{"schema_version": 1, "id": "lewiston-auburn-me-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 236, "label": "Lewiston-Auburn, ME MSA", "slug": "lewiston-auburn-me-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T07:48:03.361526+00:00", "headline": "Lewiston-Auburn gains residents while local jobs lag behind.", "headline_summary": "Androscoggin County added over 9,300 residents even as employment declined, while metro wages grew 4.2% year-over-year \u2014 outpacing the region's 4.1% cost-of-living increase.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Androscoggin County unemployment", "value": "2.9%-3.2%", "context": "vs Maine's 3.3% statewide, Sept. 2026"}, {"label": "Population vs. job growth divergence", "value": "+9,300 residents", "context": "while county employment declined, 2026"}, {"label": "Metro hourly wage growth", "value": "4.2% YoY", "context": "vs 4.1% Northeast cost-of-living rise"}, {"label": "Healthcare share of state jobs", "value": "8.8%", "context": "7,470 jobs in Androscoggin County alone"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Population is growing while local jobs are not.", "body": "Androscoggin County added over 9,300 residents even as it lost jobs, a divergence that likely reflects commuting to Portland and Augusta ahead of local economic expansion. That pattern suggests the metro's labor force is becoming a bedroom-community supply for neighboring job markets, with consequences for local tax base and commercial vacancy trends."}, {"headline": "Local wages are beating inflation \u2014 an outlier worth flagging.", "body": "Metro hourly earnings grew 4.2% year-over-year, ahead of the 4.1% Northeast cost-of-living increase and well above the national pattern of wages trailing CPI by roughly two points. That divergence, if it holds into Q4 data, would mark Lewiston-Auburn as a rare metro where local purchasing power is not eroding."}, {"headline": "Healthcare remains the metro's structural employment backbone.", "body": "Nearly 9% of the state's healthcare workforce sits in Androscoggin County, with Central Maine Healthcare as the dominant single employer. Registered Nurse advertised pay locally stands at $122,202, above the $102,252 national median, signaling the sector continues to command a premium even in a low-turnover labor market."}, {"headline": "Manufacturing and office-support pay are softening locally.", "body": "Manufacturing production worker pay fell significantly to $38,592 (below the $39,520 national figure), and administrative/clerical pay dropped to $43,874 against a rising $44,552 national median. Combined with national WARN filings concentrated in telecommunications and manufacturing, this points to uneven footing in the metro's traditional industrial base even as healthcare and skilled trades stay firm."}], "local_conditions": "Androscoggin County's unemployment rate has held near 2.9-3.2% through 2026, tracking the state's 57-month stretch below 4%, even as the county's population grew by more than 9,300 residents amid job losses \u2014 a pattern consistent with workers commuting to Portland or Augusta while living in more affordable Lewiston-Auburn housing. Healthcare continues to anchor local labor demand, with Androscoggin County accounting for 7,470 healthcare jobs (8.8% of the state total) and Central Maine Healthcare standing as the metro's largest employer at 2,500-3,000 workers.", "implications": "Metro hourly earnings rose 4.2% year-over-year through August, outpacing the Northeast's regional cost-of-living increase of 4.1% \u2014 a rare instance of local wage gains keeping pace with living costs even as national real wages erode. For commerce leaders, the combination of sub-3.3% unemployment, a stable public-sector and healthcare base, and in-migration despite local job losses points to a metro drawing residents faster than it's drawing employers, which has implications for retail foot traffic, housing-linked local spending, and commuter-dependent commercial activity. Current conditions suggest economic development leaders should examine whether the Lewiston-Auburn area can convert net in-migration into local job creation, keeping those workers' daytime economic activity in the metro instead of ceding it to Portland and Augusta.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Expected release", "body": "BLS metro-level employment data for October will not publish until December 2, leaving a reporting lag; Maine's September county data (released October 20) remains the most current local read for now."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "Watch whether Androscoggin County's in-migration trend shows up in forthcoming retail and consumer-services job ads, a signal of hiring demand (one ad often covers several openings) \u2014 a rise would suggest new residents are beginning to generate local commercial activity alongside their commuting patterns."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Maine's labor force participation rate averaged 58.8% over the past three months, a decline tied to demographic aging and slower immigration inflows statewide. If the trend reaches Androscoggin County, it could constrain the pool of workers available for the metro's healthcare and manufacturing base regardless of local wage competitiveness."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "CDL Truck Driver and Electrician advertised pay both show significant upward movement locally ($81,649 and $80,540 respectively), outpacing national medians. Sustained strength in these trades-adjacent categories would be consistent with continued construction and logistics activity feeding the metro's broader commercial pipeline."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29974.0, "metro_p50": 33540.0, "metro_p75": 36140.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33340.