metro_p75": 95000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 86294.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32296.0, "metro_p50": 51444.8, "metro_p75": 56410.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 55908.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 68623.0, "metro_p50": 99297.0, "metro_p75": 116000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94009.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 46547.5, "metro_p50": 60781.2, "metro_p75": 70032.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 77088.0, "metro_p50": 96733.2, "metro_p75": 105400.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 98302.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 70576.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 96525.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 40653.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 64013.5, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 140199.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 77382.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 76202.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 53571.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "stable", "postings_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 30420.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "stable", "postings_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 63904.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "little-rock-north-little-rock-conway-ar-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "pdf": "little-rock-north-little-rock-conway-ar-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf", "sources_html": "little-rock-north-little-rock-conway-ar-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:25:11.916259+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/little-rock-north-little-rock-conway-ar-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/little-rock-north-little-rock-conway-ar-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf"}