{"schema_version": 1, "id": "lewiston-id-wa-msa/human-resources/2026-10", "product": "Labor Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 241, "label": "Lewiston, ID-WA MSA", "slug": "lewiston-id-wa-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "human_resources", "slug": "human-resources", "label": "Human Resources"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T02:26:07.884812+00:00", "headline": "Lewiston jobs shrink while hiring competition tightens.", "headline_summary": "Lewiston MSA nonfarm payrolls fell 0.7% year-over-year even as local job postings climbed to 1.4 per unemployed worker, with Recruiter advertised pay up significantly to $68,255 against that squeeze.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Lewiston MSA nonfarm employment", "value": "-0.7%", "context": "Year-over-year decline, Sept. 2026"}, {"label": "Nez Perce County unemployment", "value": "3.3%", "context": "Up from 3.2% in July 2026"}, {"label": "North central Idaho postings ratio", "value": "1.4", "context": "Job ads per unemployed worker, up from 1.1 YoY"}, {"label": "Idaho statewide unemployment", "value": "3.6%", "context": "Unchanged month-over-month, Sept. 2026"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Lewiston's job market is shrinking and tightening at once.", "body": "Nonfarm payrolls fell 0.7% year-over-year while postings per unemployed worker rose to 1.4 from 1.1 \u2014 fewer total jobs are being added, but competition for the candidates who remain is intensifying. Workforce planning should separate volume-driven headcount decisions from skills-driven retention risk."}, {"headline": "Recruiter pay is climbing against a cooling hiring backdrop.", "body": "Metro Recruiter advertised pay rose significantly to a $68,255 median, above the $67,234 national figure, even as overall nonfarm employment contracted locally. That combination is consistent with employers investing in recruiting capability because filling specialized roles has gotten harder, with overall hiring volume holding flat or shrinking."}, {"headline": "HRIS and Compensation Analyst pay softened locally this month.", "body": "Compensation Analyst advertised pay fell to a $94,509 metro median against a stable $100,798 national figure, and HRIS Analyst pay dropped significantly to $82,739 versus a stable $95,000 nationally. Declines this sharp against stable national trends may reflect a thin local sample, worth confirming before resetting internal ranges."}, {"headline": "Shrinking college enrollment threatens the entry-level pipeline.", "body": "Lewis-Clark State College's 3.4% enrollment decline from record 2025 levels reduces the local supply of early-career candidates for roles like HR Coordinator and Payroll Specialist. Employer branding and local apprenticeship partnerships may matter more in Lewiston over the next year than in markets with stronger higher-ed enrollment trends."}], "local_conditions": "Lewiston's MSA posted a 0.7% year-over-year decline in nonfarm employment even as Nez Perce County unemployment ticked up to 3.3% in August from 3.2% in July, a divergence that points to softening labor demand \u2014 weekly unemployment insurance claims in the region actually ran at a third of July 2025 levels. North central Idaho job postings (job ads, a signal of hiring demand; one ad often covers several openings) reached 1.4 per unemployed person in September, up from 1.1 a year ago, pointing to a labor market where employer appetite for new hires is contracting even as skilled-role competition for available candidates intensifies.", "implications": "Falling nonfarm payrolls alongside tightening postings-per-unemployed ratios signal a bifurcated market: broad hiring volume is cooling while specific skill categories \u2014 healthcare and technical roles chief among them \u2014 remain difficult to fill, meaning blanket hiring freezes could leave critical positions exposed. Lewis-Clark State College's 3.4% enrollment drop compounds this by thinning the entry-level and early-career pipeline that regional employers have relied on for roles like HR Coordinator and Recruiter support staff. Consider reviewing which roles sit in the tight-skills category versus the broader soft-demand pool before applying uniform hiring restrictions.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Early indicator", "body": "Watch whether Nez Perce County's unemployment uptick (3.2% to 3.3%) continues into fall data releases. A sustained climb alongside falling nonfarm payrolls would confirm a sustained demand slowdown beyond a one-month blip."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Lifepoint Health's acquisition of St. Joseph's Regional Medical Center closed earlier this year \u2014 monitor for post-acquisition workforce restructuring or compensation harmonization affecting one of north central Idaho's top-10 employers."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Healthcare postings (registered nurse ads, a signal of hiring demand where one ad often covers several openings, up to 227 from 186 year-over-year) continue climbing even as overall local hiring volume falls, with hiring demand concentrated in a narrow set of roles. Expect continued wage pressure in clinical positions regardless of broader market softening."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "National pay transparency rules taking effect in Connecticut, Maryland and New Jersey this month create compliance precedent that Idaho employers with multi-state remote staff should track, particularly for roles like HR Business Partner and Compensation Analyst that often report across state lines."}], "roles": [{"role": "Compensation Analyst", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 77710.5, "metro_p50": 94509.0, "metro_p75": 104408.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 100798.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Business Partner", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 53117.0, "metro_p50": 78052.2, "metro_p75": 89407.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 83900.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Benefits Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 83209.0, "metro_p50": 100753.6, "metro_p75": 126780.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 118618.2, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HRIS Analyst", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 79904.0, "metro_p50": 82739.0, "metro_p75": 102500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 95000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Coordinator", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 40244.0, "metro_p50": 46800.0, "metro_p75": 50138.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 50460.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Recruiter", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 50046.5, "metro_p50": 68255.0, "metro_p75": 81406.75, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 67234.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Payroll Specialist", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 46737.5, "metro_p50": 57144.0, "metro_p75": 61422.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 61103.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}], "industry_snapshot": [], "citations": [{"source_name": "Idaho Department of Labor", "source_url": null, "statement": "Lewiston MSA nonfarm employment fell 0.7% year-over-year"}, {"source_name": "Federal Reserve Economic Data / BLS", "source_url": null, "statement": "Nez Perce County unemployment rate at 3.3% in August 2026"}, {"source_name": "Idaho Department of Labor LMI", "source_url": null, "statement": "North central Idaho job postings ratio of 1.4 per unemployed person"}, {"source_name": "Idaho Department of Labor LMI", "source_url": null, "statement": "Lewis-Clark State College fall 2026 enrollment dropped 3.4%"}, {"source_name": "Idaho Department of Labor LMI", "source_url": null, "statement": "Registered nurse postings rose to 227 from 186 year-over-year"}, {"source_name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics / Idaho Department of Labor", "source_url": null, "statement": "Idaho statewide unemployment unchanged at 3.6%"}], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "lewiston-id-wa-msa/human-resources/2026-10.html", "pdf": "lewiston-id-wa-msa/human-resources/2026-10.pdf"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:25:02.528721+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/lewiston-id-wa-msa/human-resources/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/lewiston-id-wa-msa/human-resources/2026-10.pdf"}