{"schema_version": 1, "id": "la-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-10", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 226, "label": "LA NONMETROPOLITAN AREA", "slug": "la-nonmetropolitan-area"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T07:46:30.910204+00:00", "headline": "Louisiana's job growth stalls even as unemployment ticks down.", "headline_summary": "Louisiana added just 300 jobs in September against a five-year average near 2,900 a month, while unemployment fell to 4.0% and rural parish rates ranged from 2.6% to 10.0%.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Statewide monthly job growth", "value": "+300 jobs", "context": "vs. ~2,900/month five-year average"}, {"label": "Louisiana unemployment rate", "value": "4.0%", "context": "Down from 4.2% in August; 28th nationally"}, {"label": "Parish unemployment range", "value": "2.6% \u2013 10.0%", "context": "West Feliciana vs. East Carroll Parish"}, {"label": "Skilled trades skills gap", "value": "3.2-to-1", "context": "Statewide gap for specialized industrial trades"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Statewide job growth is decelerating beneath a stable unemployment rate.", "body": "Louisiana added only 300 jobs in September against a five-year monthly average near 2,900, even as unemployment ticked down to 4.0%. The divergence is consistent with people leaving or not entering the labor force as much as with hiring strength, a distinction that matters for reading momentum correctly."}, {"headline": "Rural parish conditions span a 7.4-point unemployment range.", "body": "East Carroll Parish's 10.0% rate sits far above West Feliciana's 2.6%, underscoring that no single nonmetropolitan figure captures local conditions. Economic development and site-selection conversations should reference parish-level data ahead of statewide or regional proxies."}, {"headline": "Construction and skilled trades remain the tightest segment of the local economy.", "body": "Southwest Louisiana's LNG and industrial megaprojects are driving reported 40-plus day time-to-fill for certified welders, alongside a statewide 3.2-to-1 skills gap in specialized trades. Electrician advertised pay is up significantly ($66,560 metro median), one of the clearest wage signals of sustained demand in the trades."}, {"headline": "Consumer-facing sectors show consistent softening across the basket.", "body": "Retail and food service advertised pay are both down moderately in the metro, and Baton Rouge retail employment fell 200 jobs year-over-year. Combined with flat-to-declining metro figures for delivery driver and manufacturing production worker pay, the pattern points to softer consumer and goods-handling demand even as skilled trades tighten."}], "local_conditions": "Louisiana's statewide unemployment rate fell to 4.0% in September, yet the state added just 300 jobs that month \u2014 a sharp deceleration from the roughly 2,900-job monthly average of the past five years, with New Orleans, Baton Rouge and Alexandria metros all posting monthly declines. Rural parish conditions diverge widely beneath that headline, ranging from 2.6% unemployment in West Feliciana Parish to 10.0% in East Carroll Parish, while construction and specialized industrial trades \u2014 concentrated in southwest Louisiana's LNG and megaproject corridor \u2014 report tight labor availability even as retail and information employment soften statewide.", "implications": "Statewide deceleration alongside persistent trade-labor shortages suggests nonmetropolitan Louisiana is entering a two-speed economy: broad softening in consumer-facing sectors paired with acute tightness in construction and skilled trades tied to industrial megaprojects. Commerce leaders evaluating expansion or relocation decisions should weigh parish-level unemployment variation ahead of statewide averages, since a single county's labor availability can differ by 7 percentage points from its neighbor. Current conditions suggest local economic development offices and chambers should track parish-level data alongside statewide releases when advising on investment timing or workforce readiness.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Worth watching", "body": "October statewide jobs data, due in late November, will show whether September's 300-job gain was a one-month dip or the start of a longer deceleration. A second weak month would sharpen the case that Louisiana's year-over-year strength is masking a cooling trend relevant to investment timing."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Skilled trades labor remains scarce relative to demand from LNG and industrial megaprojects in southwest Louisiana. Watch whether wage gains in electrician and HVAC technician roles (both up moderately-to-significantly in advertised pay) persist or accelerate as a signal of how much further labor costs may rise for capital projects."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "Parish-level unemployment dispersion is wide and likely to persist; watch whether rural counties near industrial corridors narrow their gap with urban parishes as megaproject spending spreads outward. This bears directly on where economic development incentives are likely to have the most labor-market impact."}, {"category": "Policy-relevant", "body": "Federal WARN filings have been active nationally (44 states, over 340,000 employees affected year-to-date), though no Louisiana-specific filings surfaced this month. Government economists should monitor whether national layoff activity in information and professional services spills into Louisiana's smaller metro labor pools."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 19236.0, "metro_p50": 24690.0, "metro_p75": 31200.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33340.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 20800.0, "metro_p50": 22880.0, "metro_p75": 24960.