{"schema_version": 1, "id": "lincoln-ne-msa/finance/2026-10", "product": "Labor Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 352, "label": "Lincoln, NE MSA", "slug": "lincoln-ne-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "finance", "slug": "finance", "label": "Finance"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T05:33:08.703162+00:00", "headline": "Lincoln finance pay splits from national gains as talent tightens.", "headline_summary": "Lincoln's unemployment rate sits near 2.6%-2.9% against a 4.1% national rate, yet advertised pay for Controller and FP&A Manager roles fell locally even as national medians climbed, including a 7.1% year-over-year wage gain for Nebraska's finance and insurance sector.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Lincoln MSA unemployment rate", "value": "2.6%-2.9%", "context": "vs 4.1% national rate"}, {"label": "NE finance & insurance wage growth", "value": "7.1% YoY", "context": "Second-highest sector gain after information (10.6%)"}, {"label": "FP&A Manager advertised pay, metro", "value": "$97,940", "context": "Down significant vs $130,000 national, up moderate"}, {"label": "Nebraska labor force change", "value": "-7,792 workers YoY", "context": "1,095,378 in Sept 2026 vs 1,103,170 a year earlier"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Senior finance pay in Lincoln is diverging from the national trend.", "body": "Controller and FP&A Manager advertised pay fell locally (down moderate and down significant, respectively) while national figures for both rose. That gap widens flight risk for incumbents benchmarking against national postings, particularly in a metro already short on finance talent."}, {"headline": "Financial Analyst pay is bucking the local downward pattern.", "body": "Metro Financial Analyst pay rose to $96,180, above the $94,646 national median \u2014 a rare instance of local compensation outpacing the national figure this month. That signals employer competition for analytical talent specifically, even as other finance roles see softer local pay."}, {"headline": "Tax Specialist compensation looks mispriced against national demand.", "body": "Metro Tax Specialist pay fell to $62,802 while the national median jumped to $69,556 on significant momentum, likely tied to year-end tax planning and compliance hiring cycles. Finance leaders recruiting for this function may find Lincoln's current advertised range insufficient to compete for experienced candidates."}, {"headline": "Labor force contraction is compounding finance hiring difficulty.", "body": "Nebraska's labor force shrank by roughly 7,800 workers year-over-year even as unemployment held near record lows, meaning fewer available candidates chasing the same open finance roles. Time-to-fill for nonexecutive positions has already fallen to 39 days statewide, pressuring recruitment timelines around budget close."}], "local_conditions": "Lincoln's unemployment rate sits at 2.6%-2.9% depending on the measure, among the tightest labor markets in the country and well below the 4.1% national rate, while the metro's labor force has contracted alongside the state's year-over-year decline of roughly 7,800 workers. Finance and insurance employment statewide grew 1.5% to 88,490 workers with average weekly wages up 7.1% year-over-year \u2014 the second-fastest sector wage growth in Nebraska \u2014 signaling that finance talent scarcity is translating directly into compensation pressure even as broader white-collar hiring nationally has softened.", "implications": "Advertised pay for Controller ($88,505) and FP&A Manager ($97,940) roles in Lincoln has moved down on a moderate-to-significant basis even as national figures for those same roles climbed, a divergence that may suggest local employers are either successfully holding the line on senior finance compensation or losing ground in a market where candidates can command more elsewhere. With CFO turnover nationally projected at 18.3% for 2026 and finance talent shortages reported by 85% of CFOs surveyed, Lincoln's already-thin labor pool raises the stakes for retention during close and audit cycles. Consider reviewing whether current advertised pay for senior finance roles reflects true local scarcity or lags a national market that is moving faster.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Expected", "body": "October Nebraska employment data releases November 20 \u2014 watch whether finance and insurance wage growth (7.1% year-over-year as of September) holds or accelerates further, which would sharpen the case for off-cycle compensation reviews."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "National finance talent shortage signals (85% of CFOs reporting shortages, 37.5% external CFO hiring rate) suggest Lincoln employers should expect more aggressive recruiting activity from outside the metro targeting local finance leadership."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "70% of finance and accounting leaders nationally are shifting toward contract talent in H2 2026. Watch whether Lincoln employers follow this pattern, which would affect fixed headcount cost forecasting and introduce audit documentation considerations."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Nebraska's new state-level WARN Act (effective July 18, 2026) requires 90-day notice for mass layoffs at 100+ employee firms \u2014 a stricter standard than federal law. Any filing affecting finance-heavy employers would surface earlier than in past cycles, giving leaders more lead time to plan workforce transitions."}], "roles": [{"role": "Controller", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 52939.0, "metro_p50": 88505.0, "metro_p75": 91703.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 115420.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Senior Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 64396.5, "metro_p50": 75803.0, "metro_p75": 78939.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 87731.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 75633.75, "metro_p50": 96180.0, "metro_p75": 113511.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94646.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Billing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 36728.0, "metro_p50": 44055.8, "metro_p75": 47421.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 49000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Tax Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 43205.0, "metro_p50": 62801.6, "metro_p75": 73246.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 69556.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Credit Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 49596.5, "metro_p50": 49684.0, "metro_p75": 49731.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 71397.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "FP&A Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 86832.0, "metro_p50": 97940.0, "metro_p75": 112424.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 130000.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}], "industry_snapshot": [], "citations": [{"source_name": "Nebraska Department of Labor", "source_url": null, "statement": "Lincoln MSA unemployment rate range and comparison to national rate"}, {"source_name": "Nebraska Department of Labor / BLS QCEW", "source_url": null, "statement": "Nebraska finance and insurance sector wage growth of 7.1% year-over-year"}, {"source_name": "Crist|Kolder Associates", "source_url": null, "statement": "CFO turnover projected at 18.3% in 2026, highest since pandemic"}, {"source_name": "MAVI", "source_url": null, "statement": "85% of CFOs report finance talent shortages affecting operations"}, {"source_name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics", "source_url": null, "statement": "Nebraska labor force declined from 1,103,170 to 1,095,378 year-over-year"}, {"source_name": "AFP FP&A Forum", "source_url": null, "statement": "70% of finance and accounting leaders increasing use of contract talent in H2 2026"}], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "lincoln-ne-msa/finance/2026-10.html", "pdf": "lincoln-ne-msa/finance/2026-10.pdf"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:25:08.655547+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/lincoln-ne-msa/finance/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/lincoln-ne-msa/finance/2026-10.pdf"}