{"schema_version": 1, "id": "lawton-ok-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 302, "label": "Lawton, OK MSA", "slug": "lawton-ok-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T07:49:56.048025+00:00", "headline": "Lawton's GDP climbs as joblessness rises in tandem.", "headline_summary": "Metro unemployment reached 4.60% in July even as Lawton's real GDP grew 3.0% to $5.5 billion, while construction pay rose sharply and manufacturing pay fell, pointing to an uneven local recovery.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Lawton MSA unemployment rate", "value": "4.60%", "context": "Up from 4.40% in April 2026"}, {"label": "Lawton MSA real GDP", "value": "$5.5B", "context": "Up 3.0% in 2026 despite rising joblessness"}, {"label": "Oklahoma unemployment rate", "value": "4.2%", "context": "Up from 3.6% year-over-year (Sept. 2025 to 2026)"}, {"label": "Government employment, Lawton MSA", "value": "15,090 jobs", "context": "Seasonally adjusted, July 2026"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Public payrolls are the metro's stabilizer and a line item worth tracking.", "body": "Government employment held near 15,090 jobs through July even as metro unemployment rose nearly a full point from April. Public-sector stability of this kind cushions the headline number but masks softening in Lawton's private economy."}, {"headline": "GDP growth and rising unemployment are telling different stories.", "body": "Real GDP rose 3.0% to $5.5 billion in 2026 while joblessness climbed toward 4.6%, consistent with output gains concentrated in capital-intensive or productivity-driven activity alongside more muted local employment growth. Economic development groups should treat this divergence as a flag worth tracking."}, {"headline": "Construction pay strength signals where local capital is flowing.", "body": "Construction laborer pay rose significantly locally while manufacturing production worker pay fell significantly over the same period. That split points toward building-related investment gaining ground locally while factory-floor activity cools, a signal relevant to anyone assessing the metro's near-term investment climate."}, {"headline": "Oklahoma's wage-inflation gap compounds a local affordability squeeze.", "body": "Statewide wage and salary growth in the Dallas-Fort Worth-Oklahoma CSA ran 3.0% against a national CPI gain of 3.5-3.7%, meaning real purchasing power is eroding even where nominal pay rose. Consumer spending capacity across Lawton's retail and service sectors is likely feeling this pressure directly."}], "local_conditions": "Lawton MSA unemployment climbed to 4.60% in July 2026, up from 4.40% in April, tracking a statewide rise that pushed Oklahoma's jobless rate to 4.2% from 3.6% a year earlier. Metro real GDP still grew 3.0% to $5.5 billion in 2026, and government employment held near 15,090 jobs, suggesting the area's public-sector base is cushioning softer private labor demand.", "implications": "Rising joblessness alongside continued GDP growth points to an economy adding output without proportionate employment gains \u2014 a pattern local officials and commerce groups should treat as a capacity and productivity question as well as a workforce one. Divergent local pay trends, construction labor pay up significantly while manufacturing production pay fell significantly, suggest capital is shifting toward building activity even as factory floor demand cools. Commerce leaders evaluating expansion or investment timing may want to weigh this bifurcation: the metro appears more hospitable to construction-linked activity than to manufacturing-dependent plans right now.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Scheduled release", "body": "BLS publishes October metro-level unemployment data in late November; watch whether Lawton's rate continues its climb past the 4.6% July reading or stabilizes alongside the state's 4.2-4.3% range."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Comanche County's average weekly wage of $1,014 as of September 2025 provides a baseline; any divergence from state wage growth of 4.8% year-over-year would signal Lawton falling further behind or catching up to peer Oklahoma counties."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Manufacturing production pay fell significantly in the metro against a stable national trend, a divergence worth monitoring for signs of further softening in that sector locally versus the modest national manufacturing job gains reported in September."}, {"category": "Policy signal", "body": "Graduate retention in Oklahoma's public colleges dropped to 76.5% in 2025 from 87% in 2023; any continuation of that trend has direct bearing on the metro's available labor pool and long-term workforce planning for commerce leaders."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 21668.0, "metro_p50": 25126.0, "metro_p75": 28080.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33340.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 22431.0, "metro_p50": 24960.0, "metro_p75": 27040.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 31268.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 28839.0, "metro_p50": 31026.2, "metro_p75": 37072.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 38480.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 62536.5, "metro_p50": 82937.0, "metro_p75": 96850.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 78872.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 27382.0, "metro_p50": 30160.0, "metro_p75": 32060.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 34826.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29120.0, "metro_p50": 38350.0, "metro_p75": 38480.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 40726.6, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 56120.5, "metro_p50": 67454.0, "metro_p75": 74026.5, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 71835.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29375.0, "metro_p50": 30278.0, "metro_p75": 30331.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30160.0, "metro_p50": 36920.0, "metro_p75": 38480.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 23575.0, "metro_p50": 25436.0, "metro_p75": 27925.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33764.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30009.0, "metro_p50": 34112.0, "metro_p75": 35360.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 41600.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 26324.0, "metro_p50": 34969.8, "metro_p75": 37224.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 44552.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 55710.0, "metro_p50": 63987.0, "metro_p75": 67600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 71406.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 80734.0, "metro_p50": 103202.4, "metro_p75": 112205.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 102252.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 94704.25, "metro_p50": 124619.0, "metro_p75": 130535.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 154403.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 77484.75, "metro_p50": 119290.0, "metro_p75": 119290.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 138000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 51373.0, "metro_p50": 55278.4, "metro_p75": 55348.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 72000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 80176.0, "metro_p50": 83874.4, "metro_p75": 86276.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94646.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31200.0, "metro_p50": 39745.4, "metro_p75": 52514.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 74477.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 46800.0, "metro_p50": 61544.8, "metro_p75": 70000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 62916.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 72377.5, "metro_p50": 74668.2, "metro_p75": 83142.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 86294.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 26385.25, "metro_p50": 44809.0, "metro_p75": 51787.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 55908.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 54915.0, "metro_p50": 82088.0, "metro_p75": 95976.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 94009.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 47714.0, "metro_p50": 54906.8, "metro_p75": 63437.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 73079.0, "metro_p50": 88100.0, "metro_p75": 97552.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 98302.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 51041.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 71632.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 33809.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 75037.5, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 79237.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 29120.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 63648.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 98566.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 29120.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 60622.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [{"source_name": "Trading Economics / Federal Reserve data", "source_url": null, "statement": "Lawton MSA unemployment rate reached 4.60% in July 2026"}, {"source_name": "Bureau of Economic Analysis", "source_url": null, "statement": "Lawton MSA real GDP rose 3.0% to $5.5 billion in 2026"}, {"source_name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics", "source_url": null, "statement": "Oklahoma unemployment rose from 3.6% to 4.2% year-over-year"}, {"source_name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics", "source_url": null, "statement": "Government employment in Lawton MSA stood at 15,090 jobs"}, {"source_name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics", "source_url": null, "statement": "Dallas-Fort Worth-Oklahoma CSA wage growth at 3.0% vs national CPI 3.5-3.7%"}, {"source_name": "Oklahoma State Regents for Higher Education", "source_url": null, "statement": "Oklahoma public college graduate in-state retention fell to 76.5% in 2025"}], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "lawton-ok-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "pdf": "lawton-ok-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf", "sources_html": "lawton-ok-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:24:57.470016+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/lawton-ok-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/lawton-ok-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf"}