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Metro Job Market Pulse

Lawrence, KS MSA Edition

Lawrence unemployment drifts above Kansas as consumer-facing pay erodes.

4.2%

Lawrence metro unemployment

vs 3.8% Kansas statewide, Aug 2026

+50 jobs

Douglas County job growth

Essentially flat on ~51,143 job base, year to Feb 2026

+4.6% YoY

Kansas private-sector wage growth

To $32.98/hr, exceeds Midwest 4.1% inflation

0

Kansas WARN notices, trailing 90 days

Statewide stability vs active national WARN activity

This Month's Takeaways

01

Metro unemployment is drifting away from the state trendline.

Lawrence's 4.2% August rate sits a full 0.4 points above Kansas's steady 3.8%, a gap that has persisted since at least February when Douglas County's seasonally adjusted rate hit 6.3%. Widening local-to-state divergence is a signal worth tracking for anyone benchmarking Lawrence's competitiveness against Topeka, Kansas City, or Wichita.

02

Construction and health care are the metro's only clear bright spots.

Job growth over the year was concentrated almost entirely in construction and leisure/hospitality, consistent with the Tenth Federal Reserve District's September Beige Book finding that goods-producing sectors are outperforming nationally. Registered nurse and CNA advertised pay rising locally (up moderate) reinforces that health care remains a structurally tight segment of the local labor market even as broader hiring cools.

03

Real wage erosion looks broad-based across consumer-facing work in Lawrence.

Customer service, administrative support, food service, and construction labor roles all show significant real-pay declines locally even where national figures for the same roles are flat, a gap that does not track with the modest Kansas-wide uptick in private-sector hourly earnings (+4.6% year-over-year through April). Divergence of this size between metro and state wage trends is unusual enough to merit a second look at local cost-of-living and retail-spending data.

04

Flat job counts, not falling ones, define Douglas County's current stall.

Douglas County added only about 50 jobs over the year through February on a base of roughly 51,000 — essentially no net change rather than a contraction. That pattern is consistent with a local economy in a holding pattern, which matters for expansion and investment timing decisions more than a recession signal would.

Lawrence metro unemployment edged up to 4.2% in August 2026 from 4.1% in July, slightly above the Kansas statewide rate of 3.8%, as Douglas County employment growth remained essentially flat with job gains concentrated in construction and leisure/hospitality while manufacturing, financial activities, and retail employment contracted over the year. Advertised pay across several widely-held metro roles — delivery drivers, construction laborers, customer service representatives, administrative support — is declining in real terms even as national wage growth has slipped to 3.0% against 3.4% inflation, suggesting local purchasing power softness is compounding a national pattern rather than diverging from it.

Flat local job growth alongside a widening gap between metro and state unemployment rates points to a Lawrence economy that is holding steady rather than expanding, a distinction that matters for commerce leaders weighing expansion timing and for economic development officials benchmarking recruitment pitches against neighboring counties. Sector divergence — construction and healthcare advertised pay rising while retail, administrative, and customer-facing roles see significant real declines — mirrors the national white-collar/blue-collar split and suggests uneven consumer spending capacity across different parts of the local workforce. Current conditions suggest local economic development and chamber leadership may want to monitor whether wage softness in consumer-facing sectors begins to show up in retail sales or foot-traffic data, as an early read on local demand.

Advertised Pay Indicators · WageScape Benchmark 25 Jobs

Job postings data for the Lawrence, KS MSA metro — median advertised pay, its recent trend, and the number of active postings behind each figure. Jobs are grouped for readability and are not the same as the 10 sector classifications on the next page. For additional job detail contact WageScape.

Median Pay Pay Trend Postings

Retail Trade

Retail Sales Associate $28,600 ↓ Moderate decline 470
Retail Cashier $29,120 → Stable 258

Transportation & Warehousing

Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate $37,996 ↓ Moderate decline 76
CDL Truck Driver $76,316 ↓ Moderate decline 849
Delivery Driver $33,207 ↓ Significant decline 284
Warehouse Manager — Limited local postings —

Construction

Construction Laborer $39,520 ↓ Significant decline 16

Construction/Skilled Trades

Electrician $69,209 ↑ Moderate increase 64
HVAC Technician — Limited local postings —

Manufacturing

Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler $40,040 → Stable 117

Cross-Sector

Customer Service Representative $34,578 ↓ Significant decline 106
Operations Manager $73,000 ↑ Significant increase 9

Leisure & Hospitality

Food Service Worker $29,323 ↓ Significant decline 12

Healthcare

Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide $38,480 ↑ Moderate increase 453
Registered Nurse $91,415 ↑ Moderate increase 490

Admin/Office Support

Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk $37,440 ↓ Significant decline 68

Information/Technology

Software Engineer $109,183 ↓ Moderate decline 25
Data Engineer — Limited local postings —

Professional & Business Services

Accountant $66,560 ↓ Moderate decline 90
HR Generalist/Manager $60,999 ↑ Significant increase 17
Marketing Specialist — Limited local postings —
Business Analyst $87,080 ↑ Moderate increase 446

Finance & Insurance

Financial Analyst $76,719 ↑ Moderate increase 12

Government/Education

Elementary/Secondary School Teacher $52,951 ↑ Moderate increase 581

Cross-Sector Sales

Account Manager $66,013 → Stable 24

Industry Snapshot · Lawrence, KS MSA

Advertised pay and job-posting trends across the whole metro economy, rolled up by employer industry — not just the bellwether roles above.

Sector Median Pay Change Job Postings Change
Construction → −2.4% ↑ +87.9%
Manufacturing ↑ +25.9% ↑ +169.6%
Retail Trade ↑ +13.1% ↑ +143.4%
Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities → +0.7% ↑ +106.9%
Information ↑ +29.5% ↑ +100.0%
Financial Activities ↑ +23.2% ↑ +129.2%
Professional & Business Services ↓ −9.8% ↑ +147.8%
Education & Health Services → −1.1% ↑ +374.6%
Leisure & Hospitality → +2.2% ↑ +67.7%
Government ↑ +86.4% ↑ +1000.0%

Looking Ahead · Next 30–60 Days

Worth watching

Zero Kansas WARN notices have been filed in the past 90 days statewide, a stability signal that contrasts with national WARN activity involving large employers like Amazon and Tyson. Watch whether that quiet holds through Q4 or whether a national pullback eventually reaches Lawrence-area logistics and manufacturing employers.

Emerging pressure point

Metro unemployment has now risen for two consecutive reported months (4.1% to 4.2%) while the state holds flat, a small but directionally notable split. Government economists and chamber leadership should watch the next one to two BLS releases to determine whether this is noise or the start of a genuine local-state gap.

Early indicator

Retail and customer-facing advertised pay in Lawrence is falling well below both national figures and the state's private-sector wage growth, which may show up first in reduced local consumer spending rather than in employment counts. Local sales tax receipts and retail vacancy data over the next two months would help confirm or rule out this read.

Potential inflection point

National payroll growth slowed sharply to 29,000 in September with downward revisions to July and August, and if that national cooling persists, construction and healthcare — currently Lawrence's strongest sectors — are the segments most likely to show the first local effects given their outsized share of the metro's recent job gains.

Sources & Methodology

Pay and hiring data provided by WageScape. See every source cited in this report, with links →

Advertised pay reflects the pay ranges employers publish in active job postings in this metro, not survey or payroll data. Pay trends compare the current period with the prior period for the same metro and role. Sector figures group postings by the employer's industry classification; sectors with limited classified postings are marked as such rather than estimated. This briefing is independent of, and complements, official statistics from the BLS and state labor market information offices.

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