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31586.0, "metro_p50": 32981.0, "metro_p75": 35360.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 31268.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 37049.0, "metro_p50": 41600.0, "metro_p75": 43680.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 38480.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 54936.0, "metro_p50": 81649.0, "metro_p75": 88871.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 78872.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33109.0, "metro_p50": 38480.0, "metro_p75": 45166.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 34826.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 37821.0, "metro_p50": 47840.0, "metro_p75": 52000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 40726.6, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 69168.25, "metro_p50": 80539.8, "metro_p75": 89919.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 71835.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33361.0, "metro_p50": 38592.4, "metro_p75": 46545.5, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 35328.0, "metro_p50": 43160.0, "metro_p75": 46800.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32817.0, "metro_p50": 35709.6, "metro_p75": 41340.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33764.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 36995.0, "metro_p50": 50010.4, "metro_p75": 53279.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 41600.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 37308.25, "metro_p50": 43874.0, "metro_p75": 45500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 44552.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 41246.0, "metro_p50": 61889.0, "metro_p75": 78000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 71406.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 95907.0, "metro_p50": 122202.0, "metro_p75": 129185.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 102252.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 101473.0, "metro_p50": 128732.0, "metro_p75": 134062.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 154403.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 83567.0, "metro_p50": 83595.0, "metro_p75": 106846.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 138000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 59175.5, "metro_p50": 65322.6, "metro_p75": 66900.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 72000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 77000.0, "metro_p50": 85280.0, "metro_p75": 93152.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 94646.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 55328.0, "metro_p50": 65000.0, "metro_p75": 70000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 74477.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 55806.0, "metro_p50": 66894.4, "metro_p75": 80164.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 62916.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 75689.25, "metro_p50": 84816.2, "metro_p75": 88727.75, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 86294.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 45666.0, "metro_p50": 57411.4, "metro_p75": 61490.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 55908.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 65694.75, "metro_p50": 90000.0, "metro_p75": 93476.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94009.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 60320.0, "metro_p50": 60320.0, "metro_p75": 60320.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 79502.25, "metro_p50": 92117.6, "metro_p75": 110000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 98302.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 67901.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 55807.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 36920.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 47351.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 90000.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 77768.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 86069.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 59343.5, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 39231.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 65516.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [{"source_name": "Maine Department of Labor", "source_url": null, "statement": "Androscoggin County population grew 9,300+ while losing jobs"}, {"source_name": "JobsInMaine.com", "source_url": null, "statement": "Central Maine Healthcare is metro's largest employer at 2,500-3,000 workers"}, {"source_name": "U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics", "source_url": null, "statement": "Metro hourly earnings rose 4.2% year-over-year through August 2026"}, {"source_name": "Maine Department of Labor", "source_url": null, "statement": "Androscoggin County healthcare jobs represent 8.8% of state healthcare workforce"}, {"source_name": "Maine Department of Labor", "source_url": null, "statement": "Maine labor force participation averaged 58.8% over past three months"}, {"source_name": "U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics", "source_url": null, "statement": "Metro-level October BLS data scheduled for December 2, 2026 release"}], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "lewiston-auburn-me-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "pdf": "lewiston-auburn-me-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf", "sources_html": "lewiston-auburn-me-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:25:01.528150+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/lewiston-auburn-me-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/lewiston-auburn-me-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf"}