{"schema_version": 1, "id": "lancaster-pa-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 220, "label": "Lancaster, PA MSA", "slug": "lancaster-pa-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-09", "public_after": "2026-09-01", "frozen_at": "2026-10-09T13:40:10.587141+00:00", "headline": "Lancaster holds a tight labor market as state and nation cool.", "headline_summary": "Lancaster County unemployment near 3.2% stands well below Pennsylvania's 4.1% and the national 4.2%, even as U.S. wage growth slows to 3.0% against 3.4% inflation.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Lancaster County unemployment", "value": "3.2%", "context": "vs 4.1% PA, 4.2% U.S. national"}, {"label": "Lancaster labor force size", "value": "299,500", "context": "Record high, June 2026"}, {"label": "National real wage growth", "value": "3.0% wages vs 3.4% inflation", "context": "Lowest wage gain since May 2021"}, {"label": "Metro vs national avg weekly wage", "value": "$1,239 vs $1,654", "context": "Lancaster Q1 2026 vs U.S. average"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Lancaster's labor market is running tighter than the state or nation.", "body": "County unemployment near 3.2% in June sits well below Pennsylvania's 4.1% and the national 4.2%, a gap that has persisted for months. That spread is consistent with sustained local consumer demand even as statewide hiring has slowed."}, {"headline": "Health and education carry the metro's job growth almost alone.", "body": "Education/health services wages rose 7.0% year-over-year, the standout figure in the metro's wage data, while statewide the same sector added 36,000 jobs since last August. Concentration in one supersector is a strength worth watching if that sector's growth decelerates."}, {"headline": "Construction pay gains locally cut against the statewide contraction story.", "body": "Construction Laborer advertised pay rose significantly in Lancaster even as Pennsylvania construction employment ran below year-ago levels statewide. Divergence may reflect localized project activity rather than a sector-wide rebound, and bears watching for confirmation in coming months."}, {"headline": "Metro wages trail the nation by a wide margin in dollar terms.", "body": "Average weekly wages in Lancaster ran $1,239 in Q1 2026 versus $1,654 nationally, a gap that predates this month's national wage deceleration to 3.0%. Lower absolute wage levels combined with a tighter local labor market suggest cost-of-living and purchasing-power dynamics distinct from national averages, relevant to any cost-of-doing-business comparison."}], "local_conditions": "Lancaster County's labor force hit a record 299,500 with unemployment near 3.2% in June 2026, well below the Pennsylvania (4.1%) and national (4.2%) rates, even as statewide hiring momentum cooled and national payroll gains slowed to 29,000 in September. Local strength remains concentrated in education/health services, which posted 7.0% year-over-year wage growth, while construction and government \u2014 sectors contracting statewide \u2014 show more mixed signals locally, with Construction Laborer pay up significantly even as government employment nationally shed 17,000 jobs in September.", "implications": "Lancaster's unemployment rate sitting roughly a full point below the national figure signals a metro economy still operating near full labor utilization, a condition that historically supports steady consumer spending and business investment even as state and national indicators soften. Commerce leaders weighing expansion or capital investment should treat the county's record labor force size as a genuine local tailwind, distinct from the more cautious statewide picture of declining construction and government payrolls \u2014 current conditions suggest this may be a window where Lancaster's relative tightness still outpaces regional peers, worth factoring into timing decisions on local investment or facility planning.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Worth watching", "body": "National wage growth has fallen to 3.0% against 3.4% inflation, the first real-wage erosion since 2021. Watch whether Lancaster's wage data, last measured with strong health/education gains, begins to show the same erosion in the next release."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "Pennsylvania recorded 17 WARN notices affecting 1,899 workers in the past 90 days, none yet concentrated in Lancaster County. Any filing naming a Lancaster-based employer would be a meaningful break from the metro's otherwise stable layoff picture."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Statewide labor force participation has weakened, with dropouts rising from 8,000 to over 15,000 since early 2025. A similar softening in Lancaster's record labor force would be the clearest sign the county's current tightness is beginning to normalize toward state and national patterns."}, {"category": "Expected", "body": "National payroll growth has slowed sharply, with July and August revised down a combined 60,000 jobs. Local commerce leaders should expect the next round of metro employment data to be read against that national deceleration, even if Lancaster's own figures continue to outperform."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 24112.0, "metro_p50": 30523.0, "metro_p75": 34282.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33325.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 24960.0, "metro_p50": 29120.0, "metro_p75": 32125.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 31200.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32371.0, "metro_p50": 37440.0, "metro_p75": 40560.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 38000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 58240.0, "metro_p50": 79497.2, "metro_p75": 91693.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 78000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32048.0, "metro_p50": 33523.0, "metro_p75": 37983.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 34344.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33280.0, "metro_p50": 40812.6, "metro_p75": 44720.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 40560.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 58112.75, "metro_p50": 65520.0, "metro_p75": 70566.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 71404.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33280.0, "metro_p50": 38189.0, "metro_p75": 41600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33247.25, "metro_p50": 41579.0, "metro_p75": 43680.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 27858.0, "metro_p50": 31200.0, "metro_p75": 33703.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33756.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 35345.5, "metro_p50": 43680.0, "metro_p75": 45760.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 41106.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 36241.0, "metro_p50": 40594.6, "metro_p75": 43742.5, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 43680.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 58018.0, "metro_p50": 63010.4, "metro_p75": 66560.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 70720.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 83593.0, "metro_p50": 93600.0, "metro_p75": 99944.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 102581.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 102842.5, "metro_p50": 139760.0, "metro_p75": 149766.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 153652.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 92180.0, "metro_p50": 135000.0, "metro_p75": 152100.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 139500.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 58997.0, "metro_p50": 70000.0, "metro_p75": 82202.75, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 72182.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 76553.0, "metro_p50": 93578.4, "metro_p75": 100000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 94782.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 52000.0, "metro_p50": 64941.0, "metro_p75": 70163.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 51449.5, "metro_p50": 60000.0, "metro_p75": 60256.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 62354.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 71998.0, "metro_p50": 82960.0, "metro_p75": 98931.25, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 85216.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 34320.0, "metro_p50": 51379.0, "metro_p75": 58058.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 56731.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 57035.5, "metro_p50": 81533.0, "metro_p75": 139177.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 92749.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 52917.0, "metro_p50": 74000.0, "metro_p75": 81500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 83002.0, "metro_p50": 97500.0, "metro_p75": 100000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 98279.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 64480.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 56566.5, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 33948.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 54499.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 49016.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 52500.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 50510.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 47840.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 33280.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 66210.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "October 2026", "files": {"html": "lancaster-pa-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "pdf": "lancaster-pa-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf", "sources_html": "lancaster-pa-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-10-09T13:52:30.157261+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/lancaster-pa-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/lancaster-pa-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf"}