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 31268.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29445.0, "metro_p50": 35374.0, "metro_p75": 37848.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 38480.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 60200.0, "metro_p50": 79333.0, "metro_p75": 88612.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 78872.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 24096.0, "metro_p50": 28046.0, "metro_p75": 30240.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 34826.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29139.0, "metro_p50": 35360.0, "metro_p75": 35360.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 40726.6, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 55703.0, "metro_p50": 66560.0, "metro_p75": 72668.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 71835.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30183.0, "metro_p50": 35180.0, "metro_p75": 36740.75, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 34000.0, "metro_p50": 38925.0, "metro_p75": 41035.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 24475.0, "metro_p50": 28024.0, "metro_p75": 36982.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33764.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 28080.0, "metro_p50": 32240.0, "metro_p75": 37017.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 41600.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 28080.0, "metro_p50": 38480.0, "metro_p75": 43955.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 44552.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 52259.0, "metro_p50": 60329.0, "metro_p75": 64719.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 71406.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 75006.0, "metro_p50": 88750.0, "metro_p75": 98455.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 102252.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 119800.0, "metro_p50": 153890.4, "metro_p75": 171732.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 154403.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 99193.0, "metro_p50": 145000.0, "metro_p75": 159248.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 138000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 58362.0, "metro_p50": 69238.6, "metro_p75": 76960.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 72000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 71895.0, "metro_p50": 91392.0, "metro_p75": 101623.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 94646.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 50820.0, "metro_p50": 81281.0, "metro_p75": 87281.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 74477.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 43363.0, "metro_p50": 56671.6, "metro_p75": 69255.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 62916.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 59817.0, "metro_p50": 88000.0, "metro_p75": 92750.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 86294.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 47819.5, "metro_p50": 60466.0, "metro_p75": 64064.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 55908.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 62333.0, "metro_p50": 95000.0, "metro_p75": 117100.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 94009.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 45000.0, "metro_p50": 45000.0, "metro_p75": 59133.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 82929.0, "metro_p50": 98311.0, "metro_p75": 110714.25, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 98302.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 82500.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 105475.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 42640.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 66217.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 121949.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 104802.5, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 89249.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 65254.5, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 31149.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 63645.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [{"source_name": "Louisiana Workforce Commission / BLS", "source_url": null, "statement": "Louisiana added 300 jobs in September 2026, ranking 21st nationally"}, {"source_name": "U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics", "source_url": "https://www.bls.gov", "statement": "Louisiana unemployment rate at 4.0% in September 2026, down 0.2 points"}, {"source_name": "U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics", "source_url": "https://www.bls.gov", "statement": "Parish unemployment ranged from 2.6% (West Feliciana) to 10.0% (East Carroll)"}, {"source_name": "Louisiana Workforce Commission", "source_url": null, "statement": "Southwest Louisiana contractors report 40+ day time-to-fill for certified welders"}, {"source_name": "Louisiana Workforce Commission", "source_url": null, "statement": "Baton Rouge MSA retail trade declined 200 jobs year-over-year"}, {"source_name": "LayoffAlert / California WARN tracker", "source_url": null, "statement": "3,860 WARN notices filed nationally through Oct. 26, affecting 340,316 employees"}], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "la-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "pdf": "la-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf", "sources_html": "la-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-10.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:24:32.819773+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/la-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/la-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf"}