{"schema_version": 1, "id": "lafayette-in-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 243, "label": "Lafayette, IN MSA", "slug": "lafayette-in-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-09", "public_after": "2026-09-01", "frozen_at": "2026-10-09T13:40:13.586948+00:00", "headline": "Lafayette wages outrun the nation, but gains stay concentrated.", "headline_summary": "Tippecanoe County posted a 5.9% first-quarter wage gain \u2014 the strongest among Indiana's large counties \u2014 even as national wage growth slipped to 3.0%, below 3.4% inflation, raising the question of how far that local strength extends beyond manufacturing.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Lafayette metro unemployment", "value": "3.3%", "context": "vs 4.2% national rate, September 2026"}, {"label": "Tippecanoe Co. wage growth", "value": "+5.9%", "context": "Largest Q1 2026 gain among IN's big counties"}, {"label": "National wage growth vs inflation", "value": "3.0% vs 3.4%", "context": "Wages trail inflation for first time since 2021"}, {"label": "Indiana statewide unemployment", "value": "3.3%", "context": "Lowest since May 2023; below 4.1-4.2% national"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Tippecanoe's wage surge looks sector-concentrated, not metro-wide.", "body": "A 5.9% first-quarter wage gain outpaced every other large Indiana county, but 2025 declines in government, professional services, and financial activities suggest the gain is likely driven by manufacturing and logistics rather than a broad-based tightening. Commerce leaders evaluating the health of the local business climate should distinguish sector-specific strength from an economy-wide acceleration."}, {"headline": "Local unemployment outperforms the nation by a wide margin.", "body": "Lafayette's roughly 3.3% rate sits nearly a full point below the 4.2% national reading reported for September, consistent with Indiana's statewide position as one of the tightest labor markets in the region. That gap is a defensible, quotable marker of relative local economic resilience even as national hiring cooled sharply."}, {"headline": "Manufacturing's national slowdown has not visibly hit Lafayette yet.", "body": "National manufacturing added just 9,000 jobs in September against a backdrop of broader hiring deceleration, yet Indiana manufacturing added 3,500 jobs in August alone and no major Lafayette-area manufacturer appears in current WARN filings. Continued absence of local notices would reinforce that the metro's industrial base is tracking state strength rather than national softness."}, {"headline": "Public-sector and institutional stability warrants closer tracking.", "body": "National government payrolls have shed workers for twelve straight months and Lafayette's own 2025 data showed a 5.4% government employment decline, a notable signal given the metro's reliance on Purdue University and related public institutions. Government economists should watch whether this pattern persists into the current data cycle as a read on local public-sector payroll stability."}], "local_conditions": "Lafayette metro unemployment has tightened to roughly 3.3%, tracking Indiana's statewide low and well below the national 4.2% rate, even as the metro's manufacturing base \u2014 anchored by Caterpillar, Subaru, and Wabash National \u2014 absorbed softer national factory-sector momentum earlier this year. Tippecanoe County posted the strongest first-quarter wage growth (+5.9%) among Indiana's large counties, a divergence that appears to reflect concentrated manufacturing and logistics wage pressure rather than broad-based gains across the metro's service and public-sector employers, which saw declines in 2025.", "implications": "Wage-vs-inflation dynamics locally look more favorable than the national picture, where September's 3.0% wage growth trailed 3.4% inflation \u2014 Lafayette's manufacturing-driven wage gains suggest local purchasing power may be holding up better than the national trend implies, a relevant data point for commerce leaders assessing consumer spending capacity. Public-sector and professional-services softness seen in 2025 bears watching alongside national government payroll contraction, since Lafayette's economy carries meaningful exposure to Purdue University and related institutional employment. Consider monitoring whether manufacturing wage strength broadens into other sectors over the next two quarters as a signal of durable versus concentrated momentum.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Early indicator", "body": "Watch whether Tippecanoe County's outsized wage gain shows up in second-quarter 2026 county wage data or proves to be a one-quarter anomaly tied to manufacturing bonuses or contract settlements."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "No Lafayette-area employer currently appears in Indiana's 2026 WARN filings (largest statewide notices involve Humano LLC, Simos Insourcing, and Owens Corning in Walkerton), but statewide manufacturing notices total nearly 3,000 affected workers \u2014 a trend worth monitoring for spillover."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "National wage growth fell below inflation for the first time in two years; if that pattern persists, it becomes relevant to track whether Lafayette's locally stronger wage trend converges toward or diverges further from the national pattern."}, {"category": "Policy factor", "body": "Indiana's Q3 state investment announcements in advanced manufacturing and agbioscience (570 new jobs statewide) have not yet named a Lafayette-area site; confirmation of local participation would be a meaningful economic development signal for the metro."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 22932.0, "metro_p50": 29064.0, "metro_p75": 34195.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33325.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 23780.0, "metro_p50": 26838.0, "metro_p75": 30160.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 31200.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31691.25, "metro_p50": 39520.0, "metro_p75": 39520.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 38000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 58794.0, "metro_p50": 79120.0, "metro_p75": 90235.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 78000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 27653.0, "metro_p50": 34320.0, "metro_p75": 37440.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 34344.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33143.0, "metro_p50": 41600.0, "metro_p75": 45240.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 40560.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 57200.0, "metro_p50": 70852.6, "metro_p75": 74888.25, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 71404.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 35880.0, "metro_p50": 38582.6, "metro_p75": 45055.25, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33724.0, "metro_p50": 37440.0, "metro_p75": 38607.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 28245.0, "metro_p50": 28902.0, "metro_p75": 29912.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 33756.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33280.0, "metro_p50": 37544.0, "metro_p75": 41600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 41106.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33280.0, "metro_p50": 40820.0, "metro_p75": 45760.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 43680.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 60320.0, "metro_p50": 81120.0, "metro_p75": 90480.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 70720.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 80208.5, "metro_p50": 99581.0, "metro_p75": 109790.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 102581.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 88286.0, "metro_p50": 144497.2, "metro_p75": 158543.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 153652.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 100792.0, "metro_p50": 101200.0, "metro_p75": 105416.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 139500.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 56823.0, "metro_p50": 75000.0, "metro_p75": 80643.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 72182.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 70751.0, "metro_p50": 92976.2, "metro_p75": 98595.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94782.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 58484.0, "metro_p50": 77500.0, "metro_p75": 88282.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 46264.75, "metro_p50": 57200.0, "metro_p75": 67007.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 62354.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 72499.25, "metro_p50": 81721.0, "metro_p75": 90187.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 85216.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31200.0, "metro_p50": 39308.0, "metro_p75": 46868.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 56731.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 35143.0, "metro_p50": 76429.4, "metro_p75": 89999.25, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 92749.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 63750.0, "metro_p50": 65401.0, "metro_p75": 67500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 79316.0, "metro_p50": 89808.6, "metro_p75": 96372.75, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 98279.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 62400.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 73400.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 34957.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 61893.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 150643.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 46505.5, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 71552.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 64811.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 32240.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 67895.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "October 2026", "files": {"html": "lafayette-in-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "pdf": "lafayette-in-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf", "sources_html": "lafayette-in-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-10-09T13:52:22.643383+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/lafayette-in-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/lafayette-in-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf"}